E - Integrated Assessment Modeling
2010 GDP Impacts of up to 4 C Change for Multiple Models
2010 GDP Impacts of up to 10 C Change For Multiple Models
2013 What do all of the 2010 IAMs estimate at a 3% discount rate
2014 1 - Socioeconomic uncertainty
2015 Cchanges to DICE suggest that radical reductions become the preferred policy scenario
2015 Changing assumptions has a modest impact on economic output
2015 Changing input assumptions has a big impact on expected emissions
2015 Changing input assumptions has a big impact on expected temperatures
2015 Future emissions reductions don't affect consumption
2015 There is no conflict between what science and economics are actually telling us
2016 IAMs are at the core of climate change economic analysis, but have a very hard incorporating tipping points
2017 Damage function for various IAMs
2021 Current IAMs do not reflect well-developed climate science
IAMs generate very different estimates of damage for identical scenarios
IAMs generate very different estimates of damage for identical scenarios 2
Incorporation of BECCS into IAMs is only a thought experiment today
Will require all sorts of new research
A target-consistent carbon price is a lot more reliable than IAM-based SCCs
IAMs Flaw #1 - Inadequate consideration of uncertainty and risk
IAMs Flaw #2 - Exogenous economic growth
IAMs Flaw #3 - High Discount rates
IAMs Flaw #4 - Inadequate treatment of inequities
IAMs Flaw #5 - Ignoring market failures other than climate change
IAMs Flaw #6 - Everything depends on the assumptions used
IPCC assessments rely heavily on IAMs
Most IAMs are static models, and don't reflect long timeframes well
On option for IAMs is to constrain CO2 concentrations
Social Cost of Carbon TOC
E - Climate Modeling and Forecasting
E - SCC Social Cost of Carbon
I:IAMsIntegratedAssessmentModels (Deep Dive)
2015 Infographic - beef subsidies in Brazil
2015 Infographic - timber subsidies Indonesia
2015 Infographic palm oil subsidies in Indonesi
2015 Infographic soy subsidies in Brazil
Infographic - Disastrous Spending Federal disaster relief
Infographic - How Much Does Solar Power Cost?
Infographic - Natural Capital
Infographic - Putting the worlds money supply into perspective
Infographic - the costs of climate change
Infographic - The value of the Great Barrier Reef to Australia
Infographic - Why global carbon emissions fell in 2014
Infographic Disaster Risk Finance: Protecting Livelihoods and Developme
I:SCCIncorporationofUncertainty
S - Adapting to Climate Change Under Uncertainty
S - Atmospheric Trust Litigation
S - Business Adaptation/Resilience
S - Business Decision-Making with Climate Uncertainty
S - Carbon Pricing Sources
S - Climate Change Fingerprint to Date
S - Climate Change Tipping Points
S - Climate Emergency Sources
S - Climate Ethics Morals Religion
S - Climate Risk (Societal)
S - Climate Uncertainties Unknowns
S - Cost-Benefit Analysis
S - Economics Forecasting
S - Ecosystem Restoration
S - Environmental and Climate Storytelling
S - Environmental Migrants
S - Evaluating Business Responses
S - Evaluating SCC Estimates
S - Evaluating Voluntary Measures
S - Federal SCC Determination
S - Forestry Emissions and Mitigation
S - Green Growth Investment Barriers
S - IAMs Integrated Assessment Models
S - Intergenerational Decisionmaking
S - Modeling Extreme Events
S - Observed vs. Modeled Impacts
S - Public Perceptions of CCS
S - Quantifying Economic Impacts
S - SCC and Risk Adversity
S - SCC Social Cost of Carbon
S - Sectoral Social Costs
N - Alternative Economic Models
N - Business and Deforestation
N - Carbon Dioxide Removal - CDR
N - Carbon Pricing News - Topical
N - CCS Carbon Capture and Storage
N - Climate Change Fingerprint
N - Ecosystem Restoration
N - Evaluating Business Action
N - Evaluating Risk Disclosure
N - Gaming and Climate Communication
N - Green Growth Climate Finance
N - SCC Social Cost of Carbon News
N - Soil Carbon Sequestration
T - Behavioral Economics - Cognitive
T - Climate Impact Tracking
T - Economics Websites, Blogs, FB Home Pages
T - Nature-Based Solutions
T - Organized Economics Subtopics
T - Social Cost of Carbon Individuals
T - Visualizing Future Impacts
Topical Websites, Blogs, FB Home Pages
V - SCC Social Cost of Carbon
E - Alternative Economics
E - Carbon Pricing Extracts
E - Climate and Economic Growth
E - Climate Change Fingerprint
E - Climate Opportunities
E - Communicating shifting extremes
E - Cost Benefit Analysis
E - Economic Policymaking
E - Economic thinking as part of climate problem
E - Green Growth Policies
E - IAM Uncertainties and Forecasts
E - Impact Specific Economics
E - Implications of Discounting Future Damages
E - International Policies
E - Low Carbon Transition Costs
E - Mitigation Potentials by Cost
E - Negative Emissions Technologies
E - Negotiating a Global Carbon Price
E - Risks of SCC Reliance
E - Science-based targets
E - UCC Ultimate Cost of Carbon
E - Visualizing Climate Change
How could the SCC be deployed?
2011/1 Global Surface Temperature Anomalies
Interactive Graphic - Farming and the Green economy
2018/10 New York sues ExxonMobil for falsely claiming use of an internal price on carbon, which was portrayed as managing future regulatory risk
2022 New GIVE model estimates mean 3% SCC at $185
1990-2300 (1996) Global temperature change associated with SLR estimates
1995 Projected geographic distribution of global temperature change based on 2x CO2
1995 Projected temperature change to 2070
2001 Economics costs of climate change up to 6^o C
2006 Forecasting the cost of future climate change mitigation
2006 The optimal amount of climate change mitigation in a given time period
2007 Estimated geographical impacts of 2.5 and 6 degrees C of warming
2008 Nuclear is the cheapest option if we price carbon
2009 Climate change modeling has gotten a lot better
2009 Conventional vs. expansive estimate of climate change impact on GDP
2009 How discount rates affect different adaptation measures
2010 Annual variation in national precipitation estimates based on 53 model runs using 24 models
2010 Annualized U.S. loss trend - water impacts
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Headings - Extracted Materials
E - Integrated Assessment Modeling
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