The Climate Web
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The Climate Web 10/5/2026
T - CC Education
T - Universities and University Programs
University of Massachusetts
Haigh, Nardia
2019 Haigh_Scenario Planning for Climate Change A Guide for Strategists
Chapter 1 Limitations of Traditional Strategizing, and the Advantages of Scenario Planning for Climate Change
Rationalistic, probabilistic, single-future approaches don�t work for climate change
Typical 5-year planning horizon not long enough for climate change (ISSUE IS THAT FOR MOST STRATEGIC VARIABLES, UNCERTAINTY GROWS EXPONENTIALLY OVER TIME; THE REVERSE IS TRUE FOR CLIMATE CHANGE)
Single-future just doesn�t work
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Typical 5-year planning horizon not long enough for climate change (ISSUE IS THAT FOR MOST STRATEGIC VARIABLES, UNCERTAINTY GROWS EXPONENTIALLY OVER TIME; THE REVERSE IS TRUE FOR CLIMATE CHANGE)