Headings - Extracted Materials
E - Long Tail Risk Impacts
Extracted Graphics | Extracted Ideas
Under-Estimating Climate Risk
Small average changes in temperature can hide dramatic changes at extremes
2010 Extreme event "tail risks" are substantial
2011 Probability distributions of climate sensitivity
2013 High risks increase faster than mean risks
2019 Visualizing the long tail of the probability distribution
An example of tail risk in the maritime sector
Interpreting the IPCC's Results
Relatively modest mitigation takes tail risk off the table
Tail risk for maritime accidents
The 2003 European heat wave against the normal distribution
2020-2050 (2020) Increase in long tail risk of hurricane damages in Florida
Beware of long tails that lead to underestimaing risks
The fact is that we spend a lot of money to avoid long-tail risk
What about the venus effect?
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