1900-2010 (2011) U.S. temperature anomalies not nearly as clear as other parts of the world
E - Changing Probability Distributions
E - Extreme Event Impacts
2011 Hansen_Climate Variability and Climate Change: The New Climate Dice
1900-2010 (2011) Anomalies are clearly trending towards hot and very hot temperatures
Can we differentiate between U.S. and global temperature extreme trends?
2013 Infographic - Weathermageddon Extreme Climate in Canada 2013
Coastal flooding will increase in NYC
Infographic - Extreme weather and climate change
Infographic - Risks at 2, 3, 4 Degrees
Infographic - Snapshot of a Warming World
Infographic - the costs of climate change
I:1.5vs2.0Degrees (HowCanIVisualize?)
T - Visualizing Future Impacts
E - Changing Return Periods
E - Climate Change and Hurricanes
E - Climate Change Fingerprint
E - Communicating shifting extremes
E - Forecasted Probabilities
2016 Global monthly temperature anomalies 2015-2016
Small average changes in temperature can hide dramatic changes at extremes
2015/2 2015 is an important year for Climate Change
2016/11 What will the world actually look like at 1.5°C of warming?
2018/10 Among the Ruins of Mexico Beach Stands One House, Built ‘for the Big One’
2018/10 Interactive: The impacts of climate change at 1.5C, 2C and beyond
Climate Central - Threatened U.S. Cities by Decade
2014 Global Warming Projections, 2 degrees warmer (from NG 2008)
2015 A climate change Christmas: the hottest deals of 2056 – video
2015 Climate Change: What Happens If The World Warms Up By 2°C?
2015 Earth Under Water in 2040 HD Documentary 2015
0oC - 5oC extreme event impacts
1oC - Socioeconomic impacts of climate change already manifesting
3oC - Asian cities that will be worst affected by sea level rise
1500-2010 (2012) European summer temperatures 1500-2010
1500-2010 (2012) Frequency of extreme European summers
1900-2100 (2008) Change in daily heavy precipitation events, with uncertainty
1900-2100 (2008) Increase in % of warm nights for North America, with uncertainty
1900-2100 (2010) Changes in permafrost coverage to 2100
1900-2100 (2012) Estimated ocean acidification under alternative emissions scenarios
1920-2100 (2017) A massive increase in "nuisance flooding" around the U.S.
1950-2010 (2011) Fraction of surface area that's cold or hot shifting significantly
1950-2010 (2011) One can see a systematic warming signal in a number of regions
1950-2010 (2011) The extreme heat tail of anomalies has shifted by 1 SD over 3 decades
1950-2010 (2011) We can track how annual anomalies diverge in terms of SDs from the baseline
1950-2011 (2011) The fraction of land area with very high extremes is increasing
1950-2011 (2012) Temperature anomaly distributions during the summer for the U.S.
1950-2011 (2013) It's not the change in global average temperature that really matters, it's the tails of the probability curve
1950-2015 (2016) North and Southern hemisphere temperature anomaly shifts
1950-2015 (2016) Regional shifts in temperature anomalies - Africa, Middle East, SE Asia
1950-2015 (2016) Regional shifts in temperature anomalies - U.S., Europe, China, India
1955-2007 (2011) We can track how surface temperatures are changing over time
1955-2011 (2011) The proportion of surface area displaying >3 SDs is growing significantly
1980-2040 (2009) Decreasing habitat for coldwater fish
1980-2100 (2014) North Hemisphere near-surface permafrost area to 2100
1980-2100 (2014) Northern Hemisphere snow cover change to 2100
1980-2100 (2014) Number of days over 95o (F) RCP 8.5 Median and 1 in 20 chance
1980-2100 (2015) Change in after number of days over 95 degrees (F) Median and 1 in 20 chance estimates
2000-2013 (2016) Observed change in U.S. precipitation patterns
2000-2050 (2012) Annual probability of loss due to hurricanes for Miami-Dade Region
2000-2050 (2012) Expected value of hurricane damages to Miami-Dade
2000-2050 (2012) Expected value of hurricane damanges to Miami-Dade
2000-2050 (2012) Frequency of Cat 4-5 hurricanes expected to increase 80% by 2050, while Cat 1-3 decline 38%
2000-2050 (2012) Return frequency declining for major hurricanes
2000-2060 (2016) Change in coastal population exposure by country
2009 Choosing the right strategy in probability space
2009 Increases in wind damage are not linear to wind speed
2009 Risk of temperature directly related to concentrations, and varies widely over time
2009 Temperatures Will Rise - Australia as an Example
