The Climate Web | 2020 Spratt_Climate Reality Check 2020 PPT

2020 Spratt_Climate Reality Check 2020 PPT

2020 Different GHG reductions have different time delays

2020 How emissions pathways and future temperatures are linked

2020 How quickly could we reach 3, 4, or 5oC?

2020 Potential climate change tipping points

2020 Warming is accelerating

2020 We could reach 2.5oC by 2030 or before

2030 Is the Critical Timeframe for Emissions, not 2050

3oC of warming could be catastrophic

Adaptation to 3-5oC is not possible

Civilization collapse could result from too little global action

Climate history previews climate futures

Just 2oC of warming could trigger runaway climate change

Key questions about climate risk

Large scale carbon drawdown is vital

Large scale societal disruption is already inevitable

Natural systems face existential risks from climate change

Reducing emissions now will not mitigate warming in next two decades

Risk management requires attention to “fat tail” outcomes

SRM can have a strong and immediate colling effect

The risks of climate change are existential

Tipping points alone suggest a climate emergency

We may already be committed to more than 2oC

Why 1.5oC is not a safe level of warming

Why 2oC of warming is very dangerous

Why IPCC estimates are too conservative

Why we’re on track for 3-5oC by 2100

S - Climate Change Systemic Risk

S - Climate Emergency Sources

S - Under-Estimating Climate Risk

Breakthrough National Centre for Climate Restoration

Climate Reality Check

Spratt, David

2020 Spratt_Climate Reality Check 2020

S - Abrupt Climate Change

S - Catastrophic Risk Decision-Making

S - Climate Change Fingerprint to Date

S - Climate Change Tipping Points

S - Climate Engineering Sources

S - Dangerous Climate Impacts

S - Economic/Political Disruption as Business Risk

S - Human Extinction

S - Impact Attribution

S - Planetary Boundaries

S - Policy Outcomes as Business Risk

S - Probabilistic Decision-Making

S - Stranded Assets

2006 Rockwell_Why Are the Ice Caps Melting?: The Dangers of Global Warming

2007 Hillman_The Suicidal Planet: How to Prevent Global Climate Catastrophe

2008 Campbell Climatic Cataclysm The Foreign Policy and National Security Implications of Climate Change $$

2009 Orr_Down to the Wire Confronting Climate Collapse

2009 Orr_Down to the Wire: Confronting Climate Collapse

2014 Moellendorf_The Moral Challenge of Dangerous Climate Change: Values, Poverty, and Policy

2015 Mann_Dire Predictions: Understanding Climate Change (2nd Edition)

2015 Shaw_The Two Degrees Dangerous Limit for Climate Change: Public Understanding and Decision Making

2015 Stern_Why Are We Waiting?: The Logic, Urgency, and Promise of Tackling Climate Change

2016 Grain_The Great Climate Robbery: How the Food System Drives Climate Change and What We Can Do About It

2016 Orr_Climate Change, the Long Emergency, and the Way Forward

2016 Wilson_Half-Earth: Our Planet's Fight for Life

2018 Lynch_Urgency in the Anthropocene

2018 Scranton_We're Doomed. Now What?: Essays on War and Climate Change

2018 Stephens_How Does Critique Respond to the Urgency of Climate Change?

2019 Jamail_The End of Ice: Bearing Witness and Finding Meaning in the Path of Climate Disruption

2019 Wallace-Wells_The Uninhabitable Earth: Life After Warming

2020 Ord_The Precipice: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity

2021 Pogue_How to Prepare for Climate Change: A Practical Guide to Surviving the Chaos

2021 Crepel_Corporate strategy in the era of climatic emergency Are old recipes still viable

200X Hayes_Our Money is Safe, but the Planet Is Not: How the Carbon Bubble Will Cause Havoc for the Environment, but Not the Stock Market

200X Salt_Is the climate in crisis PPT

1990 Tainter_The Collapse of Complex Societies

2005 Keller_Avoiding dangerous anthropogenic information with the climate system

2005 Lorenzoni_Dangerous Climate Change the Role for Risk Research

2005 Sunstein_Irreversible and Catastrophic

2007 Campbell_The Age of Consequences - The Foreign Policy Implications

2008 GCI_Carbon Countdown

2008 IISD_The financial crisis and our response to climate change

2008 PIRC Climate Safety Report - In case of emergency

2008 Schellnhuber_Global warming Stop worrying start panicking

2008 Spratt_Climate Code Red The Case for a Sustainability Emergency

2008 Sunstein_Two Conceptions of Irreversible Environmental Harm

2009 Baer_A 350 ppm Emergency Pathway

2009 Jones_Gaia bites back: Accelerated warming $$

2010 Apocadocs_Humoring the horror of the converging emergencies

2010 Johnson_Climate change and the risk industry The multiplication of fear and value

2010 Kousky_Responding to Threats of Climate Change Mega-Catastrophes

2011 Anderson_Climate Change: Going Beyond Dangerous PPT

2011 Ceronsky_Checking the price tag on catastrophe The social cost of carbon under non-linear climate response (updated version)

