0oC - 5oC infographic

2017 CCRC Major Climate Scenarios

2007 What's the worst that could happen? The improved sequel

1177 B.C.: When Civilization Collapsed

2008 NatGeo_2 Degrees Warmer: Ocean Life in Danger

2008 NatGeo_3 Degrees Warmer: Heat Wave Fatalities

2008 NatGeo_4 Degrees Warmer: Great Cities Wash Away

2008 NatGeo_5 Degrees Warmer: Civilization Collapses

2008 NatGeo_6 Degrees Warmer: Mass Extinction?

2009 A Graduation Speech to the "Class of 2099" on Climate Change and Tightening the Noose around Coal

2009 Alley_ Richard Alley's Climate Change Future

2009 Climate Change Scenarios

2009 The Age of Stupid

2011 Penn & Teller - Climate Change Bullshit - and Offsets

2012 "CHASING ICE" captures largest glacier calving ever filmed

2012 Jonathan Haidt Explains Our Contentious Culture

2012 Steroids, baseball, and climate change

2013 Global Warming: 1884-2012

2013 In Transition 2.0: a story of resilience and hope in extraordinary times

2013 James Burke, "After The Warming" (HQ) part 1

2013 Marshall Ganz on Fighting for Social Change

2013 New Research on Population and Climate: The Impact of Demographic Change on Carbon Emissions

2013 Population and Climate Change: Relationships, Research, and Responses

2013 Six degrees could change the world

2014 Disruption (Full Movie)

2014 Gilman_What Time Is It? (part 1)

2014 Global Warming Projections, 2 degrees warmer (from NG 2008)

2014 How Whales Change Climate

2014 How Wolves Change Rivers

2014 Last Hours

2015 A climate change Christmas: the hottest deals of 2056 – video

2015 Anderson_The Truth About Global Warming Brutal Numbers Tenuous Hope

2015 Climate Change: What happens If The World Warms Up By 3°C?

2015 Climate Change: What Happens If The World Warms Up By 2°C?

2015 Climate Change: What Happens If The World Warms Up By 4°C?

2015 Climate Change: What Happens If The World Warms Up By 5°C?

2015 Earth Under Water in 2040 HD Documentary 2015

2015 PBS_Why 2 degrees Celsius is climate change’s magic number

2015 Survivable IPCC projections based on science fiction

2015 What is global warming?

2016 Bending the Climate Change Curve

2016 Climate Documentary: The Cross of the Moment

2016 Liebreich_Mapping the Gap: The Road From Paris

2016 Mann_“Dire Predictions: Understanding Climate Change” – the Earth101 lecture

2016 Seba_Why Energy & Transportation will be Obsolete by 2030 - Oslo, March 2016 - YouTube

2016 The Choice is Ours 2016 Official Full Version

2017 King_ Climate Change: Risk & Energy Future Analysis

2017 Powers_Planning for resilience: Using scenarios to address potential impacts of climate change

2018 Tyndall Centre research: Future Scenarios

2019 How nature can save us from climate breakdown

2020 Johan Rockstrom - 10 years to transform the future of humanity -- or destabilize the plant

2020 Millennium Project -- Futures Conversations

2020 Paul Ehrlich - Avoiding a collapse of civilisation: Our chances, prospects and pathways forward

2021 Alice Friedemann: Life After Fossil Fuels

2021 Devastating climate future from leaked IPCC report

2022 Best Earth animated global warming projections

2023 Harnessing the Power of Climate Data with Probable Futures and Mapbox

CCSN 5.4 | A Global Mitigation Scenario

The Future Ain't What It Used To Be

UBC Climate Literacy 6.2 The Upcoming Century

UBC Climate Scenarios 6.1 Emission Scenarios

What Time is It? Lessons from History for a Sustainable World

0oC - 3.5oC heating degree days impacts in the U.S.

0oC - 4oC crop yield impacts

0oC - 5oC biological systems impacts in Australia

0oC - 5oC biological systems vulnerability

0oC - 5oC extreme event impacts

0oC - 5oC geochemical system vulnerabilities

0oC - 5oC global social system vulnerability

0oC - 5oC regional system vulnerabilitiesee

0oC - 7oC rainforest species diversity in Australia

0oC to 6oC - Probability of sleeping problems and different global temperature thresholds

1oC - 5oC climate change impacts

1oC - 5oC climate impacts to 2080

1oC - 5oC regional climate change impacts

1oC - 6oC climate change impacts

1oC - 6oC climate change impacts

1oC - Arctic sea ice volume to 2019

1oC - Average global temperature change to 2020

1oC - Socioeconomic impacts of climate change already manifesting

1.5oC - 2oC - Comparing the impacts

1.5oC - 2oC Comparing the implications

1.5oC - Likely date of hitting it

4oC - The estimated range of sea level rise impacts

200X If unrestrained climate change, what would it really mean?

