E - Glen Peters Knowledgebase

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2016 2oC scenarios in AR5 with and without CCS
2016 Cumulative emissions for different temperature probabilities
2016 Energy assumptions in the UNEP emissions Gap Report scenarios
2016 IPCC AR5 scenarios used in the UNEP Emissions Gap Report
2016 Probabilities of keeping "well below" temperature thresholds - probability bands
2017 BECCS shows up in almost all climate scenarios
2017 Budgets can be estimate in terms of what will lead to a threshold exceedance, versus what will avoid hitting that threshold
2017 Carbon budget estimates depend significantly on CCS and other assumptions
2017 CDR with BECCS shows up in most 2oC scenarios
2017 CO2 emissions from all of AR5's scenarios, by temperature implications
2017 Comparing CCS in WEO vs. SSP scenarios
2017 Comparing nuclear and renewables in WEO vs. SSP scenarios
2017 Comparing the WEO scenarios to less than 2oC in 2100 SSPs
2017 Depending on the scenario, Statoil says a lot more oil needs to be developed given declining production at existing fields
2017 DNV's electricity generation by source to 2050
2017 DNV's forecast, even though at 2.5oC, still assumes radical change
2017 DNV's primary energy forecast retains considerable fossil fuels
2017 How radiative forcing has changed since 1750, with uncertainty bars
2017 Mitigating non-CO2 GHGs gives you more room in the CO2 budget
2017 Schematic of the BECCS accounting cycle
2017 Statoil forecasts a declining energy demand in its Renewal Scenario, different from IPCC
2017 Statoil's coal forecast is bleak, and compared here to IPCC scenarios
2017 Statoil's gas estimates suggest the need for more gas exploration
2017 Statoil's global oil consumption estimates are roughly parallel to the IPCC's
2017 Statoil's overall CO2 numbers are similar to IPCC scenarios
2017 Statoil's renewables forecast similar to IPCC numbers
2017 The carbon budget is pretty simple, right?
2017 The distribution of potential temperature outcomes based on Paris
2017 The IPCC SSPs have very different baselines, assumptions, and challenges
2017 The SSPs collected into a single diagram
2017 Various levels of BCCS required under different IAMs for 2 degree target
2017 WEO scenarios for energy demand and emissions to 2040
2017 Where would BECCS actually happen geographically?
2018 Shell Sky vs SSP 2oC scenarios - 4 energy technologies
2018 Shell Sky vs SSP 2oC scenarios - CCS per yea
2018 Shell Sky vs SSP 2oC scenarios - CO2 emissions
2018 Shell Sky vs SSP 2oC scenarios - Energy consumption
2018 Shell Sky vs SSP 2oC scenarios - Renewables and nuclear growth
Overall - Shell Sky scenario generally consistent with other 2oC scenarios

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