2011 Fitch_Slow Motion Disaster The Big Picture of Converging Effects of Climate Change $$

2011 Mabey_Degrees of Risk -- Defining a Risk Management Framework for Climate Security

2011 McKinsey_Resource Revolution Meeting the World's Energy Materials Food Water Needs

2012 Lee_Resources Futures

2012 Mason_Compounding Vulnerability Impacts of Climate Change on Palestinians in Gasa and the West Bank $$

2012 PWC_Too late for two degrees - Low Carbon Economy Index 2012

2012 Spratt_Bright Siding Climate Advocacy

2013 Campiglio_The Structure Shift to Green Services - A Two-Sector Growth Model

2013 Jennings_Climate Disruption: Are We Beyond the Worst Case Scenario?

2013 Spratt_Is Climate Change Already Dangerous?

2014 Byrnes_White Paper - Systemic Risk in Global Agriculture Conference Proceedings

2014 CERES_Reducing Systemic Risks

2014 CLC_Climate Change A Systemic Risk

2014 Gordon_Sea Level Rise - A Slow Moving Emergency

2014 Huntingford_Complexity and determining dangerous levels of climate impacts

2014 Kraemer_Climate change is a global megatrend for sovereign risk

2014 RSA_Environmental systemic risk and insurance white paper

2015 Baum_Resilience to Global Food Supply Catastrophes

2015 BZE_Carbon Crisis Systemic risk of carbon emission liabilities

2015 Carney_Breaking the tragedy of the horizon – climate change and financial stability - speech by Mark Carney

2015 Centeno_The emergence of global systemic risk $$

2015 FCO_Extreme Weather and Resilience of the Global Food System

2015 King_Climate Change a Risk Assessment

2015 Liesen_Climate change and financial market efficiency $$

2015 Lloyds_Food System Shock

2015 Preventable Surprises_Institutional Investors and Climate-Related Systemic Risk

2015 Spratt_Recount It's Time to Do the Math Again

2015 Sutton_Striking Targets Matching Climate Goals with Climate Reality

2016 ESRB_Too late too sudden: Transition to a low-carbon economy and systemic risk

2016 Giraud_Comments on Climate Change Development Poverty and Economics

2016 Harris_Adapting to dangerous climate change Implications for studies of politics policy and beyond

2016 IHS Energy_Do Investments in Oil and Gas Constitute Systemic Risk

2016 McKibben_Recalculating the Climate Math

2016 Mello_The Crisis at Hand the Emergency Mode and the Need for Full Scale Mobilization

2016 Preventable Surprises_Climate change as a systemic risk to the financial system

2016 Rezai_Ecological Macroeconomics Introduction and Review

2016 Salamon_Leading the Public into Emergency Mode A New Strategy for the Climate Movement

2016 Spratt_Climate Reality Check After Paris Counting the Cost

2017 Bettis_The risk of climate ruin $$

2017 Brecher_Against Doom A Climate Insurgency Manual

2017 Chen_Climate mitigation policy as a system solution addressing the risk cost of carbon $$

2017 Dunlop_Disaster Alley Climate Change Conflict and Risk

2017 Giraud_Coping with the Collapse Macrodynamics of Global Warming $$

2017 Holdren_Why the Wafflers Are Wrong: Addressing climate change is urgent and a bargain PPT

2017 James_The distinctive significance of systemic risk $$

2017 Mourad_Tools for Understanding Systemic Risks Like Climate Change

2017 Porrka_The use of food imports to overcome local limits to growth

2017 Roper_Twenty-First Century Collapse

2017 Spratt_What Lies Beneath The Scientific Understatement of Climate Risks

2017 Walsh_Pathways for balancing CO2 emissions and sinks

2018 Bendell_Deep Adaptation A Map for Navigating Climate Tragedy

2018 Busby_Why Climate Change Explains the World

2018 Carney_A transition in thinking and action

2018 Club of Rom_Climate Emergency Plan

2018 Club of Rome_The Club of Rome Climate Emergency Plan - A Collaborative Call for Climate Action

2018 Ehrlich_The Great Mismatch

2018 Lister_Talanoa Dialogue Platform Submission

2018 Mercure_Macroeconomic impact of stranded fossil fuel assets

2018 Nature_ Climate Change_Broad threat to humanity from cumulative climate hazards

2018 Spratt_What Lies Beneath - the Understatement of Existential Climate Risk

2018 van Nieuwkoop_Rising Hunger First signs of a new trend PPT

2018 Xu_Global warming will happen faster than we think

2019 Cascio_The apocalypse: It’s not the end of the world

2019 Club of Rome_Planetary Emergency Plan

2019 Coalition for Urban Transitions_Climate Emergency Urban Opportunit

2019 Fried_The Systemic Risk of Climate Policy

2019 Geraghty_No Place to Hide Climate Change and Systemic Financial Risk

