2020 Cascading potential climate tipping points based on temperature outcomes
E - Climate Change Tipping Points
E - Systemic Climate Risk
2020 Bolton_The Green Swan Central banking and financial stability in the age of climate change
I:VisualizingTippingPoints
E - Climate Impact on Returns
E - Climate Response Tipping Points
E - Food Security Impacts
E - Stranded Assets - Value at Risk from Policy
E - Tipping Point Remote Sensing
Are disaster scenarios about tipping points like ‘turning off the Gulf Stream’ and release of methane from the Arctic a cause for concern?
2009 There are many high-consequence outcomes associated with different mitigation scenarios other than tipping points per se
2011 Potential non-linear tipping points
2013 An early assessment of tipping point probabilities
2013 Once you cross a tipping point, it may be very hard to go back
2014 Potential tipping points
2015 Australian emissions trends vs. IPCC carbon budget
2015 Australian gross revenue trajectories based on global climate responses
2015 Systemic risk in 2015 and 2035
2015 Timeline of evaluated systemic risks
2015 Tipping points shouldn’t be thought of in isolation. Potential large scale disruptions could interact and cascade
2016 IAMs are at the core of climate change economic analysis, but have a very hard incorporating tipping points
2016 Mapping out the links between financial and climate fragility
2017 A comprehensive approach to social foundations and ecological boundaries
2017 Assets at potential risk of climate stranding
2017 Climate tipping points potentially within the range of Paris Agreement outcomes
2017 Estimated ratio of 2099 GDP to 2010 GDP with and without climate change
2017 Number of deadly temperature days by 2100
2017 Planet’s response is no longer linear
2017 Some of these tipping points even within the Paris Agreement
2017 Temperature vs. the likelihood of tipping points
2017 We can no longer exclude destabilizing the earth system
2018 2100 Primary Energy Mix under Alternative Scenarios
2018 Earth system feedbacks lead to sinks that absorb about half of anthropogenic emissions, with the remainder contributing to atmospheric increase
2018 Growing number of extreme events and losses
2018 Net carbon exchange and photosynthesis anomalies over the satellite record for southern and northern land areas. Photosynthesis does not fully explain variation in carbon exchange.
2018 The fate of fossil fuel over the 1959–2015 CO2 record
2018 The growing potential for environmental migration
2019 Alternative economic models - Equilibrium vs. non-equilibrium
2019 Changes in global levelized energy costs 2010-2018
2019 Display of climate tipping points
2019 How the energy transition could impact GDP based on alternative models
2019 Overview of the climate stress test framework
2019 Representative high-level scenarios for climate stress tests
2019 Sensitivity analysis for energy sector risk
2020 AMOC impacts on Atlantic oceanic temperature projection
2020 AMOC strength and global mean surface air temperature
2020 Arctic sea ice projections and AMOC impacts
2020 Atmosphere temperature and zonal wind projections and AMOC impacts
2020 Atmospheric CO2 and regional emissions over 12,000 years
2020 Chain reactions in climate impacts
2020 Climate crisis as systemic risk: evidence of economic impacts
2020 Climate crisis as systemic risk: impacts on different economic sectors
2020 Climate related risks, opportunities, and financial impacts
2020 Demand and supply shocks from climate change
2020 Evidence of tipping points is increasing
2020 Evolution of energy systems in absolute and relative terms
2020 Four main tipping point characteristics may be identified for early warning signals
2020 How physical and transition risks could materialize
2020 Identification of tipping points, showing transition from stable food security conditions to a food crisis resulting from drought in Ethiopia
2020 Impact of climate change on GDP
2020 In this model, the transition of interest is the regime shift from favorable food security conditions into a food crisis, and vice versa.