200X What climate change means - selected impacts

2008 The consequences of rising temperatures will be severe

2010 % of summers warmer than today's 95th percentile, based on 3oC from pre-industrial

2010 Direct climate impacts, and associated human/ecological impacts

2014 Relied on statistical studies isolating effect of temp and precip on U.S. crops

2014 The link between temperature and violent crime

2016 Magnitude of UK climate change impacts for various levels of warming

2016 Probability of civil conflict with temperature increase

2021 Certain features of 3oC are significant when assessing economic impacts

2021 Projected change in annual flooding damages with 2oC and 4oC of warming

2021 Projected changes in average annual temperatures across the US associated with warming of 2oC and 4oC

2021 Two future temperature scenarios which companies might consider

2022 Global warming threshold estimates for global core and regional impact climate tipping elements

Change in work minutes with temperature increase

Durban after 2, 4 degrees

Examples of impacts with temperature change

Impacts of 1, 2, 3, oC warming on Chinese maize production

London after 2, 4 degrees

Maize yields with temperature increase

Mumbai after 2, 4 degrees

New York after 2, 4 degrees

Per degree change in precipitation seasonally

Per degree change in runoff globally

Per degree changes in precipitation globally

Per degree impacts on hurricane and typhoon intensity

Per degree relative change in runoff globally

Projected impacts on crop yields in a 3o warmer world

Serious climate impacts are already occurring, and will become worse

Shanghai after 2, 4 degrees

Sydney after 2,4 degrees

Temperature ranges for IPCC scenarios by 2099

The probability of heat waves in TX has increased substantially

1oC - 157 million more people are exposed to dangerous heat waves today than in 2000

1oC - a one in thousands of years storm like Huricane Harvey is 3x as likely and 15% more intense

1oC - AMOC seems to have weakened about 15%, the most in the last 1,500 years

1oC - Antarctic ice melt has increased 6 fold to 250 billion tons in last 4 decades

1oC - Antarctic ice melt rates are up to two orders of magnitude greater than theories had predicted

1oC - babitats are shifting 17km northward and 11m vertically per decade according to IPCC

1oC - between 1972 and 2018 the area burned in CA every year is up 500%

1oC - birds and butterflies are lagging behind shifting climatic zones by 212 and 135 kms respectiveley

1oC - flash flooding of kind that hit Wuhan, China in 2016 now 10x as likely to occur

1oC - marine heatwave days are up by 50% since first half of 20th century

1oC - mountain glaciers are now losing 335 billion tons of ice per year

1oC - observed maximum permafrost thaw depths already exceed what models anticipated would occur with 3oC of warming

1oC - rainfall intensity is increasing in many parts of the world

1oC - since the 1970’s the Antarctic’s Pine Island Glacier has gone from releasing 6 billion tons of ice to 46 billion tons of ice

1oC - the frequency of high-tide flooding in Eastern U.S. has doubled in the last 30 years

1oC - the reproductive success of corals has declined globally by 80% since 1970’s

1oC - warmer waters may be causing corals to lose their ability to synchronize release of eggs and sperm over large distances

1.5oC - 40% of world’s 44 megacities and 350 million people will experience dangerous heat extremes every hear

1.5oC - 70-90% of reef building corals are lost

1.5oC - 90 million Europeans are exposed to unprecedented summer heat waves

1.5oC - 500,000 fewer Latin America dengue fever cases by the end of the century

1.5oC - Once in a decade extremes for ag crops become the new normal

1.5oC - the costs of hurricanes in the Caribbean double to $1.4 billion per year

1.5oC - the European heat-waves of 2003 and 2017 could become a “normal summer”

1.5oC - the frequency of extreme El Ninos doubles, from every 15 years to every 7 years

1.5oC - we lose 4.8 million km2 of permafrost

1.5oC - world an ice-free Arctic occurs ever 40 years, in a 2oC world every 3 years

2oC - “meandering” jet stream increases length of wet and hot weather across Europe

