E - Business Risk Assessment
E - Challenges of business climate risk assessment
E - Climate Risk Stress Testing
E - Global Risk Report Graphics
E - Tools for Climate Risk Assessment
200X Converting the risk cloud into a risk score
200X Institutional Risk Management Usually Focuses only on Risk Reduction (rewards Systematically Undervalued)
200X Prima Facie Case for Climate Risk - A
2005 Americans see very few deaths resulting from climate change
2007 How climate change could affect companies' financial statements (part 1)
2008 Utilities often ignore the indirect implications of carbon regulations
2009 Climate in peril, Africa impacts
2009 Climate in peril, Asia impacts
2009 Climate in peril, Australia and New Zealand
2009 Climate in peril, Europe
2009 Climate in peril, Latin America
2009 Climate in peril, North America
2009 There is a Scientific Consensus
2009 Utilities see managed and unmanaged risks
2010 Oil and Gas sector particularly vulnerable
2010 Perceived risk levels by sector of different climate risks
2010 Regional perspectives on risk vary significantly
2010 Risk transfer may be more cost-efficient than physical measures for low frequency events
2010 Tail risk events leave a lot of potential risk on the table
2010 When will the lack of a carbon management plan be a material problem?
2011 Disclosure of climate risk increasing in U.S.
2011 Scientific perception of risk across the board
2011 The prima facie risk case
2011 These assumptions work for a certain group of problem
2011 Very different sensitivities to risk
2011 WEF water security profile
2011 WEG food security profile
2012 Physical climate risk drivers identified by UK companies
2012 significance of risk distributed across sectors - UK companies - percentage
2012 The top 5 by likelihood and impact
2013 2013 estimates of earliest impact dates
2013 2013 top-five current or expected impacts
2013 Chart of public's perceived risk ordering
2014 Simplified belief tree illustrating participants views on when and how
2015 An example of 2 risk scales - IPPC vs. Swedish National Risk Assessment
2015 Assessing carbon risk vs. climate risk at multiple levels
2015 Emissions pathways with overlaid risk time horizons
2015 From company to portfolio risk assessment
2015 Key sectors exposed to a 2 degree climate scenario
2015 Primary carbon risk factors
2015 Risk types and asset classes by category
2015 Summary of risk data, models, key outputs
2015 The risk assessment process - stress test
2016 6 areas of inter-related risk for the UK
2016 BlackRock climate score
2016 Equity holdings in EU and US listed companies
2016 Examples of climate related risks and potential financial impacts
2016 International dimensions of climate risk
2016 Oil and gas producers - total debt to assets
2016 Overview of common climate-related risks and opportunities - description
2016 Overview of common climate-related risks and opportunities - financial impact
2016 Relative equity exposures of major banks
2016 Sector level-disclosure quality in Annual SEC filings, by climate risk
2016 Select climate-related risk frameworks
2016 Select disclosure frameworks, Exchange listing requirements and Indices
2017 Asset class sensitivity to TRIP risk factors by scenario over 10 years
2017 Asset class sensitivity to TRIP risk factors in terms of volatility
2017 Climate impact on return by industry sector (35 years)
2017 Heat maps - industry and sector level sensitivity to climate risk factors
2017 Mercer's climate change risk modeling process
2017 The time-frame challenge
A range of ways people look at addressing climate change
A typology of how perceptual filters influence virtual risk perception
and with Hazard Risk Severity Score HRSS
ARN produced a Hazard Risk Index HRI
Assessment Box SPM.1 Figure 1
Buildings and infrastructure opportunities and threats
But levelized cost does not factor in potential risks
Carbon risk vs. carbon asset risk
Carbon Trust methodology for helping companies assess risks and liabilities
CDP climate change risk questions
Central and South America
Central and South America
Climate change and the water-food-energy nexus
Climate change impacts on the oil and gas industry
Climate is significant, and our approach to planning varies widely
Climate risk is a function of climate vulnerability
Conceptual model for applying KM to RM
Conclusions for oil fields and pipelines
Conclusions for refineries
Corporate risk assessment involvement
Corporate risk assessment methods
Corporate risk identification and prioritization involvement
Corporate risk identification and prioritization methods
Developing probability curves
Diagramming the risk process
Does not appear to be true
earliest company estimates for when impacts will occur
Evolution of environmental risks 2014-2015
Examples of climate related opportunities and potential financial impacts
Exposure of European financial institutions to fossil fuel firms
Financial risk impacts by industry 1
Financial risk impacts by industry 2
Financial risk impacts by industry 3
Framework for assessing and addressing "total climate risk"
Framework for assessing carbon risk and assessing and managing carbon asset risk
From company to portfolio risk assessment
From risk score to knowledge score to outcome
Georgetown Test Case - Risk from flash floods
Global risk interconnections map
Goldman Sachs says we're close to a tipping point
Graphic of the global risk landscape for oil and gas operations
Growing residual risks may require policy action
How do the risks compare in terms of what we know about them?
