Headings - Extracted Materials
E - IAM Uncertainties and Forecasts
Extracted Graphics | Extracted Ideas
2017 Economic performance under the 5 scenarios
2017 Models (IAMs) involved in the development of SSPs quantifications
2021 Distribution of global consumption per capital in 2100 w and w/o tipping points
2021 The impact of including tipping points on estimated SCC
Almost half of "economically optimal" outcomes are below 2 degrees
Distribution of global consumption per capital in 2050 w and w/o tipping points
Distribution of the % change in SCC due to tipping points
IAMs and tipping points included in the study
IAMs generate very different estimates of damage for identical scenarios
Incorporation of BECCS into IAMs is only a thought experiment today
Monte Carlo integration of all of the changed variables results in a huge change to DICE results
A lot of economic modeling of climate change assumes there is no tipping point
Abstract
Calculate an expected SCC increase of 43% due to tipping points
Global consumption change as a function of temperature
Tipping points are commonly ignored or treated very simply in policy advice
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