S - Decision-making Under Uncertainty
S - Investing Under Uncertainty
S - Adapting to Climate Change Under Uncertainty
S - Business Decision-Making with Climate Uncertainty
S - Catastrophic Risk Decision-Making
S - Climate Policy Under Uncertainty
S - Dynamic Adaptive Decision-Making
S - Inevitable Policy Response
S - Investing Under Uncertainty
S - Precautionary Principle
S - Probabilistic Decision-Making
S - Risk Based Decision-Making
S - Robust Decision-Making
S - Under-Estimating Climate Risk
2010 Michel-Kerjan The Irrational Economist Making Decisions in a Dangerous World
2010 Taleb The Black Swan The Impact of the Highly Improbable
2011 Dekker Drift into Failure
2012 Silver_The Signal and the Noise
2019 Marchau_Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice
2020 Kelman_Disaster by Choice: How our actions turn natural hazards into catastrophes
2021 Dembo_Risk Thinking: ...In an Uncertain World
2023 Curry_Climate Uncertainty and Risk Rethinking Our Response
1993 OTA_Preparing for an Uncertain Climate volume 2
200X Allen_What will it take to avoid X degrees of warming
200X Keller_What is the economic value of information about climate thresholds
1991 Iman_The repeatability of uncertainty and sensitivity analyses for complex probabilistic risk assessments
1994 Helton_Treatment of Uncertainty in Performance Assessments for Complex Systems
1996 Helton_Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis in the Presence of Stochastic and Subjective Uncertainty