How WEF perceptions of risk have varied 2007 - 2015
Hurricans acting differently in North Atlantic and Eastern North Pacific
Incorporating CC risks into EIAs
Increase in probability of extremes
Industry sectors broken into 2x2 matrix of risk and opportunity
Infrastructure under a 4 ft SLR threat
Initial probability assessment carried out by the National Hurricane Center
Is climate risk financially material to portfolios or clients?
Land-based oil infrastructure in Mexico
Language recommendations for IPCC
Looked at several measures of climate risk perception
Methodology and Data Sets
More than 2 Trillion in asset value along the Gulf Coast
Often assumed that more number and science literate people see climate risk
Oil and Gas Value Chain Analysis of Climate Change Impacts
One example of a risk scale
Only naysayers and alarmists have strong risk feelings
Physical impacts and supply chains
Practices through which climate change turns into risk
Probability of impact vs. probability of exceeding the infinite threshold
Quality of knowledge of climate risk can vary widely
Recommended Framework for Characterizing Uncertainty with Language
Relationships showing linkages for assessment for planning
Relatively modest mitigation takes tail risk off the table
Risk assessment can be expressed through exceedance probability curve
Risk management cycle including atypical event risk
Risk score based conventionally on hazard and consequence associated with different organizational activities
Risks associated with new generation resources
Same point in 4-quadrant format
sectors acknowledging climate risks
Showing that costs and risks aren't very aligned
Subjective rankings of probabilities
Summary of Port risk assessment, assuming no adaptation
Summary of risk data, models, key outputs
the climate vulnerability Risk Disk
The difference between perceived risks and their actual magnitude
The many layers of climate risk
The Multiple layers of climate risk
The part of the risk curve that calls for a new "risk category"
The SASB Climate Risk Framework
Three categories of climate exposure
tools used for climate risk assessment
Topographic maps are a lot less accurate than LIDAR maps
Uncertainty language used in IPCC FAR
Utilized a risk-based approach
Very few companies quantify climate risks
We can't assume uncertainty is modest and manageable
Weather events are the big source of insured catastrophe losses
WEF air pollution profile
WEF climate change profile
WEF Infectious disease profile
What barriers prevent climate risk from being taken into account
What needs to happen for climate risk to be considered more in pension investments
Who responded within the industry?
Why interpreting climate risks materiality is harder than it sounds
Wideranging spatial distribution of risks
Does the growing disconnect of societal risk and policy have business implications?
If a company has reason to worry about the weather, it has cause to worry about climate change
Only limited portfolio risk analysis models exist
Probability based estimates are good for risk management, have serious limitations for climate change
Societal and corporate risk are very different things
The kinds of threats we respond to
Threat indicators we respond to
We respond to threats caused by an enemy
We respond to threats with simple causality
Why consider risk management in this context
World Economic Forum risk assessments
E - Business Climate Risk
2014 CISL_IPCC AR5 - Redrawing the global employment map - infographic
2014 IKEA_Business needs climate change policy leaders - infographic
Infographic - 6 Rules of using climate models
Infographic - 2013 CEO Study on Sustainability
Infographic - Business response to climate risk
Infographic - Climate change risk assessment basics
Infographic - GHG Commitments
Infographic - How scientists fool themselves
Infographic - IPCC Climate Everyones Business
Infographic - The three-tier climate change risk assessment process of CoastAdapt
Infographic - Understanding superannuation and climate risk
Infographic - Understanding the business response to climate change
IPCC AR5_Transport_Infographic_WEB_EN
IPCC_AR5__Cities on the front line of changing climate
IPCC_AR5__Implications_for_Agriculture__Infographic__WEB_EN
IPCC_AR5__Implications_for_Buildings__Infographic__WEB_EN