2009 The new "business as usual" of extreme events
2010 Annualized U.S. loss trend - water impacts
2010 High value sector water availability - municipalities, industry, energy
2010 Hydroelectric water availability
2010 In probability distributions, modes and means and uncertainty are important
2010 Mining water availability
2010 Normalized state by state water availability in 2050
2010 rainfall anomaly against future probability distributions
2010 Relating sea level rise to storm return time for NYC
2010 Second order uncertainty is the uncertainty in the uncertainty
2011 10 Warmest Years on Record
2011 Aggregated climate change index shows future change relative to current variability
2011 Anticipated changes in stream-flow in 2050
2011 US natural disaster risk map
2011 Very different sensitivities to risk
2011 Very good chance we're already committed to >2 degrees C
2012 Confidence in projecting direction and magnitude of some extremes grows as timeframe increases
2012 extreme weather events
2012 Extreme events are growing in probability faster than projected by the models
2012 Interpreting global cyclone projections to risk management in the Caribbean
2012 Interpreting global drought projections to risk management in the Sahel
2012 Interpreting global heat wave projections to risk management in Europe
2012 Models clearly project changes in heat extreme return periods (see NA detail)
2012 Models clearly project precipitation extreme impact return periods over time (see NA detail)
2012 Probabilistic Forecasts to 2100 based on new Representative Concentration Pathways
2012 Ratio of high to low records in the U.S. 1950's to 2000's
2012 Showing North American Detail
2012 Significant weather related losses of 2011
2012 There's huge uncertainty about really long-term outcomes
2013 25 Most Costly Worldwide Insurance Disasters 1970-2012
2013 Probability of catastrophe by treatment
2013 temperatures against future probability distribution
2014/3 Heavy downpours more intense, frequent in a warmer world
2014 Average summer temperatures across the U.S.
2014 Average winter temperatures
2014 Global temperature projections different and timelines
2014 Number of extreme cold days
2014 Probability distribution of annual increase in property damage assuming no change in hurricane activity
2014 Projected changes in frost-free season length by scenario
2015 Global probability of exceeding 99th extremes with temperature increase
2015 Probability of extreme precipitation events under warming
2015 Timescales of climate processes and inclusion of feedbacks in climate models
2016 Alternative warming paths
2016 Annual mean surface temperature anomaly
2016 Billion-dollar weather events 1980 2015
2016 Changing likelihood of extreme events
2016 Comparison of El Nino strength and temperature trend
2016 Decadal mean surface temperature anomaly
2016 Emissions limits required to achieve temperature targets
2016 Global surface temperature, annual and running mean
2016 ocean temperature anomaly against future probability distribution
2016 Potential temperature increase associated with consuming proven fossil fuels
2016 Temperature anomalies by latitude
2017/7 Alarming New Animation Shows The Months Are Indeed Getting Warmer
2017 Changing Cold Hardiness zones in Oregon to 2050
2017 Forecasting OR's winter temperature change
2017 It's all about probabilities
2017 Latitudinal risk of deadly climate
2017 Sea surface temperature anomaly 1961-1990
2018 Modeling flood risk over time
2018 Tropical cyclones getting stronger
2019 A cumulative distribution function (CDF) transforms a probability distribution into an exceedance curve from 0 to 100%. A complementary CDF (CCDF) does the reverse, from 100% to 0%
2019 Significant climate anomalies and events in 2019
2019 Visualizing the December, 2019 European heat wave
2020 2019 was Alaska's warmest year on record
2020 2019 Was 2nd Warmest Year on Record
2020 Arctic sea ice extent since 1979
2020 Global temperature time series
2020 Top 20 largest California wildfires 1932-2020
2020 US Temperature conditions 2019
2021 Amplification of temperature changes in the Arctic
2021 Australian annual average daily maximum temperature 1910-2021
2021 Committed sea level rise as a function of long-term global temperature increase
2021 Distribution of reported disasters 1970 - 2019
