I:BlackSwansofClimateChange

I:ClimateTippingPoints - Synonym

I:UnknownUnknownsofClimateChange

I:What'sKnownWhat'sNot

S - Climate Change Tipping Points

S - Climate Uncertainties Unknowns

S - Deep Uncertainty

N - Tipping Points

Climate Change Wildcards

2007 Taleb_The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable - Get Abstract

2010 Trexler_A gathering of black swans

2013 Higgins_The black swan effect and the impact on Australian property forecasting

2013 Wagner_Expecting a Black Swan and Getting a Dragon - Confronting Deep Uncertainty in Climate Change

2014 Shiogama_Climate science Clouds of uncertainty

2015/9 Black Swans and Risk Management: Prepare Now for the Unthinkable

2019/4 Climate's Troubling Unknown Unknowns

2019/5 Are Black Swan events in the Climate Crisis Imminent?

2019/12 Climate Science Discoveries of the Decade: New Risks Scientists Warned About in the 2010s

2020/1 Even More Than Fracking, Tapping Oceanic Methane Hydrates Could Soon Upend the Global Energy Landscape

2020/3 Is the COVID-19 Outbreak a Black Swan or the New Normal?

Climate Code Red

2012 Alley_Perspectives on Limits to Growth: World on the Edge

2012 The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable - YouTube

2014 Donnay_Is our climate headed for a mathematical tipping point?

2017 Beckwith_Climate Tipping Points from Cascading Feedbacks

2013 Once you cross a tipping point, it may be very hard to go back

Examples of black swan events for the analysis

Potential Black Swans

2017 Pandemics may be the Black Swan with the greatest potential to disrupt the international system

Identify, rate, and rank the driving forces (the wildcards)

Tipping points have significant implications for thinking about SCC