2019 Giuzio_Climate change and financial stability

2019 Hanappi_From Integrated Capitalism to Disintegrating Capitalism Scenarios of

2019 Laybourn-Langton_This is a Crisis Facing up to the age of environmental breakdown

2019 NGFS_A call for Action - Climate change as a source of financial risk

2019 NGFS_Macroeconomic and financial stability Implications of climate change

2019 Spratt_Existential climate-related security risk A scenario approach

2019 Spratt_Revisiting the climate collapse The view from Nuuk in the year 2070

2019 Stanley Center_Global Financial Crisis and Climate Change

2019 Xu_Future of the human climate niche

2020 Bolton_The Green Swan Central banking and financial stability in the age of climate change

2020 Bovari_Financial impacts of climate change mitigation policies and their macroeconomic impacts

2020 CCRC_Briefing Document The Importance of Climate Repair

2020 Gilding_Climate Contagion 2020-2025

2020 Hohne_Emissions World has four times the work or one-third of the time

2020 JP Morgan_Risky Business The Climate and the Macroeconomy

2020 McGuire_Global Heating and Climate Catastrophe completing the picture PPT

2020 McPherson_Earth is in the Midst of Abrupt Irreversible Climate Change

2020 Morton_Don't Mention The Emergency - 2d ed

2020 NGFS_The Macroeconomic and Financial Stability Impacts of Climate Change Research Priorities

2020 Parks_Is Climate Change a Crisis And Who Says So An Analysis of Climate Characterization in Major US News Media $$

2020 Ripple_World Scientists Warning of a Climate Emergency

2020 Servigne_Another End of the World is Possible: Living the Collapse (and Not Merely Surviving It)

2020 Spratt_Fatal Calculations - How Economics Has Underestimated Climate Damage

2020 US CFTC_Report of the Subcommittee on Climate-Related Market Risk - Managing Climate Risk in the U.S. Financial System

2021 Bendell_Psychological insights on discussing societal disruption and collapse

2021 Bradshaw_Underestimating the Challenges of Avoiding a Ghastly Future

2021 CCAG_The Final Warning Bell

2021 CCAG_The Global Climate Crisis and the Action Needed

2021 Desai_Addressing the human cost in a changing climate

2021 Dunlop_Climate Crisis and Indian Industry

2021 Dunz_Climate-Related Risks for Ministries of Finance

2021 Ehrlich_Ghastly Future A Survival Revolution in Response.docx

2021 Hansen_A Realistic Path to a Bright Future

2021 Hansen_Don't Look Up An American Dream and an appeal

2021 Preventable Surprises_How can investors help prevent corporate policy capture

2021 Spratt_Degrees of Risk: Can the banking system survive climate change

2021 Spratt_Extreme Weather Events in the Arctic and Beyond A Global State of Emergency

2021 Spratt_Net Zero 2050 A Dangerous Illusion

2021 UNEPFI_Decarbonization and Disruption: Understanding the financial risks of a disorderly transition using climate scenarios

2021 Zenon_Too Hot to Grow How global warming can make the world enter into structure economic recession

2022 Bengston_Accelerating Climate Change: An Exploration of Cascading Future Implications

2022 Foroni_Forecasting the Covid-19 Recention and Recovery Lessons from the Financial Crisis

2022 Foster_Realism and the Climate Crisis

2022 Ripple_World Scientists’ Warning of a Climate Emergency 2022

2022 The SEC and Climate Risk

2023 Berger_Solving the Climate Crisis: Frontline Reports from the Race to Save the Earth

2023 International Corporate Governance Network_Biodiversity as a Systemic Risk

2023 Ripple_The 2023 state of the climate report - Entering uncharted territory

2023 Ripple_The 2023 state of the climate report Entering uncharted territory

2023 Trust_The Emperor’s New Climate Scenarios: Limitations and assumptions of commonly used climate-change scenarios in financial services

2024 Song_Serious Underestimation of Reduced Carbon Uptake Due to Vegetation Compound Droughts

2018/2 Do we have the capability to reverse global warming within a meaningful timeframe?

2019/6 New Report Suggests ‘High Likelihood of Human Civilization Coming to an End’ in 2050

2023/4 Faster than forecast, climate impacts trigger tipping points in the Earth system

2014 Spratt_Dangerous Climate Change Myths and Reality

2020 - 2021 Sources

2020 Spratt_Climate Reality Check 2020 PPT

Individual Books, Reports, Journal Articles

Sample Sources

Under-Estimating Climate Risk

2020 Spratt_Climate Reality Check 2020 PPT

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