Headings - Topical Sources
S - Climate Sensitivity
Reports | Journal Papers | PPTs
Climate Sensitivity to GHGs
Under-Estimating Climate Risk
2010 Weitzman_Some dynamic economic implications of the climate sensitivity inference
2011 Annan_On the generation and interpretation of Probabilistic estimates of climate sensitivity
2011 Bergengren Ecological sensitivity - a biospheric view of climate change
2011 Betts_When could global warming reach 4 degrees
2012 Cao_Climate response to changes in atmospheric CO2 and solar irradiance on time scale of days to weeks
2012 Hansen_Climate sensitivity estimated from Earth climate history
2013 Caballero_State-dependent climate sensitivity in past warm climates and its implications
2013 Hansen_Climate forcing growth rates doubling down on our Faustian bargain
2013 Hansen_Climate sensitivity sea level and atmospheric carbon dioxide
2013 Pierrehumbert_Hot climates high sensitivity
2013 Rogelj_Risk Shifts under Changing Climate Sensitivity Estimates
2013 Sherwood_Spread in model climate sensitivity traced to atmospheric convective mixing
2013 Stott_Upper end of climate model temperature projections is inconsistent
2014 Anderson_Uncertainty in Climate Change Modeling: Can Global Sensitivity Analysis Be of Help?
2014 Lewis_Implications for climate sensitivity of AR5 forcing and heat uptake estimates
2014 Rogelj_Implications of potentially lower climate sensitivity on climate projections and policy
2014 Urban_Historical and future learning about climate sensitivity
2015 Freeman_Climate Sensitivity Uncertainty: When is Good News Bad?
2015 Johannson_Equilibrium climate sensitivity in light of observations over the warming hiatus $$
2015 Wasdell_Climate Dynamics Facing the Harsh Realities of Now
2016 Friedrich_Nonlinear climate sensitivity and its implications for future greenhouse warming
2016 Seddon_Sensitivity of global terrestrial ecosystems to climate variability
2016 Tokarska_The climate response to 5 billion tonnes
2017 Wallace-Wells_When will the planet be too hot for humans Much much sooner than your imagine $$
2018 Palaeoclimate constraints on the impact of 2oC antrhopogenic warming and beyond $$
2018 Wagner_Potentially large equilibrium climate sensitivity tail uncertainty
2020 Hebert_An observation based scaling model for climate sensitivity and global projections to 2100_compressed
2020 Voosen_Earth's climate destiny finally seen more clearly
Risks - Societal TOC
I:AcceleratingClimateChange
I:IPCCUnderestimationofRisk
I:SystemicClimateRisk (Deep Dive)
S - 1.5oC Target
S - 1.5 vs 2.0 Degrees
S - 100% Renewable Energy Transition
S - Abrupt Climate Change
S - Catastrophic Risk Decision-Making
S - Climate Change Fingerprint to Date
S - Climate Change Systemic Risk
S - Climate Change Tipping Points
S - Climate Emergency Sources
S - Climate Engineering Sources
S - Climate Sensitivity
S - Dangerous Climate Impacts
S - Decision-making Under Uncertainty
S - Extreme Event Impacts
S - Fat and Long Tail Risks of Climate Change
S - Human Extinction
S - Impact Attribution
S - Probabilistic Decision-Making
S - Systemic Risk
S - Worst Case Climate Change
N - 1.5oC Target
N - 100% Renewable Future
N - Accelerating/Worsening Climate Change
N - Changing Climate Probabilities
N - Climate Change Tipping Points
N - Climate Emergency
N - Climate Sensitivity
N - Extreme Events
N - Fat and Long Tail Risks From Climate Change
N - Human Extinction
N - IPCC 1.5 Degrees Report
N - Systemic Climate Risk
T - Climate Emergency Networks
T - Extreme Events Network
T - Risk Assessment
T - Systemic Risk
V - Abrupt Change/Climate Disruption
V - Climate Emergency
V - Extreme Events
V - Systemic Climate Risk
E - 1.5 Degree Target
E - 1 Degree 350 ppm Scenario
E - 2 Degree 450 PPM Pathway
E - 3-4 Degree Scenario
E - 100% Renewable Transition
E - Changing Probability Distributions
E - Climate Change Tipping Points
E - Climate Emergency Extracts
E - Climate Sensitivity
E - Extreme Event Impacts
E - Food Security Impacts
E - Security and Climate
E - Systemic Climate Risk
E - Underestimating Climate Risks
E - Worst Case Climate Change
Systemic Risk TOC
I:ChangingProbabilityDistributions
I:ClimateChangeasThreatMultiplier
I:FoodSystemShocks
I:IndirectImpactsofClimateChange
I:InvestmentRiskUncertainties
I:SystemicRiskasBusinessRisk
I:SystemicRiskOutcomes
I:SystemicRiskTriggers
S - Abrupt Climate Change
S - Climate Change Systemic Risk
S - Climate Change Tipping Points
S - Climate Emergency Sources
S - Climate Sensitivity
S - Conflict and Climate Change
S - Economic/Political Disruption as Business Risk
S - Economics of Extreme Events/Disasters
S - SocioEconomic Impacts
S - Stranded Assets
S - Systemic Risk
N - Climate and Security
N - Systemic Climate Risk
V - Climate and Security
V - Systemic Climate Risk
E - Systemic Risk
Under-Estimated Risk TOC
