E - Climate Change as a Super Wicked Problem
E - Defining a wicked problem
E - Super Wicked Problems
Visuals of “Wicked Problems”
2009 How climate change relates to everything else
Advanced policy design through policy mixes
Durable policies for a problem like climate change
Four Environmental Problem Conceptions
Why interpreting climate risks materiality is harder than it sounds
2012/4 Is it time to give up?
As the ultimate externality problem, with massive tragedy of the commons attributes
c. Decision makers have trouble with high probability high-impact events?
Can learn how to do workshops in this space at drawtoast.com
Characteristics of wicked problems
Feed-in tariffs for solar panels is a good example of successful path dependency
Given the political politicization of the climate change issue
Huge focus on market-driven mechanisms, and yet it's not working
In a group you start with a mess, that boils down - although many more nodes than individuals
In an era of limited budgets
Most drawings include both Nodes and Links, the elements of a systems model
Need to begin by thinking of the key features of the climate problem - a super-wicked problem
Obamacare's Public Option was impossible to reverse - too much public opposition
People also draw way more nodes
People draw the toast making exercise in ALL KINDS of ways
Tame problems vs. wicked problems
The simple act of visualizing and doing it over and over again results in remarkable results
There is a coalition exploring whether technology and market options can get us to 1.5 degree
There is a revolution in people collaboratively tackling their wicked problems
Type 1 requires sustainable yield solution
Type 2 Involves utility mazimization, e.g. cost-benefit analysis
Type 3 involves dispute resolution among multiple goals, values, etc.
Type 4 Win lose prioritization - you can't trade it off against other problems. You must give priority
We are all contributing to the problem
We've had a proliferation of policy tools and goals over the last 25 years
Why climate change is different as a political issue
With cards people draw more detailed and more logical nodes
E - Challenges of Climate Decisionmaking
E - Decisionmaking Barriers
I:WickedProblems (Deep Dive)
2011 Infographic - Carbon price - key figures (Australia)
2015/1 Infographic: The Anti-Science Climate Denier Caucus, 114th Congress Edition
2015 Infographic_Taking stock of the groundswell of climate actions
Infographic - 20 Common ways we make bad decisions
Infographic - A Glut of Green Ratings
Infographic - Climate Change and President Obamas Action Plan
Infographic - King County Action Plan
Infographic - why we make bad decisions
I:ClimateEmergencyCommunications
I:ClimateRiskCommunication
I:CommunicationsChallenges
I:CounteringMisinformation
I:CritiquingtheWickedProblemConcept
I:InfluencingDecisionmaking
I:MakingClimateChangeLocal
I:ScientistsUnderstatingRisk
I:SolutionsasBetterClimateCommunications
I:TopicsRelatedtoWickedProblemSolving
I:VisualizingWickedProblems
S - Climate Change as Wicked Problem
S - Communicating Uncertainty and Risk
S - Communicating with Specific Audiences
S - Communicating With Humor
S - Communications How To for Climate Change
N - Climate Change as a Wicked Problem
N - Communicating Uncertainty
N - How To Communicate Climate Change
T - Interactive Tools and Visualizations
T - Visualizing Future Impacts
E - Climate Change as Polarizing
E - Climate Communication Frames
E - Decisionmaking w Uncertainty
E - Organizational Barriers
E - Scenarios Through Storytelling
E - Willful Blindness and Gray Rhinos
V - Channels for Communicating Climate
Impossible problems are tough decisions waiting to be made
Climate risk is very hard to communicate - C
There are cognitive barriers
There are so many self-interests - C
2013 System 1 and system 2 thinking
Computer models of the atmosphere
DG - We have a brain that's very good at detecting certain threats
e. And to assume we're fighting the last war - peak oil
g. We Don't Know How to Get From Here to There
History is always our best guide, right?
Hypothesize that risk and benefit are positively correlated, otherwise activites would be prohibited
Long lag times, but irreversible change
The problem of timing, with much of the benefit coming after 2050.
There are the economic externalities
Willful Blindness - We're happy to not see
The intractable influence of half-baked profit measures and shareholder value maximization
4 Heuristics Make Climate Risk Particularly Problematic
b. Climate change a nightmare topic for decision makers
Climate change is a fundamentally different kind of problem
Concluding Comments - biggest challenge is interactions of risks
DG - Climate change sneaks in under the radar we have evolved
DG - Terrorism pushes every one of the buttons.
DG - The question is whether we can find a way to rouse ourselves to face an enemy much more dangerous than any other.
DG - The Question Is Why We Know It's Getting Warmer We're Twiddling Our Collective Thumbs
DG - Understanding others is crucial to our survival, and our brain reflects that
f. Likely scenarios of climate risk management outcomes
Game theory and climate change
Hope is about something you want to happen, think has a chance of happening, but that you recognize might not happen
How our brains get in the way of risk decision-making
How Patternicity leads to big climate mistakes
It's a truly intergenerational issue
Our search for patterns undercuts risk management efforts
The commonly cited reasons
Uncertainty per se cannot be a barrier to action
What Are The Practical Challenges?
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Headings - Extracted Materials
Extracted Graphics | Extracted Ideas
Solving Wicked and Super-Wicked Problems