The Climate Web
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The Climate Web 10/5/2026
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S - Climate Modeling
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Climate Change Officers - TOC
S - Science Top Level
Science TOC
Children
1995 Barron_Climate Models How Reliable are their Predictions
2000 Allen_Quantifying the uncertainty of forecasts of anthropogenic change
2000 Monastersky_Forecasting is No Picnic
2001 Hooss_A nonlinear impulse response model of the coupled carbon cycle climate system
2004 Tebaldi_Quantifying Uncertainty in Projections of Regional Climate Change
2004 Wilby_Guidelines for Use of Climate Scenarios Developed From Statistical Downscaling Methods
2006 Backus_Simulating the Strategic Adaptation to Climate Change
2006 Collins_Towards quantifying uncertainty in transient climate change
2006 Collins_Towards quantifying uncertainty in transient climate change
2007 Joos_Rates of change in natural and anthropogenic radiative forcing over the past 20,000 years
2007 Rahmstorf_Recent climate change observations compared to projections
2007 Stainforth_Issues in the interpretation of climate model ensembles to inform decisions
2007 Stott_Ensemble Climate Predictions Using Climate Models and Observational Constraints
2008 Alexander_Assessing trends in observed and modelled climate extremes over Australia in relation to future projections $$
2008 Anderson An overview of downscaling appraoches
2008 CCSP_Climate Models - An Assessment of Strengths and Limitations
2008 Mysak_Glacial Inceptions Past and Future
2008 Prinn_The Influence on Climate Change of Differing Scenarios for Future Development Analyzed Using the MIT Integrated Global System Model
2008 Van Vuuren_Temperature increase of 21st century mitigation scenarios
2009 Santer_Incorporating model quality information in climate change detection and attribution studies
2009 Wigley_Uncertainties in climate stabilization
2009 Wilby Rationale and Application of Regional Climate Downscaling
200X Bhat_Climate Projections Using Bayesian Model Averaging
2010 Alcamo_How Close are we to the two degree limit
2010 Bender_Modeled impact of anthropogenic warming on the frequence of intense hurricanes
2010 Cabre_Creating regional climate scenarios over southern south America for 2020 and 2030
2010 Edwards A Vast Machine: Computer Models, Climate Data and the Politics of Global Warming
2010 Edwards Data Models and Knowledge in Climate Science
2010 Goose_Introduction to climate dynamics and climate modelling
2010 Jones_Estimation of global temperature trends - what is important and not
2010 Kaplow_The Social Evaluation of Intergenerational Policies and its Application to IAMs
2010 Knutti_Good Practice Paper on Assessing and Combining Multi Model Climate Projections
2010 Koutsoyiannis_On the credibility of climate predictions
2010 NRC Climate Stabilization Targets
2010 Rammukainen_State of the Art with Regional Climate Models
2011 Archer_Global Warming: Understanding the Forecast
2011 Betts_When could global warming reach 4 degrees
2011 Beven_I believe in climate change but how precautionary do we need to be in planning for the future? $$
2011 Edwards Climate Controversies PPT
2011 Mudelsee_The Bootstrap in Climate Risk Analysis
2011 Rahmstorf_Comparing climate projections to observations up to 2011
2012 Collins_Quantifying future climate change
2012 Diffenbaugh_Climate change hotspots in the CMIP5 global climate model ensemble $$
2012 IPCC_Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation - Report
2012 Keller_Improving climate projections to better inform climate risk management
2012 Ledbetter_A method for incorporating climate variability in climate change assessments Sensitivity of river flows
2012 MacLeod_Useful decadal climate prediction at regional scales
2012 NAS_Advancing Climate Modeling
2012 Nature Climate Change_Building consistency
2012 Raper_IPCC gazes into the future
2012 Smit_Equivalence of GHG emissions for peak temperature limits
2012 Steinschneider_Toward a statistical framework to quantify the uncertainties of hydrologic response under climate change
2012 Suckling_An evaluation of decadal probability forecast from state-of-the-art climate models
2012 Thompson_Climate predictions - the influence of nonlinearity and randomness
2013 Arnell_The global-scale impacts of climate change on water resources and flooding under new climate and socio-economic scenarios $$
2013 Diffenbaugh_Robust increases in severe thunderstorm environments in response to forcing
2013 Franklin_Modeling plant species distributions under future climates: how fine scale do climate projections need to be? $$
