Headings - Extracted Materials
E - Food Security Impacts
Extracted Graphics | Extracted Ideas
Global Food Shock as Systemic Risk
Ukraine War and Low Carbon Transition
2012/8 Building climate values through food security
Existing concentration of growing regions for major grains is high
2010 Countries are leasing land abroad for food production purposes
2011 WEG food security profile
2012 The global food trade
2015 Conceptual framework for food supply chain disruption scenarios
2015 Graphical representation of worst-case scenarios for 2016 and 2026 (1)
2020 Four main tipping point characteristics may be identified for early warning signals
2020 Identification of tipping points, showing transition from stable food security conditions to a food crisis resulting from drought in Ethiopia
2020 In this model, the transition of interest is the regime shift from favorable food security conditions into a food crisis, and vice versa.
2020 Integrated Food Security Phase Classification
2020 Remotely‐sensed environmental indicators that could be related to droughts or the impacts of droughts on food insecurity
2021 Expert assessment of systemic cascading climate risks likely to lead to food insecurity
2022 Anticipating food security transitions using autocorrelation of remotely sensed soil moisture and food prices
2022 Economies exposed to some portion of shock from Ukraine war
2022 Economies with severe or significant exposure to food, energy, or finance shock from Ukraine war
2022 FAO Food index prices 2019-April 2022
2022 Forecasting size of food security transition using three-month median soil moisture autocorrelation values
2022 LDC and small island state economies with severe exposure to food or energy shock from Ukraine war
2022 Price increases and volatility in wheat and maize prices April 2022 due to Ukraine crisis
2022 Rising prices elevate the alarm for food security and political stability - Ukraine crisis
2022 Sustained periods of soil moisture autocorrelation values indicate a potential food security state shift
2022 Visualization dashboard showing how food security transitions can be detected by changes in soil moisture autocorrelation
2023 Avoiding food loss and waste, shifting to more plant-based diets and improving farming practice through agro-ecological approaches are key leverage points
2023 Data visualisation dashboard showing how food security transitions are detected with remotely sensed soil moisture data and food price data
2023 Example of a tipping point in the context of food security
2030-2050 (2020) Risk of >15% global yield failure increases 2x and 5x
1 in 100 Year Food Shocks May Be 3x as Likely by Mid-century
2011/6 Oxfam Predicts Climate Change will Help Double Food Prices by 2030: “We Are Turning Abundance into Scarcity”
Although remotely‐sensed data currently provide input into drought and food security analysis, their use at the global level is not systematic
Climate change will compound food security and safety risks
Current models leave a lot out at higher temperature ranges
IPCC estimated positive and negative changes in crop yields to 2100
Land conscription for rewilding and food security is a topic whose time has come
Remotely‐sensed environmental data are already being used for drought and food security assessments, though their use is still relatively limited.
The four statistical diagnostics – autocorrelation, skewness, variance and threshold exceedance – offer an opportunity to operationalize an early warning system that detects transitions from one state of food security conditions to a state of a food crisis
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