IPCC_AR5__Implications_for_Energy__Infographic__WEB_EN
IPCC_AR5__Implications_for_Extractive_and_Primary_Industries__Infographic_WEB__EN
IPCC_AR5__Implications_for_Fisheries_and_Aquaculture__Infographic__WEB_EN
IPCC_AR5__Implications_for_Investors__Infographic__WEB_EN
IPCC_AR5_Defence_Infographic_WEB_EN__
IPCC_AR5_Implications for Tourism Infographic
S - Abrupt Climate Change
S - Adaptation Planning Scenarios
S - Board of Directors/Trustee Liability
S - Carbon Intensity/Footprint as Business Risk
S - Carbon Price Forecasts
S - Carbon Pricing Policy as Business Risk
S - CEQA-NEPA-SEPA Litigation
S - Climate Change Fingerprint to Date
S - Climate Change Scenario Planning
S - Climate Change Scenarios
S - Climate Change Systemic Risk
S - Climate Change Tipping Points
S - Climate Risk Disclosure Regime
S - Climate Scenario Methodologies
S - Climate Scenario Variables
S - Climate Uncertainties Unknowns
S - Conflict and Climate Change
S - Current State of Climate Risk Reporting
S - Decision-Making Futures
S - Economic/Political Disruption as Business Risk
S - Economics Forecasting
S - Economics of Extreme Events/Disasters
S - Electric Sector Climate Risk Assessment
S - Electric Sector Futures
S - Environmental and Climate Storytelling
S - EPA Regulation of Carbon Under the CAA
S - Fossil Fuels and Fossil Free Investing
S - Future Forecasts and Case Studies
S - Futures and Foresight Top Level
S - Gaming for Climate Change
S - Geography-Specific Scenarios
S - Historically Low Probability Outcomes as Business Risk
S - Impacts - Electric Sector
S - Infrastructure Impacts
S - Innovation and Disruption in the Electric Sector
S - Investing Under Uncertainty
S - Investor Action as Business Risk
S - Investor Expectations
S - Litigation Outcomes as Business Risk
S - Nuisance, Negligence, and Strict Liability
S - Policy Outcomes as Business Risk
S - Precipitation Impacts
S - Public Beliefs and Knowledge
S - Sector-Specific Futures
S - Sectoral Climate Impacts
S - Sectoral Risk Disclosure
S - SLR Sea Level Rise Sources - Topical
S - Social Activism Movements and Climate Change
S - SocioEconomic Pathways
S - State and Local Climate Law
S - Supply Chain Disruption as Business Risk
S - TCFD Scenario Planning
N - A Policy Tipping Point?
N - Carbon Price Forecasting
N - Carbon Pricing Advocacy
N - Changing Business Models
N - Climate Risk Scenario News - Topical
N - Credit Rating Impacts
N - Forecasting the Future
N - Futures and Foresight Top Level
N - Green Growth Climate Finance
N - Green Power Purchasing
N - Indirect Impacts of Climate Change
N - Materiality of Climate Risk
N - Policy Regulatory Risk
N - Public Opinion Tipping Points?
N - Real Estate Values and Sea Level Rise
N - Stock/Asset Price Impacts
N - Systemic Climate Risk
T - Climate Litigation Websites
T - Climate Scenario Tools
T - Scenario Planning Networks
V - Activism and Movements
V - Future and Foresight Videos
E - Business Carbon Pricing Advocacy
E - Business Risk Disclosure Topics
E - Business Risk Overviews
E - Business Risk Perception
E - Business Risk Rankings
E - Business Risk Scenarios
E - Business Risks by Types
E - Business Scenario Planning
E - Business Sectors Top Level
E - Business Value at Risk
E - Carbon Intensity and Business Risk
E - Carbon Pricing Extracts
E - Carbon Pricing Scenarios and Forecasts
E - Climate as Investment Risk
E - Climate Change Tipping Points
E - Climate Impact on Returns
E - Climate Impacts on Corporate Ratings
E - Climate Impacts/Risks by Sector
E - Climate Opportunities
E - Climate Response Tipping Points
E - Climate Risk Scenario Extracts
E - Communicating shifting extremes
E - Fiduciary Responsibility
E - Futures and Foresight Top Level
E - Hypothesized Business Impacts
E - Impacts by Business Sector
E - Insurance Sector Risk
E - Manifestations of climate risk
E - Perceptions and Positions re Climate Risk
E - Physical Risk Assessment
E - Policy/Regulatory Risks
E - Predicting the Future
E - Private Sector in Green Growth
E - Project/Infrastructure Risks
E - Risk Disclosure Materiality
E - Risk Disclosure Scenarios
E - Risk Disclosure Timeline
E - Stranded Assets - Value at Risk from Policy
E - TCFD-Specific Guidance/Analysis
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E - Business Risk Assessment
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