E - Abrupt Climate Change
E - Climate Change Tipping Points
2011 But the IPCC's 2009 analysis paints a quick different (riskier) picture
2011 Scientific perception of risk across the board
Based on IPCC analysis in 2001, 2oC seemed like the "guardrail" threshold between acceptable and dangerous
The impact implications of uncertainty around climate sensitivity
Examples of external definitions of climate change
Internal "danger" can be defined in terms of insecurity or lack of safety
People have little experience with climate change, which complicates perceiving "danger." Need to ask what "matters" and go from there
Radical new research is needed to assess what constitutes dangerous "internal" change
The components of external and internal definitions of climate change
The distinction between "danger" as an objective measure and danger as experienced is well understood
The risk of "dangerous anthropogenic climate change"
E - Climate Emergency Extracts
E - Societal Mitigation Goals
I:DangerousClimateChange (Deep Dive)
1. Where is the heat going?
2015/1 Infographic: The Anti-Science Climate Denier Caucus, 114th Congress Edition
Infographic - A review of major milestones in climate science and policy
Infographic - Climate Change Scientific Consensus
Infographic - Climate Change Today
Infographic - Fossil fuels in a historical timeline
Infographic - IPCC Climate Everyones Business
Infographic - The Carbon Budget
Infographic - The-big-questions-of-climate-change
Infographic - Why global carbon emissions fell in 2014
Infographic 2013 Climate by the Numbers
S - Abrupt Climate Change
S - Basic Climate Science
S - Board of Directors/Trustee Liability
S - Carbon Intensity/Footprint as Business Risk
S - Carbon Pricing Policy as Business Risk
S - Climate Change Fingerprint to Date
S - Climate Change Systemic Risk
S - Climate Change Tipping Points
S - Climate Science Education
S - Climate Science Politics
S - Climate Uncertainties Unknowns
S - Communicating Science
S - Economic/Political Disruption as Business Risk
S - Economics of Extreme Events/Disasters
S - Electric Sector Climate Risk Assessment
S - Fossil Fuels and Fossil Free Investing
S - GHG Emissions Sources and Sinks
S - Historically Low Probability Outcomes as Business Risk
S - Impacts - Electric Sector
S - Infrastructure Impacts
S - Innovation and Disruption in the Electric Sector
S - Investing Under Uncertainty
S - Investor Action as Business Risk
S - Investor Expectations
S - Key Climate Variables
S - Litigation Outcomes as Business Risk
S - Nuisance, Negligence, and Strict Liability
S - Policy Outcomes as Business Risk
S - Public Beliefs and Knowledge
S - Sectoral Climate Impacts
S - Social Activism Movements and Climate Change
S - State and Local Climate Law
S - Supply Chain Disruption as Business Risk
N - A Policy Tipping Point?
N - Climate Change Fingerprint
N - Climate Change Tipping Points
N - Credit Rating Impacts
N - Green Power Purchasing
N - Indirect Impacts of Climate Change
N - Materiality of Climate Risk
N - Policy Regulatory Risk
N - Public Opinion Tipping Points?
N - Real Estate Values and Sea Level Rise
N - Stock/Asset Price Impacts
N - Systemic Climate Risk
Climate Science Websites, Blogs, FB Home Pages
T - Climate Litigation Websites
T - Short-Lived Climate Forcers
E - Business Risk Assessment
E - Business Risk Disclosure Topics
E - Business Risk Scenarios
E - Business Risks by Types
E - Business Sectors Top Level
E - Business Value at Risk
E - Climate as Investment Risk
E - Climate Change Fingerprint
E - Climate Impact on Returns
E - Climate Impacts on Corporate Ratings
E - Climate Impacts/Risks by Sector
E - Climate Modeling and Forecasting
E - Climate Risk Scenario Extracts
E - Communicating shifting extremes
E - Doubting Climate Science Knowledgebase
E - Fiduciary Responsibility
E - GHG Emissions Scenarios/Forecasts
E - Impacts by Business Sector
E - Insurance Sector Risk
E - Manifestations of climate risk
E - Past and Future Emissions
E - Perceptions and Positions re Climate Risk
E - Physical Risk Assessment
E - Policy/Regulatory Risks
E - Project/Infrastructure Risks
E - Stranded Assets - Value at Risk from Policy
E – Metals and Mining Risk
E – Transport Sectors Risk
Are disaster scenarios about tipping points like ‘turning off the Gulf Stream’ and release of methane from the Arctic a cause for concern?
2015 IPCC_Infographics Working Group 1
The great majority of added energy goes into upper oceans
2019/X How we know that global warming is real
2007 Mindmap - The science of global warming
2008 How much sensitivity matters
2009 At what temperature will we stabilize?
2009 Key facts on key GHGs
2009 Snapshot of world GHG emissions by sector, 2000
2009 The right observational timescale for understanding climate change?
2010 An alternative view of temperature vs. cumulative emissions
2010 CO2 and CH4 in the Ice Cores and Today
2010 Correlating CO2 and Temperature in the Vostok Record
2010 Linking temperature to cumulative emissions
2010 Modeled sensitivity per 1000 GTs emissions
2010 The 100,000 Year Cycles in the Vostok Cores
2010 The Vostok Temperature Record
2010 Timescale for removing CO2 from the atmosphere
2011 Estimates of climate sensitivity have varied widely
2011 Probability distributions of climate sensitivity
2011 The timeline for CO2 removals from the atmosphere
2011 Uncertainty in climate sensitivity
2011 Why is the warming so slow to manifest itself?
2013 It takes a long time for CO2 levels to come back down
2014 Estimated Equilibrium climate sensitivity
2014 Implications of climate sensitivity
2014 Transient climate response
2014 Where Climate Sensitivity Estimates Come From
2015/12 Timeline of Global Change Science
2015 Timescales of climate processes and inclusion of feedbacks in climate models
2016 650,000 years of CO2 concentrations
2016 Weather Channel_CO2 concentrations
2017 1950 was the turning point for CO2
2018 Getting to 2.0oC or 1.5oC through emissions would require near-term achievement of zero emissions
2018 In the last 25 years CO2 concentrations have risen by as much as in the prior 50 years
2018 It's not at all clear that either the 2.0oC or the 1.5oC target would avoid "dangerous climate change"
2018 Solar engineering looks like the only technology that stands a chance of getting us close to 0.5oC by 2100
2018 There is a very significant gap between current trends and the 2oC or 1.5oC targets
2018 We're on track for more than 3oC of temperature change
2020 Biosphere collapse trajectory
2020 Temperature record over last 65 million years
2021 Only 0.17 Percent of Peer-Reviewed Papers Question Global Warming
A radiative forcing metric could help prioritize short-lived forcers
A tale of CO2 and three planets in our solar system
a. Human development and climate
a. The planetary energy equation
Acting on short-lived forcers offers big opportunities (although hidden by the use of 100 year GWPs)
Articles written about climate change
Based on already observed climate change of ~1oC, existing targets won't avoid dangerous climate change
Based on the impacts we're already seeing, the threshold for dangerous climate change is probably ~0.5oC
Carbon flows in the global carbon cycle
CDR technologies are uncertain and unproven in their ability to significantly mitigate temperature change
Change in radiative forcing to 2100
Climate change is driving up global heat content
CO2 concentrations are much lower today than in the past
CO2 is only a trace component of the atmosphere
Conservation and efficiency are not close to being sufficient
Contribution of individual GHGs to radiative forcing
Current targets and aspirational targets differ significantly from BAU estimates
Estimated positive feedbacks not routinely incorporated into climate estimates
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Headings - Extracted Materials
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Accelerating Climate Change