2017 Temperature vs. the likelihood of tipping points
2017 Some of these tipping points even within the Paris Agreement
2017 Rockstrom_Beyond the Anthropocene
2016 Schellnhuber_Why the right climate target was agreed in Paris $$
2017 Scientists are getting more alarmed about unexpected events
2017 The ice core data is key because it tracks the development of humans
2017 We can no longer exclude destabilizing the earth system
2017 We need a "carbon law" like Moore's law - to reduce emissions by 50% per decade
2017 We're seeing some indication of the shift towards avoiding global risks, and seizing opportunities
2017 Where we are vs. where we need to be on emissions
The next 50 years will determine the next 10,000 years
We have fundamentally shifted out of planetary boundaries
Earth goes from being a friend to a foe
Incremental linear BAU is no longer an option
Need an exponential journey toward sustainability
Overwhelming evidence that we face a new nexus of global risk
Until 1990 planet's response to human activities largely linear
We started moving out of the Holocene in 1750, but didn't really notice for quite a while
No more concurrent uploads are allowed - wait until at least one has finished.
2017 Temperature vs. the likelihood of tipping points
2017 Rockstrom_Beyond the Anthropocene
Evaluating the Near-Term Relevance of Climate Change Tipping Points
Under-Estimating Climate Risk