2021 Global population (2010 - 2100) experiencing a heatwave that exceeds 98th and 99th percentile of reference period (1981-2010)
2021 La Nina and Indian Ocean dipole 2021
2021 Land and ocean temperature percentiles for Jan-Dec 2020
2021 Number of people exposed to heat stress above the risks to workability and survivability thresholds
2021 Overview of weather, water, and climate-related disasters, deaths, and economic losses reported in Africa 1970 - 2019
2021 Overview of weather, water, and climate-related disasters, deaths, and economic losses reported in Asia 1970 - 2019
2021 Overview of weather, water, and climate-related disasters, deaths, and economic losses reported in Europe 1970 - 2019
2021 Overview of weather, water, and climate-related disasters, deaths, and economic losses reported in LDCs 1970 - 2019
2021 Overview of weather, water, and climate-related disasters, deaths, and economic losses reported in North American and Caribbean 1970 - 2019
2021 Overview of weather, water, and climate-related disasters, deaths, and economic losses reported in Small Island Developing States (SIDS) 1970 - 2019
2021 Overview of weather, water, and climate-related disasters, deaths, and economic losses reported in South America 1970 - 2019
2021 Overview of weather, water, and climate-related disasters, deaths, and economic losses reported in South West Pacific 1970 - 2019
2021 Populations in Africa and Middle East experiencing heatwaves 2010 - 2100
2021 Populations in Asia and Australasia experiencing heatwaves 2010 - 2100
2021 Populations in Europe experiencing heatwaves 2010 - 2100
2021 Populations in North, Central, and South America experiencing heatwaves 2010 - 2100
2022 Average global temperature change 2050-2060 due to combination of carbon removal and albedo
2022 Population exposed to potentially deadly temperature and humidity combinations - not accounting for heat waves
2030 (2017) Climate change could raise extreme poverty significantly
2030 (2020) Vulnerability of global infrastructure assets
2030-2050 - Change in surface water supply
2030-2050 (2020) # of countries with GDP at risk from reduced effective working hours
2030-2050 (2020) Average land and sea surface temperature anomaly under RCP 4.5 and 8.5
2030-2050 (2020) GDP at risk from impact on effective working hours
2030-2050 (2020) Increase in 50-year precipitation events
2030-2050 (2020) Lethal heat wave probabilities in India
2030-2050 (2020) Lethal heat wave probability
2030-2050 (2020) Probability of drought across Africa
2030-2050 (2020) Probability of drought in Meditteranean
2030-2050 (2020) Probability of lost working hours in India
2030-2050 (2020) Regional increase in average annual temperature
2030-2050 (2020) Regional temperature changes against global RCP 8.5 scenario
2030-2050 (2020) Risk of >15% global yield failure increases 2x and 5x
2030-2050 Change in global drought likelihood
2040 (2013) Median Projected Change in 1% Annual Flood Discharge
2040 (2013) Median Projected Change in SFHA
2040 (2020) Increased likelihood of today’s 100-year hurricanes
2050 (2014) Planting zone changes over time
2050 (2020) Economic impact of extreme flood could be 5-10 times greater than today
2050-2100 (2012) Projected increase 20-year return values of annual maximum daily temperatures
2050-2100 (2012) Projected return period for today’s 1 in 20 years annual maximum temperatures
2050-2100 (2012) Significant trends in the number of dry days, and soil moisture
2050-2100 (2015) Likelihood of a more than 10% increase in number of water-stressed people by region
2050-2100 (2015) Probability of a 50% increase in annual area cropland affected by drought
2060 (2013) Median Projected Change in 1% Annual Flood Discharge
2060 (2013) Median Projected Change in SFHA
2080 (2013) Median Projected Change in 1% Annual Flood Discharge
2080 (2013) Median Projected Change in SFHA
2080-2100 (2012) The frequency of what today are 1 in 20 year events
2100 (2008) Global changes in annual runoff
2100 (2012) Expected change in regional extreme temperatures (degrees and SDs)
2100 (2012) Expected regional temperature change (degrees and SDs)
2100 (2012) Percentage of expected to exceed 3, 4, and 5 SDs from current temperatures
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1900-2010 (2011) U.S. temperature anomalies not nearly as clear as other parts of the world
2011_Hansen_Climate Variability and Climate Change
Under-Estimating Climate Risk