1999 van der Vorst_A systemic framework for environmental decision-making $$
2000 Jones_Managing Uncertainty in Climate Change Projections - Issues for Impact Assessment
2000 McCarty_Risk-cost trade-offs in environmental risk management decision-making
2000 Visser_Identifying key sources of uncertainty in climate change projections
2002 Kunreuther_Risk Analysis and Risk Management in an Uncertain World
2002 Lomborg_The Skeptical Environmentalist Replies
2003 Barber_Probabilities Behaving Badly Complexity Theory and Environmental Uncertainty
2003 Pacala_False Alarm Over Environmental False Alarms
2005 Haas_Agents, Bayes, and Climatic Risks -- A Modular Modelling Approach
2005 Popper_Shaping the Future
2007 Anderies_Panaceas, uncertainty, and the robust control framework in sustainability science
2007 Krantz_Goals and Plans in Decision Making
2007 Moore_Humans and carbon - A Faustian bargain
2007 Stainforth_Issues in the interpretation of climate model ensembles to inform decisions
2008 PIRC Climate Safety Report - In case of emergency
2009 CCSP Best Practice approaches for characterizing scientific uncertainty in decision making
2009 Howarth_Discounting Uncertainty and Climate Change
2009 Kennedy_Decisionmaking under extreme uncertainty
2009 Reid_Confidence and Risk
2009 Yohe_On the extraordinary value of “committing to commit” - an opportunity not to be missed
2010 Carter_Risk and Uncertainty
2010 Mearns_Drama of Uncertainty
2010 Pao_Multivariate Granger causality between CO2 emissions, energy consumption, FDI and GDP
2010 Schank_The future of decision making - abstract
2010 Sniedovich Black Swans New Nostradamuses Voodoo decision theories
2011 Almenara_Roles for public and private sector in Risk Sharing Pooling and Transfer
2011 Bognar_Can The Maximin Principle Serve as a Basis For Climate Change Policy?
2011 Cabantous_Is Imprecise Knowledge Better than Conflicting Expertise
2011 Kahan_Tragedy of the Risk Perception Commons
2011 Ledlow_Psychological underpinnings of Environmental decision making
2011 Rinderknecht_Bridging uncertain and ambiguous knowledge with imprecise probabilities
2011 Shepherd_On the Perpetuation of Ignorance - System Dependence - - -Motivated Avoidance of Sociopolitical Information
2011 Woodward_Incorporating real options into flood risk management decision making
2011 WRI_Decision making in a changing climate - adaptation challenges and choices
2012 Kunreuther_Risk Management and Climate Change
2012 Marx_Decision Making Under Climate Uncertainty The Power of Understanding Judgment and Decision Processes
2012 Meyer_Uncertainty as a science policy problem
2012 Savage_The Flaw of Averages Why we Underestimate Risk in the Face of Uncertainty
2012 Yohe_Precaution and a Dismal Theorem Implications for Climate Policy and Climate Research
2013 Dana_Intertemporal equilibria with Knightian uncertainty
2013 Heal_Uncertainty and Decision Making in Climate Change Economics
2013 Maltais_Radically Non-Ideal Climate Politics and the Obligation to at Least Vote Green
2013 RAND_Making Good Decisions Without Predictions Robust decision making for planning under deep uncertainty
2014 Glenn_2013-14 State of the Future - Executive Summary
2014 Green_Planning for Uncertainty PPT
2014 NAS_Use (and abuse) of expert elicitation in support of decision making for public policy
2014 Pellegrino_Extensive and Isolated Benefits in Climate Change Scenarios: Beyond Monistic Principles
2014 Smith_Changing how earth system modeling is done to provide more useful information
2014 Snowden_Managing under conditions of uncertainty | State of the Net 2014
2015 Corner_Uncertainty Handbook Webinar
2015 Guth_How to cope with new uncertainties: A Bounded rationality approach
2015 Lempert_Values and uncertainty $$
2016 Barkemeyer_Linguistic analysis of IPCC summaries for policymakers and associated coverage
2016 Falkinger_The order of knowledge and robust action How to deal with economic uncertainty
2016 Fisher_Planning and implementing climate change responses in the context of uncertainty
2016 Gowing_Thinking the Unthinkable
2017 Guillaume_Minimising information needs how does decision making under deep uncertainty do it
2018 Chari_The Role of Uncertainty and Risk in Climate Change Economics
2018 Johnson_Farsighted: How We Make the Decisions That Matter the Most
2018 Small_A human environmental network model for assessing coastal mitigation decisions
2018 Sriver_Characterizing uncertain sea-level rise projections to support investment
2019 Buchak_Weighing the Risks of Climate Change, The Monist
2019 Fletcher_Learning about climate change uncertainty enables flexible water infrastructure planning
2019 Grigoroudis_Evaluation of National Environmental Efficiency Under Uncertainty Using Data Envelopment Analysis
2019 Jaccard_Overcoming Myths that Hinder Progress
2020 Calder_Graphical models and the challenge of evidence-based practice in development and sustainability $$
2020 Chester_Keeping infrastructure reliable under climate uncertainty
2020 GIZ_Considering climate risk information in policy planning_compressed
2020 Lawrence_Climate change: making decisions in the face of deep uncertainty
2020 Malm_Corona Climate Chronic Emergency War Communism in the Twenty-First Century
2020 Swartzman_Central banks financial stability and policy coordination in the age of climate uncertainty
2021 Constantino_Decision-making under the deep uncertainty of climate change: The psychological and political agency of narratives
2021 Mercure_Reframing incentives for climate policy action
2021 OSFI_Navigating Uncertainty in Climate Change: Promoting Preparedness and Resilience to Climate Related Risks
2021 Sunstein_Averting Catastrophe: Decision Theory for COVID-19, Climate Change, and Potential Disasters of All Kinds
2022 Brockway_Climate-aware decision-making Lessons for electric grid infrastructure
2022 Rising_The missing risks of climate change
2023 Hadjisotiriou_Decision making under deep uncertainty for pandemic policy planning