2020 Integrated Food Security Phase Classification
2020 More than half of syndicated lending of US banks subject to climate risk
2020 Potential climate change tipping points
2020 Role of Federal Reserve in addressing climate change
2020 Role of Federal Reserve in climate risk
2020 Surface temperature and precipitation projections and AMOC impacts
2020 Testing business resilience to physical and transition risks
2020 The 5 C's Contribute to Coordination to Combat Climate Change
2020 The climate system is now believed to be much more sensitive to temperature change than just 20 years ago.
2020 The phases of transforming socio-technical systems
2020 Transition vs. physical risk balance
2020 Warming projections under emissions scenarios
2020 Weak vs. Strong Sustainability
2021 Cascades of abrupt changes in physical–ecological–societal components of the Earth system
2021 Expert assessment of systemic cascading climate risks likely to lead to economic and trade disruption
2021 Expert assessment of systemic cascading climate risks likely to lead to energy insecurity
2021 Expert assessment of systemic cascading climate risks likely to lead to food insecurity
2021 Expert assessment of systemic cascading climate risks likely to lead to greater national and international insecurity
2021 Expert assessment of systemic cascading climate risks likely to lead to health crises
2021 Expert assessment of systemic cascading climate risks likely to lead to migration pressures
2021 Map of selected atmospheric, oceanographic, ecosystem and societal records with abrupt changes or tipping points in
2021 Summary of major systemic risk dynamics
2021 Timeline of abrupt events
2021 Tipping point examples
2021 Updated climate change tipping point
2022 Candidate tipping elements in the climate system
2022 Global mean sea level change relative to 1900
2022 Global warming threshold estimates for global core and regional impact climate tipping elements
2022 Implications of global GHG emission trajectories by 2050 for overshooting 1.5°C
2022 Interactions between climate tipping elements and their roles in tipping cascades
2022 Overview of recent economic analyses incorporating the risk of tipping points
2022 Percentage of global land suitable for crop growth
2022 Potential impacts of crossing selected tipping points
2022 Progression of GHG emissions reductions pledges and projections 2009 to 2021
2022 Risk evaluation based on probability and potential impact of an outcome
2022 Schematic of possible interactions and cascading effects between Earth and human systems
2022 September Arctic sea ice area projections to 2100
2022 Temperature and precipitation responses to an AMOC collapse under 2.5ºC of warming above pre-industrial levels
2022 Temperature thresholds and uncertainty ranges of tipping points
2022 Total anthropogenic GHG emissions 1990 - 2019
2023 A conceptual regional transect from moist to dry localities depicting examples of local to regional feedbacks of forest cover with the land and atmosphere
2023 A framework for prioritising ‘sensitive interventions’ close to a tipping point
2023 Antarctic sea ice evolution 1979-2023 - Time series of Antarctic sea ice area
2023 Arctic sea ice evolution 1979-2023
2023 Avoiding food loss and waste, shifting to more plant-based diets and improving farming practice through agro-ecological approaches are key leverage points
2023 Cascading effects from renewable energy supply to household energy demand
2023 Cascading impacts of rising sea levels across systems
2023 Causal feedback loop of how technical and social elements may interact within the EV transition
2023 Changing risk assessment of tipping points in IPCC reports over time
2023 Circulations and potential tipping systems in the Southern Ocean
2023 Conceptual linkages between changes in the Earth system associated with the Eocene-Oligocene Transition, 34 million years ago
2023 Data visualisation dashboard showing how food security transitions are detected with remotely sensed soil moisture data and food price data
2023 Different AMOC modes and palaeo-evidence
2023 Early indicators before a tipping point
2023 Engineering approaches at the scale of Earth system tipping elements
2023 Example of a tipping point in the context of food security
2023 Examples of impact of extreme weather events on mental health across the world
2023 Features of the Paris Agreement that need adjustment to account for climate tipping points
2023 Feedbacks that could lead to savanna tipping
2023 Financial barriers to Earth system tipping points preparedness in the Global South
2023 Forcing a system past a tipping point
2023 Global distribution of dryland subtypes based on the aridity index
2023 Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets
2023 Illustration of the Earth system showing the different “spheres”
2023 Impact of AMOC collapse on UK water supply and arable crops
2023 Impacts of tipping points on different sectors: AMOC, ice sheet, Arctic sea ice loss, permafrost, Amazon dieback
2023 Interactions between established and more speculative tipping systems on a world map
2023 Interactions between tipping systems across scales in space and time.
2023 Interactive role of eutrophication, DOM-export (browning), and warming on lakes
2023 Key biophysical impacts resulting from crossing tipping points in the cryosphere
2023 Locations of reported regime shifts and potential tipping points in the global marine environment
2023 Map of cryosphere systems
2023 Map of drylands vulnerability to predicted changes in aridity for 2100 based on IPCC RCP8.5 scenario (i.e. under assumption of sustained increase in CO2 emissions).
