The Climate Web
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The Climate Web 10/5/2026
Low Carbon Transition TOC
E - Temperature Scenarios and Forecasts
E - 1.5 Degree Target
Parents
Dangerous Climate Change TOC
E - Temperature Scenarios and Forecasts
Risks - Societal TOC
Children
1.5oC - 2oC Comparing the implications
1.5oC - Likely date of hitting it
2010 Emissions abatement pathways and economics
2013 Since 1895, annual average air temperatures in CA have increased about 1.5oF
2016 1.5 to 4.5 degrees C by 2100 with high degree of confidence
2016 CO2 mitigation curves for 1.5oC
2018 Can climate change be limited to 1.5 degrees
2018 Getting to 2.0oC or 1.5oC through emissions would require near-term achievement of zero emissions
2018 It's not at all clear that either the 2.0oC or the 1.5oC target would avoid "dangerous climate change"
2018 Pathways and cumulative emissions
2018 Temperature and cumulative emissions pathways for 1.5o target in 2100
2018 The evolution of IPCC carbon budgets
2019 Overall mitigation potential to 2050 of land-use sector measures in a 1.5oC scenario
2019 Putting 1.5oC pathways into context
2020 1.5oC Pathway Emissions
Abstract
Could help keep global temperatures below 1.5oC of change
Frame 4 - 1.5oC Stabilization
New natural forests can help meet 1.5oC target
There is no evidence that countries can juggle all the balls needed to achieve a 1.5oC target
This study assumes that terrestrial sinks decrease at 1.2% per year. Relying on sinks for achieving 1.5oC is unreasonable and dangerous
Voluntary markets will make a significant contribution to reaching the 1.5oC target
We could see 1.5oC globally by 2025 and 2oC by 2040
Why 1.5oC is not a safe level of warming
Jumps
I - 1.5oCTarget