The Climate Web
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The Climate Web 10/5/2026
1oC - Already Surpassed
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1.5 - 2oC - IPCC concludes in 2018 that: ‘The threshold of global temperature increase that may initiate irreversible loss of the West Antarctic ice sheet and marine ice sheet instability (MISI) is estimated to lie between 1.5°C and 2°C.’
1.5oC - 40% of world’s 44 megacities and 350 million people will experience dangerous heat extremes every hear
1.5oC - 500,000 fewer Latin America dengue fever cases by the end of the century
1.5oC - the costs of hurricanes in the Caribbean double to $1.4 billion per year
1.5oC - the European heat-waves of 2003 and 2017 could become a “normal summer”
1.5oC - the frequency of extreme El Ninos doubles, from every 15 years to every 7 years
1.5oC - we lose 4.8 million km2 of permafrost
1.5oC - world an ice-free Arctic occurs ever 40 years, in a 2oC world every 3 years
1oC - 157 million more people are exposed to dangerous heat waves today than in 2000
1oC - a one in thousands of years storm like Huricane Harvey is 3x as likely and 15% more intense
1oC - AMOC seems to have weakened about 15%, the most in the last 1,500 years
1oC - Antarctic ice melt has increased 6 fold to 250 billion tons in last 4 decades
1oC - Antarctic ice melt rates are up to two orders of magnitude greater than theories had predicted
1oC - babitats are shifting 17km northward and 11m vertically per decade according to IPCC
1oC - between 1970’s and today the 650 Himalayan glaciers have doubled their rate of melt, from 20cm to 45 cm per year
1oC - between 1972 and 2018 the area burned in CA every year is up 500%
1oC - birds and butterflies are lagging behind shifting climatic zones by 212 and 135 kms respectiveley
1oC - combined ice loss in Greenland and Antarctica is up 700% over the last two decades
1oC - dengue fever now endemic in 100+ countries, up from just 9 in 1979, with potentially 390 million additional infections per year, and 12,000 deaths
1oC - flash flooding of kind that hit Wuhan, China in 2016 now 10x as likely to occur
1oC - marine heatwave days are up by 50% since first half of 20th century
1oC - mountain glaciers are now losing 335 billion tons of ice per year
1oC - negative impacts on crop productivity - ~1% - already being seen across large areas
1oC - observed maximum permafrost thaw depths already exceed what models anticipated would occur with 3oC of warming
1oC - once in a century droughts hit parts of the Amazon in 2005, 2010, and 2016
1oC - rainfall intensity is increasing in many parts of the world
1oC - since the 1970’s the Antarctic’s Pine Island Glacier has gone from releasing 6 billion tons of ice to 46 billion tons of ice
1oC - the frequency of high-tide flooding in Eastern U.S. has doubled in the last 30 years
1oC - the number of dust storms in the SW U.S. has increased from 20 per year in 1980s to 50 per year in the decade prior to 2011
1oC - the reproductive success of corals has declined globally by 80% since 1970’s
1oC - warmer waters may be causing corals to lose their ability to synchronize release of eggs and sperm over large distances