2023 Map of recent coral reef bleaching distribution
2023 Map of studies that use empirical data to look for early warning signals (EWS) of tipping points in climate systems
2023 Observed mass change of Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets
2023 Overview of projected changes in extreme El Niño events in CMIP6 climate models
2023 Overview over the major oceanic circulation systems in the North Atlantic
2023 Per capita average carbon footprint and its breakdown for selected countries
2023 Permafrost changes under climate change and subsequent effects on environment and society
2023 Positive feedbacks can drive changes in dietary norms
2023 Potential changes in mid-latitude atmospheric circulations, exemplary for the Northern Hemisphere.
2023 Potential tipping systems in ocean and atmosphere circulations
2023 Projected impacts of Amazon forest loss on heat stress risk
2023 Regional differences in climate drivers (long-term trends and extreme events) leading to mangrove impacts
2023 Representation of hysteresis, showing how a system starts in a stable state, then passes a tipping point
2023 Schematic illustrating some key feedbacks related to Arctic sea ice loss
2023 Schematic illustrating some of the key feedbacks in the ice sheet-climate system
2023 Schematic Illustration of Marine Ice Sheet Instability and Marine Ice Cliff Instability
2023 Schematic of a marine food web
2023 Schematic showing key feedbacks that could lead to dryland tipping
2023 Self-sustaining change due to strong positive/amplifyign feedbacks
2023 Social systems negative tipping elements
2023 Strategic interventions for triggering positive tipping points
2023 Summary of evidence for tipping dynamics, key drivers and biophysical impacts in different systems (1)
2023 Summary of evidence for tipping dynamics, key drivers and biophysical impacts in different systems (2)
2023 Summary of evidence for tipping dynamics, key drivers and biophysical impacts in different systems (3)
2023 Summary of evidence for tipping dynamics, key drivers and biophysical impacts in different systems (4)
2023 Summary table of marine environment tipping points
2023 Terminology and some key feedbacks related to mountain glacier retreat
2023 Three types of tipping points
2023 Tipping cascades in coral reefs and small-scale fisheries
2023 Tipping cascades in Lake Chad
2023 Tipping cascades in migration
2023 Tipping cascades in the Amazon rainforest
2023 Tipping cascades in the Arab Spring
2023 Various impact pathways of negative Earth system tipping points: cascading impacts of AMOC collapse, cascading impacts of ice sheet instability.
2023 Visual summary of the concept of positive tipping points
2023 Where are we reaching tipping points in the ocean
Climate change has all the characteristics of financial systemic risk
Climate change will impact cost of living in many ways
Key research priorities on financial stablity and climate change
Potential vulnerability to climate change
Sovereign ratings directly correlated to climate vulnerability
Sovereign ratings inversely correlated to prosperity
1oC - may be enough to trigger climate tipping points
3oC - tipping points may get a lot more dangerous
2011 Strain will be put on international agreements to manage water, food, trade, and borders
2020 A lot of needed policies will be regressive
2020 A new international banking agency may be called for
2020 Carbon pricing won't be enough - complex policy mixes will be needed
2020 Central banks can be advocates for socioeconomic change
2020 Central banks have a role to play
2020 Central banks may have to rescue the financial system from climate risks
2020 Central banks should contribute to policy debates under the 5 C's
2020 Climate change poses challenges for monetary policy
2020 Climate risk management requires a structural transformation of our economies
2020 Climate risks will remain largely uninsurable and unheadgeable in the absence of a systemic response
2020 Consideration of climate risks by financial institutions could act as a form of shadow pricing of carbon
2020 Financial and climate stability can be seen as interconnected public goods
2020 Government action to steer markets in the right direction could create a huge market opportunity
2020 Governments should finance the low-carbon transition with public debt
2020 Green swans have similarities and differences with respect to black swans
2020 Green swans represent a colossal and potentially irreversible risk of staggering complexity
2020 It is not clear how big a difference greening banks' collateral frameworks would make
2020 Reigniting growth via low-carbon investments more sustainability than other approaches to growth
2020 Responding to climate change faces an "epistemological obstacle"
2020 Risk assessment can quantitatively or qualitatively use Scope 1, 2, and 3 emissions
2020 Scenario analysis is only a partial solution to the challenge
2020 Several ways are being used to assess indirect climate risk exposures
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2020 Cascading potential climate tipping points based on temperature outcomes
2020 Bolton_The Green Swan Central banking and financial stability in the age of climate change
Evaluating the Near-Term Relevance of Climate Change Tipping Points
Known and Unknown Long Tailed Climate Risks
Under-Estimating Climate Risk