Risk-Based Approach (Annex)
<p>2010 IFC_Assessing Climate_Risk</p>
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Where possible, these relationships were established based on data recorded at, or close to, the pilot study site. For example, Figure 3 uses data collected from St. Dominic’s Hospital, the nearest hospital to GOPDC, to show the correlation between number of rainy days and percentage of malaria cases. Malaria poses a health risk to members of the local community, including GOPDC employees and outgrowers who supply GOPDC with their oil palm crops. The effects of the disease already impact the company’s productivity.
Where no site-specific data were available, information from the scientific or engineering literature was utilized instead. For example, Figure 4 shows an analysis of the effects of temperature change on wheat yields for different latitudes, from the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report. The orange trend lines and data points on each graph show the impacts if no adaptation actions are taken in response to temperature changes, while the green lines and points show the impacts if adaptation does occur.
Finally, for risk areas where no literature on climate change impacts could be found, such as the industrial facilities at Packages and GOPDC, the study teams were able to work effectively with the facility managers and engineers to develop a good understanding of the risks to the companies’ performance.</p>