2oC - 2 billion people are exposed to extreme heat at least once every 20 years

2oC - 10’s of millions of Chinese become exposed to dangerous summer heat waves for the first time

2oC - 18% of insects in the Amazon lose 50% of their climatic range

2oC - 79 million people displaced by rising sea levels

2oC - 150% increase in land area and number of people affected by 5-day precipitation events

2oC - 163 million Europeans are exposed to unprecedented summer heat waves

2oC - 529,000 estimated additional deaths due to malnutrition worldwide by 2050

2oC - An ice-free Arctic almost certainly will occur in a 2oC world, leading go 6.6 million km2 of melted permafrost

2oC - An ice-free Arctic is almost certain

2oC - average European summer resembles Russian summer of 2010

2oC - average flow of rivers across Northern Hemisphere increases by as much as 50%

2oC - by 2050 all cities have shifted to the South by the equivalent of 1,000 km

2oC - by 2050 Seattle has the climate of San Francisco, London - Barcelona, Madrid - Marrakech

2oC - Central American rainforests are unlikely to survive

2oC - countries will hit peak seasonal meltwater from the Himalayas in the 2020’s, followed by a steep decline

2oC - EU likely to experience 30,000 heat related deaths per year by the 2030’s

2oC - food production falls by 99 kcal per person per day, resulting in greater malnutrition, and more than 500,000 climate-related deaths by 2050

2oC - Ganges river flow could increase by 30-110% as a result of precipitation and metlwater

2oC - Greenland ice sheet likely to irreversibly tip toward melting early on

2oC - hundreds of billions of tons of carbon could be released from permafrost thawing in coming centuries

2oC - IEA has estimated that by 2050 new air conditioning demand will be equivalent to generating capacity of US, EU, and Japan.

2oC - mammals, birds, and reptiles lose 1/3 of their climatic range by 2100

2oC - many African countries experience a 10% reduction in rainfall, and dry spells 15-19 days longer

2oC - more than 130 large cities are at risk of flooding from sea level rise by 2100, at annual cost of $1.4 trillion

2oC - mortality begins to increase exponentially at a heat index of 40oC (104oF)

2oC - overall global droughts increase by 20%, with 400 million people more exposed

2oC - probability of 100 year flood events in China increases by a factor of 2.4

2oC - tens of billions of tons of carbon could be released by permafrost thawing by 2100, including methane

2oC - thawing permafrost by 2050 will have major costs and implications

2oC - the freezing level in the Peruvian Andes rises by 230 meters

2oC policies disrupt fashion industry

2-3oC - the most likely critical threshold for forest collapse in Amazonia

2.5oC - NYC could suffer 3 (currently) 100 year flood events per year

3oC - 1/3 of the global land area will exceed “deadly heat thresholds” 20 days a year

3oC - 2/3 of North American bird species are at risk of extinction

3oC - 20-year return period heat waves will be happening every years in many regions including the U.S.

3oC - 136 UNESCO World Heritage Sites put at risk

3oC - 200 million people could be affected by flooding annually, with a qudrupuling of deaths to 20,000 people per year

3oC - African generally faces a 20-50 fold increase in exposure to dangerous heat

3oC - Amazon fires smoke could be the global equivalent of a volcanic eruption

3oC - Arctic permafrost emissions could add .3 to .4 oC of warming to existing estimates

3oC - by 2050, the frequency of 100-year floods will have doubled across 40% of the globe, affecting 450 million people

3oC - by 2100, sea levels will be rising by more than they have risen during any point in human history

3oC - countries like Canada that were projected to benefit agriculturally in a 2oC world, experience yield losses

3oC - enough to melt the entire WAIS over the next 500 years

3oC - extreme heat waves currently expected 4 times a century in SE Asia will occur every other year

3oC - flood damage in the U.S. more than doubles

3oC - flooding damages rise by 1000% to more than a trillion dollars

3oC - food shortages are the highest probability cause of a societal collapse

3oC - global food production could be cut by half

3oC - hundreds of thousands of square kms in the Amazon become subject to wildfire

3oC - in CA, SLR could cost $150 billion and affect 600,000 people

3oC - invasive species like the tropical rabbitfish will do large-scale damage to kep forests as they move North

3oC - IPCC assesses a 50% chance of a meter of SLR by 2100, and a 5% chance of 1.77 meters

3oC - large parts of the world see a 500% increase in drought risk