E - Climate Risk Scenario Extracts
2009 Climate change has a range of domestic and international security implications
2010 Countries are leasing land abroad for food production purposes
2011 Compound vulnerability is as determinative as exposure
2011 Observed sea level rise over last 12 years
2011 Projection of wetland loss along the NE under SLR scenarios
2011 The 4 climate security scenarios to be planning for
2011 The Navy's climate change risk assessment process
2014 The arctic open for commerce
2015 A climate security chronology
2015 Can climate change cause war and conflict?
2015 How can we address climate security risks?
2015 Is climate change a security risk?
2015 Where is climate change the biggest security threat?
2016 Probability of civil conflict with temperature increase
2017 A significant overlap between global urbanization and climate change vulnerability
2021 Expert assessment of systemic cascading climate risks likely to lead to energy insecurity
2022 Economies exposed to some portion of shock from Ukraine war
2022 FAO Food index prices 2019-April 2022
2022 Rising prices elevate the alarm for food security and political stability - Ukraine crisis
A number of key waterways exist globally
China deploying its fleet worldwide
Chronology of climate change and security events - back to 1999
Climate change both similar and very different to the cold war
Climate disaster events in South Asia
Damage to Homestead AFB after Hurricane Andrew
Diego Garcia is 1 meter above sea level
Energy Security vs. Climate Change
Extreme events lead to population displacement
Extreme events lead to population displacement - 2
Fish species are expected to shift and shrink
Forecasted changes in catch mapped against dietary importance
Linking climate change to health outcomes
Mapping out coffee risks and opportunities
Navy has little capacity to operate in the Arctic
Pillars of a climate secure world
Precipitation, temperatures, drought severity index, population trends
Projected difference in Dry days for Africa to 2050's
Significant actions in roadmap 2010-2014
Top 15 countries and their exposure to coastal flooding in the 2070s
What's the perspective of the security community?
World's largest urban areas sit along coasts
And at least five major sources of uncertainty commonly encountered in both
Climate change integrated into security planning in several ways
Commissioned CNA to do a 2015 scenarios exercise
Current examples of how existing climate change may have influenced security outcomes
With high climate change security risks likely to change in magnitude
Physical Impacts and Risks TOC
E - Systemic Climate Risk
I:SecurityandClimateChange (Deep Dive)
I:SystemicRiskinScenarioPlanning
I:AcceleratingClimateChange
I:BenefitsofClimateChange
I:ClimateasThreatMultiplier
I:EconomicsofClimateImpacts
I:FingerprintofClimateChange (Deep Dive)
I:ImpactsofDelayingAction
I:IndirectImpactsofClimateChange
I:IPCCUnderestimationofRisk
I:LongTailClimateRisks - Synonym
I:SystemicClimateRisk (Deep Dive)
I:UnacceptableClimateChange
S - 100% Renewable Energy Transition
S - Abrupt Climate Change
S - Catastrophic Risk Decision-Making
S - Climate Change Fingerprint to Date
S - Climate Change Systemic Risk
S - Climate Change Tipping Points
S - Climate Emergency Sources
S - Climate Engineering Sources
S - Climate Security Migration
S - Climate Uncertainties Unknowns
S - Conflict and Climate Change
S - Dangerous Climate Impacts
S - Decision-making Under Uncertainty
S - Environmental Migrants
S - Extreme Event Impacts
S - Fat and Long Tail Risks of Climate Change
S - Forecasted Extreme Events
S - Managing Extreme Event Risk
S - Modeling Extreme Events
S - Precipitation Impacts
S - Probabilistic Decision-Making
S - SocioEconomic Impacts
S - Worst Case Climate Change
N - 100% Renewable Future
N - Accelerating/Worsening Climate Change
N - Biodiversity and Ecosystem Impacts
N - Changing Climate Probabilities
N - Climate Change and Hurricane Harvey
N - Climate Change and Hurricanes
N - Climate Change Tipping Points
N - Environmental Migrants
N - Fat and Long Tail Risks From Climate Change
N - IPCC 1.5 Degrees Report
N - Systemic Climate Risk
T - Climate Emergency Networks
T - Climate Impact Networks
T - Climate Impact Tracking
T - Environmental Migrants
T - Extreme Events Network
T - SLR Sea Level Rise Visualizations
T - Visualizing Future Impacts
T - Visualizing the Temperature Record
V - Abrupt Change/Climate Disruption
V - Systemic Climate Risk
E - 1 Degree 350 ppm Scenario
E - 2 Degree 450 PPM Pathway
E - 100% Renewable Transition
E - Changing Probability Distributions
E - Climate Change and Harvey
E - Climate Change and Hurricanes
E - Climate Change Tipping Points
E - Climate Emergency Extracts
E - Climate Impact on Returns
E - Climate Impacts/Risks by Sector
E - Extreme Event Impacts
E - Fingerprint - Fire Regimes
E - Food Security Impacts
E - Human Conflict Impacts
E - Impacts by Time Period
E - Infrastructure Impacts
E - Long Tail Risk Impacts
E - Precipitation Impacts
E - Socioeconomic Impacts
E - Stranded Assets - Value at Risk from Policy
E - Underestimating Climate Risks
E - Worst Case Climate Change
2008 GHG releases by permafrost
2010 Potential distances species will have to cover to stay at the same temperature
2014 Average summer temperatures across the U.S.
2015 Australian emissions trends vs. IPCC carbon budget
2015 Australian gross revenue trajectories based on global climate responses
2015 Systemic risk in 2015 and 2035
2015 Timeline of evaluated systemic risks
2016 Mapping out the links between financial and climate fragility
2017 A comprehensive approach to social foundations and ecological boundaries
2017 Assets at potential risk of climate stranding
2017 Estimated ratio of 2099 GDP to 2010 GDP with and without climate change
2017 Number of deadly temperature days by 2100
2018 2100 Primary Energy Mix under Alternative Scenarios
2018 Growing number of extreme events and losses
2018 The growing potential for environmental migration
2019 Alternative economic models - Equilibrium vs. non-equilibrium
2019 Changes in global levelized energy costs 2010-2018
2019 How the energy transition could impact GDP based on alternative models
2019 Overview of the climate stress test framework
2019 Representative high-level scenarios for climate stress tests
2019 Sensitivity analysis for energy sector risk
2020 Atmospheric CO2 and regional emissions over 12,000 years
2020 Cascading potential climate tipping points based on temperature outcomes
2020 Chain reactions in climate impacts
2020 Climate crisis as systemic risk: evidence of economic impacts
2020 Climate crisis as systemic risk: impacts on different economic sectors
2020 Climate related risks, opportunities, and financial impacts
2020 Demand and supply shocks from climate change
2020 Evolution of energy systems in absolute and relative terms
2020 How physical and transition risks could materialize
2020 Impact of climate change on GDP
2020 More than half of syndicated lending of US banks subject to climate risk
2020 Role of Federal Reserve in addressing climate change
2020 Role of Federal Reserve in climate risk
2020 Testing business resilience to physical and transition risks
2020 The 5 C's Contribute to Coordination to Combat Climate Change
2020 The phases of transforming socio-technical systems
2020 Transition vs. physical risk balance
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Headings - Extracted Materials
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The Military and Climate Change