2010 Extreme event "tail risks" are substantial
E - Long Tail Risk Impacts
Is Cost-Benefit Analysis the Right Framework for Adaptation?
2010 Estimates of industrialized country adaptation costs are high
Small average changes in temperature can hide dramatic changes at extremes
2010 Oil and Gas sector particularly vulnerable
2011 Probability distributions of climate sensitivity
2013 High risks increase faster than mean risks
2019 Visualizing the long tail of the probability distribution
An example of tail risk in the maritime sector
Economics of adaptation are favorable
Interpreting the IPCC's Results
Relatively modest mitigation takes tail risk off the table
Tail risk for maritime accidents
The 2003 European heat wave against the normal distribution
Why cost-benefit analysis is so problematic
2020-2050 (2020) Increase in long tail risk of hurricane damages in Florida
Beware of long tails that lead to underestimaing risks
The fact is that we spend a lot of money to avoid long-tail risk
What about the venus effect?
Why cost-benefit analysis is difficult
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2010 Extreme event "tail risks" are substantial
2010 Entergy_Effecting addressing climate risk through adaptation in the Gulf Coast
Known and Unknown Long Tailed Climate Risks
Under-Estimating Climate Risk