Headings - Topical Sources
S - Climate Uncertainties Unknowns
Reports | Journal Papers | PPTs
Evaluating the Near-Term Relevance of Climate Change Tipping Points
Evaluating the Risks of Abrupt Climate Change
Known and Unknown Long Tailed Climate Risks
Under-Estimating Climate Risk
What Are the Key Climate Change Wildcards?
S - Abrupt Climate Change
S - Climate Change Tipping Points
S - Climate Sensitivity
S - Global Warming Hiatus
S - Impact Attribution
S - Probabilistic Decision-Making
2007 Taleb_The Black Swan
2008 MacCracken_Sudden and Disruptive Climate Change
1995 Myers_Environmental unknowns
2000 Streets_Exploring the concept of climate surprise $$
2001 Reilly_Uncertainties and Climate Change Assessments
2002 NRC_Abrupt Climate Change - Inevitable Surprises
2005 Cameron_Updating Subjective Risks in the Presence of Conflicting Information: An Application to Climate Change
2007 Rahmstorf_Recent climate change observations compared to projections
2007 Taleb_The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable - Get Abstract
2008 Anderson_Reframing the climate change challenge in light of post-2000 emission trends
2008 PIRC Climate Safety Report - In case of emergency
2008 Wharton Managing Large Scale Risks in a New Era of Catastophes
2009 Fussel_Updated assessment of risks from climate change since IPCC FAR report
2009 Ganguly_Higher trends but larger uncertainty and geographic variability in 21st century temperature and heat waves
2009 Sokolov Probabilistic forecast for 21st century climate based on uncertainties
2009 Weitzman_Some basic economics of extreme climate change
2009 Wigley_Uncertainties in climate stabilization
2010 Backus_Climate Uncertainty and Implications for the US (3 page overview)
2010 Jones_Estimation of global temperature trends - what is important and not
2010 Lindenmayer_Probability of detecting ecological surprises
2010 Majda_Quantifying uncertainy in CC through empirical information theory
2010 Tomassini_Uncertainty and risk in climate projections
2010 Trexler_A gathering of black swans
2011 Chen_Dark Clouds or silver linings. Knightian uncertainty and CC
2011 Duffy_Uncertainty in Future Climate - What you need to know
2011 Elahi_Here be dragons exploring the unknown unknowns $$
2011 Morgan_Key Uncertainties in Assessing Climate Change Impacts
2011 U.S. Carbon Cycle Science Plan_8-11
2012 Corlett_Climate change in the tropics: The end of the world as we know it? $$
2012 Hansen_A new age of risk
2012 Moss_Climate Science and Uncertainty
2012 Thompson_Climate predictions - the influence of nonlinearity and randomness
2013 Berkhout_Framing climate uncertainty: socio-economic and climate scenarios in vulnerability and adaptation assessments
2013 Hansen_Assessing Dangerous Climate Change
2013 Hansen_Climate forcing growth rates doubling down on our Faustian bargain
2013 Hansen_Climate Urgency
2013 Hodson_Identifying uncertainties in Arctic climate change projections
2013 Huggel_Loss and Damage Attribution
2013 Katz_Uncertainty Analysis in Climate Change Assessments
2013 Legendre_Thirty thousand year old distant relative of giant icosahedral DNA viruses
2013 Parker_Ensemble modeling, uncertainty and robust predictions
2013 Pope_Quantifying uncertainty in climate science
2013 Wagner_Expecting a Black Swan and Getting a Dragon - Confronting Deep Uncertainty in Climate Change
2013 Webster_Uncertainty Analysis of Climate Change and Policy Response
2014 Franzke_Nonlinear climate change $$
2014 Lewandowsky_Scientific uncertainty and climate change: Part I. Uncertainty and unabated emissions
2014 Lewandowsky_Scientific uncertainty and climate change: Part II. Uncertainty and mitigation
2014 Northrop_Quantifying sources of uncertainty in projections of future climate
2014 Shiogama_Climate science Clouds of uncertainty
2014 Smith_Changing how earth system modeling is done to provide more useful information
2015 Cooke_Messaging climate change uncertainty $$
2015 Good_Nonlinear regional warming with increasing CO2 concentrations $$
2015 Smith_Near-term acceleration in the rate of temperature change $$
2017 Liu_Overlooked possibility of a collapsed Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in warming climate
2021 McKay_Updated assessment suggests 1.5 global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points
2022 McKay_Exceeding 1.5°C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points