Decision Making - Business TOC
S - Decision-making Barriers
S - Decision-Making Top Level
S - Futures and Foresight Top Level
I:ChangingProbabilityDistributions
I:DecisionmakingUnderUncertainty (Deep Dive)
2010 Institute for the Future - The Future is a High Res Game
I:AcceleratingClimateChange
I:ClimateChangeasThreatMultiplier
I:IndirectImpactsofClimateChange
I:IPCCUnderestimationofRisk
I:SystemicClimateRisk (Deep Dive)
S - Carbon Offset Sources (General)
S - 100% Renewable Energy Transition
S - Abrupt Climate Change
S - Adaptation Barriers Limits
S - Adaptation Decisionmaking
S - Adaptation Planning Scenarios
S - Assessing Climate Investment Risk
S - Assessments of Business Climate Risks
S - Atmospheric Trust Litigation
S - Aviation Sector Decision-Making
S - Best Business Practices for a Climate Response
S - Biodiversity and Climate
S - Board of Directors/Trustee Liability
S - Business Adaptation/Resilience
S - Business Case for Climate Response
S - Business Climate Responses Sources
S - Business Commitments Strategies
S - Business Greenwashing
S - Business Opposition to Climate Action
S - Business Perceptions of Climate Risks
S - Business Positioning and Advocacy on Climate Action
S - Business Response as Risk Management
S - Carbon Price Forecasts
S - CEQA-NEPA-SEPA Litigation
S - Children's Trust Litigation
S - Climate as Opportunity
S - Climate Change Fingerprint to Date
S - Climate Change Scenario Planning
S - Climate Change Systemic Risk
S - Climate Change Tipping Points
S - Climate Change vs. Sustainability
S - Climate Emergency Sources
S - Climate Engineering Sources
S - Climate Ethics Morals Religion
S - Climate Policy Advocacy by Business
S - Climate Risk (Societal)
S - Climate Risk Disclosure Regime
S - Climate Uncertainties Unknowns
S - Collective Intelligence
S - Conflict and Climate Change
S - Current State of Climate Risk Reporting
S - Customer/Public Activism as Business Risk
S - Dangerous Climate Impacts
S - Decision-Making Futures
S - Decisionmaking Analogies
S - Decisionmaking Psychology
S - Ecocide in International Law
S - Electric Sector Best Climate Practice
S - Electric Sector Sources
S - Environmental and Climate Storytelling
S - Environmental Assessments
S - EPA Regulation of Carbon Under the CAA
S - Evaluating Business Responses
S - Evaluating Investment and Climate Change
S - Extreme Event Impacts
S - Fat and Long Tail Risks of Climate Change
S - Fossil Fuels and Fossil Free Investing
S - Future Forecasts and Case Studies
S - Global Risk Assessment
S - Infrastructure Impacts
S - Innovation and Disruption in the Electric Sector
S - Intergenerational Decisionmaking
S - Internal Corporate Carbon Pricing
S - Investor Best Practices on Climate
S - Investor Climate Policy Advocacy
S - Litigation and Liability Sources
S - Low Carbon Transition Sources - Topical
S - Low Probability Psychology
S - Managing Extreme Event Risk
S - Managing Investments Against Climate Risk
S - Nuisance, Negligence, and Strict Liability
S - Personal Decisionmaking
S - Policy Outcomes as Business Risk
S - Political Alternatives to the Status Quo
S - Public Beliefs and Knowledge
S - Risk Disclosure as Business Response
S - SCC Social Cost of Carbon
S - Sectoral Risk Disclosure
S - Social Activism Movements and Climate Change
S - Sociology of Climate Change
S - State and Local Climate Law
S - Supply Chain Resilience and Risk Management
S - Voluntary Carbon Offset Markets
S - Will the Pope Make a Difference?
S - Worst Case Climate Change
N - 100% Renewable Future
N - Accelerating/Worsening Climate Change
N - Business Climate Responses
N - Business Commitments Strategies
N - Business Litigation and Liability Risk
N - Business Policy Advocacy
N - Business Policy Opposition
N - Business Risk Management
N - Changing Climate Probabilities
N - Climate Change Tipping Points
N - Culture Change (Business)
N - Fat and Long Tail Risks From Climate Change
N - Investor Expectations
N - IPCC 1.5 Degrees Report
N - Market Structure Risk
N - Readiness/Adaptation for Physical Risks
N - Skeptical of Business Action/Potential
N - Systemic Climate Risk
T - Business Climate Response Networks
T - Business Declarations
T - Climate Emergency Networks
T - Extreme Events Network
V - Abrupt Change/Climate Disruption
V - Investing and Climate
V - Systemic Climate Risk
1990 DeFries_One Earth, One Future: Our Changing Global Environment
1993 Dewar_Assumption Based Planning
1993 Gore_Earth in the Balance Ecology and the Human Spirit
1994 Damasio_Descartes Error Emotion Reason and the Human Brain
1997 Werbach_Act Now, Apologize Later
1999 Huber_Hard Green: Saving The Environment From The Environmentalists: A Conservative Manifesto
2000 Berry_The Great Work Our Way into the Future
2005 Buckingham-Hatfield_Gender and Environment (Routledge Introductions to Environment)
2006 Abbasi_Americans and climate change Closing the gap between science and action
2007 Brockman_What Are You Optimistic About?
2007 Hames_What Authentic Leaders Know and You Need to Find Out
2007 Jensen_50 Simple Things You Can Do to Stay in Denial A Graphic Novel
2007 Tavris_Mistakes Were Made (but not by me)
2008 Mlodinow_The Drunkards Walk How Randomness Rules Our Lives
2009 Orr_Down to the Wire Confronting Climate Collapse
2009 Shellenberger_Break Through: Why We Can't Leave Saving the Planet to Environmentalists
2009 Werbach_Strategy for Sustainability: A Business Manifesto
2010 Aaker_Dragonfly Effect_Social Media for Social Change $$
2010 Brand_Why Dense Cities, Nuclear Power, Transgenic Crops, Restored Wildlands, and Geoengineering Are Necessary
2010 Oberthur_The New Climate Policies of the European Union: Internal Legislation and Climate Diplomacy
2010 Pielke_The Climate Fix: What Scientists and Politicians Won't Tell You About Global Warming
2010 Posner_Climate Change Justice
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Headings - Topical Sources
S - Decision-making Under Uncertainty
Reports | Journal Papers | PPTs
Climate PreMortems as Decision-Making Aid