I:AcceleratingClimateChange
I:ClimateChangeasThreatMultiplier
I:IndirectImpactsofClimateChange
I:IPCCUnderestimationofRisk
I:SystemicClimateRisk (Deep Dive)
S - Abrupt Climate Change
S - Catastrophic Risk Decision-Making
S - Climate Change Systemic Risk
S - Climate Emergency Sources
S - Climate Sensitivity
S - Conflict and Climate Change
S - Decision-making Under Uncertainty
S - Fat and Long Tail Risks of Climate Change
S - Systemic Risk
S - Worst Case Climate Change
N - Accelerating/Worsening Climate Change
N - Climate and Security
N - Climate Change Tipping Points
N - Climate Sensitivity
N - Fat and Long Tail Risks From Climate Change
T - Risk Assessment
V - Climate and Security
E - Changing Probability Distributions
E - Underestimating Climate Risks
S - Climate Uncertainties Unknowns
S - Abrupt Climate Change
S - Climate Change Tipping Points
S - Climate Sensitivity
S - Global Warming Hiatus
S - Impact Attribution
S - Probabilistic Decision-Making
2007 Taleb_The Black Swan
2008 MacCracken_Sudden and Disruptive Climate Change
1995 Myers_Environmental unknowns
2000 Streets_Exploring the concept of climate surprise $$
2001 Reilly_Uncertainties and Climate Change Assessments
2002 NRC_Abrupt Climate Change - Inevitable Surprises
2005 Cameron_Updating Subjective Risks in the Presence of Conflicting Information: An Application to Climate Change
2007 Rahmstorf_Recent climate change observations compared to projections
2007 Taleb_The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable - Get Abstract
2008 Anderson_Reframing the climate change challenge in light of post-2000 emission trends
2008 PIRC Climate Safety Report - In case of emergency
2008 Wharton Managing Large Scale Risks in a New Era of Catastophes
2009 Fussel_Updated assessment of risks from climate change since IPCC FAR report
2009 Ganguly_Higher trends but larger uncertainty and geographic variability in 21st century temperature and heat waves
2009 Sokolov Probabilistic forecast for 21st century climate based on uncertainties
2009 Weitzman_Some basic economics of extreme climate change
2009 Wigley_Uncertainties in climate stabilization
2010 Backus_Climate Uncertainty and Implications for the US (3 page overview)
2010 Jones_Estimation of global temperature trends - what is important and not
2010 Lindenmayer_Probability of detecting ecological surprises
2010 Majda_Quantifying uncertainy in CC through empirical information theory
2010 Tomassini_Uncertainty and risk in climate projections
2010 Trexler_A gathering of black swans
2011 Chen_Dark Clouds or silver linings. Knightian uncertainty and CC
2011 Duffy_Uncertainty in Future Climate - What you need to know
2011 Elahi_Here be dragons exploring the unknown unknowns $$
2011 Morgan_Key Uncertainties in Assessing Climate Change Impacts
2011 U.S. Carbon Cycle Science Plan_8-11
2012 Corlett_Climate change in the tropics: The end of the world as we know it? $$
2012 Hansen_A new age of risk
2012 Moss_Climate Science and Uncertainty
2012 Thompson_Climate predictions - the influence of nonlinearity and randomness
2013 Berkhout_Framing climate uncertainty: socio-economic and climate scenarios in vulnerability and adaptation assessments
2013 Hansen_Assessing Dangerous Climate Change
2013 Hansen_Climate Urgency
2013 Hodson_Identifying uncertainties in Arctic climate change projections
2013 Huggel_Loss and Damage Attribution
2013 Katz_Uncertainty Analysis in Climate Change Assessments
2013 Legendre_Thirty thousand year old distant relative of giant icosahedral DNA viruses
2013 Parker_Ensemble modeling, uncertainty and robust predictions
2013 Pope_Quantifying uncertainty in climate science
2013 Wagner_Expecting a Black Swan and Getting a Dragon - Confronting Deep Uncertainty in Climate Change
2013 Webster_Uncertainty Analysis of Climate Change and Policy Response
2014 Franzke_Nonlinear climate change $$
2014 Lewandowsky_Scientific uncertainty and climate change: Part I. Uncertainty and unabated emissions
2014 Lewandowsky_Scientific uncertainty and climate change: Part II. Uncertainty and mitigation
2014 Northrop_Quantifying sources of uncertainty in projections of future climate
2014 Shiogama_Climate science Clouds of uncertainty
2014 Smith_Changing how earth system modeling is done to provide more useful information
2015 Cooke_Messaging climate change uncertainty $$
2015 Good_Nonlinear regional warming with increasing CO2 concentrations $$
2015 Smith_Near-term acceleration in the rate of temperature change $$
2017 Liu_Overlooked possibility of a collapsed Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in warming climate
2021 McKay_Updated assessment suggests 1.5 global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points
S - Key Climate Variables
S - Climate Sensitivity
S - Global Warming Potentials
I:ClimateSensitivity