2013 Fyfe Overestimated global warming over the last 20 years
2013 Hansen_Climate forcing growth rates doubling down on our Faustian bargain
2013 Harris_Probabilistic projections of transient climate change
2013 ISET_Simple Scaled Climate Projections and ther Potential Implications for Jijiga Ethiopia
2013 Lupo_Global Climate Models and Their Limitations
2013 Mora_Uncertainties in the timing of unprecedented climates
2013 Opitz-Stapleton_Jorhat India Simple Climate Change Projections by the 2030s
2013 Parker_Ensemble modeling, uncertainty and robust predictions
2013 Pindyck_Climate Change Policy - What Do Climate Change Models Tell Us
2013 Wilks_Projecting Normals in a Nonstationary Climate $$
2014 Anderson_Uncertainty in Climate Change Modeling: Can Global Sensitivity Analysis Be of Help?
2014 Castro_Human Nature Interaction in World Modeling
2014 de Elia_Specificities of climate modeling research and the challenges in communication to users
2014 Denef_Climate change prediction PPT
2014 Falloon_Ensembles and uncertainty in climate change impacts
2014 Hemmers_Why Climate Models Fail PPT
2014 Hewiston_Interrogating empirical-statistical downscaling
2014 Kelly_Climate Change and California Geospatial technologies help us plan PPT
2014 Mall_Simulation modeling and climate change: issues and challenges
2014 Maraun_Difficulties in making sense of downscaling PPT
2014 McGuffie_The Climate Modelling Primer
2014 Northrop_Quantifying sources of uncertainty in projections of future climate
2014 O'Neill_A new scenario framework for climate change research: concept of shared socioeconomic pathways
2014 Page_Providing and facilitating climate model data access in Europe
2014 Pryor_Hybrid downscaling of wind climates over the eastern USA
2014 Refsgaard_A framework for testing the ability of models to project climate change and its impacts
2014 Risbey_Well estimated surface warming projections
2014 Schramm_Climate Models and the Use of Climate Projections A Brief Overview for Health Departments
2014 Trzaska_A Review of Downscaling Methods for Climate Change Projections
2014 USAID_A Review of Downscaling Methods for Climate Change Projections
2015 Boehlert_Water Under a Changing and Uncertain Climate: Lessons from Climate Model Ensembles $$
2015 Carr_Climate Scientist Hansens 1981 Predictions Came True What About 2016 PPT
2015 Ekström_An appraisal of downscaling methods used in climate change research
2015 IPCC_Workshop on Regional Climate Projections and their Use in Impacts and Risk Analysis Studies
2015 Klavans_The influence of model resolution on temperature variability
2015 Maraun_VALUE A Framework to validate downscaling approaches to climate change
2015 Mera_Climate change, climate justice and the application of probabilistic event attribution to summer heat ‘extremes in the California Central Valley
2015 Nicholls_Comparing IPCC assessments - how do the AR4 and SREX assessments of changes in extremes differ $$
2015 Otto_On judging the credibility of climate predictions $$
2015 Turco_Observed climate change hotspots $$
2015 Xie_Towards predictive understanding of regional climate change
2016 Dixon_Evaluating the stationarity assumption in statistically downscaled climate projections - is past performance an indicator of future results $$
2016 Gettelman_Demystifying Climate Models A Users Guide to Earth System Models
2016 Gillingham_Modeling Uncertainty in Climate Change A Multi-Model Comparison
2016 Harmsen_How climate metrics affect global mitigation strategies and costs - a multi-model study $$
2016 Harrison_Climate change impact modeling needs to include cross-sectoral interactions $$
2016 McGregor_High resolution climate projections for the islands of Lombok in Indonesia Challenges and implications
2016 MJB_Clean Power Plan - summary of IPM modeling results
2016 Monnereau_The impact of methodological choices on the outcome of nationalâlevel climate change vulnerability assessments: An example from the global fisheries sector $$
2016 NAS_Next Generation Earth System Prediction Strategies for Subseason to Seasonal Forecasts
2016 Reyes-Garcia_Local indicators of climate change - the potential contribution of local knowledge to climate research $$
2016 Richardson_Reconciled climate response estimates from climate models and the energy budget of Earth $$
2016 Rummukainen_Added value in regional climate modeling $$
2016 Voosen_Climate scientists open up their black boxes to scrutiny
2016 Zhu_Greening of the Earth and its drivers
2017 Arthun_Skillful prediction of northern climate provided by the ocean
2017 Brown_Greater future global warming inferred from Earth’s recent energy budget $$
2017 Chikamoto_Multi-year predictability of climate drought and wildfire in southwestern North America
2017 Craigmile_Instruments Proxies and Simulations Exploring Imperfect Measures of Climate
2017 Eghdamirad_Using second-order approximation to incorporate GCM uncertainty in climate change impact assessments $$
2017 Han_Downscaling probabilistic seasonal climate forecasts for decision support in agriculture
2017 Jun_Climate Model Intercomparison
2017 Lawrence_What it took to catalyse uptake of dynamic adaptive pathways planning to address climate change uncertainty $$
2017 Millar_A modified impulse-response representation of the global near-surface air temperature
2017 Nordhaus_Integrated Assessment Models of Climate Change
2017 Proistosescu_Slow climate mode reconciles historical and model-based estimates of climate sensitivity
2017 Rosenzweig_Assessing inter-sectoral climate change risks the role of ISIMIP
2017 Santer_Causes of differences in model and satellite tropospheric warming rates
2017 Sgubin_Abrupt cooling over the North Atlantic in modern climate models
2018 Bathiany_Climate Models Predict Increasing Temperature Variability in Poor Countries
2018 Daron_Providing future climate projections using multiple models and methods - insights from the Philippines
2018 Hattermann_Sources of uncertainty in hydrological climate impact assessment A cross scale study
2018 Quilcaille_Uncertainty in projected climate change arising from uncertain fossil-fuel emission factors
2018 Richardson_Global temperature definition affects achievement of long-term climate goals
2018 Steffen_Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene
2018 Wildham_Indianas Past and Future Climate
2019 Hausfather_Evaluating the Performance of Past Climate Model Projections
2019 Saltelli_A short comment on statistical versus mathematical modelling
2020 Calder_Graphical models and the challenge of evidence-based practice in development and sustainability $$
2020 Hansel_Climate economics support for the UN climate targets
2020 MacDougall_Is there warming in the pipeline A multi-model analysis of the Zero Emissions Commitment
2020 NCM_Downscaling climate projections Towards better adaptation strategies in the Nordic countries
2020 Ridder_Do CMIP6 Climate Models Simulate Global or Regional Compound Events Skillfully?
2020 Schwalm_RCP8.5 tracks cumulative emissions
2020 Tebaldi_Climate model projections from the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project
2020 Tokarska_Past warming trend constrains future warming in CMIP6 Models
2020 Zelinka_Causes of Higher Climate Sensitivity in CMIP6 Models
2021 Pacchetti_Assessing the Quality of State of the Art Regional Climate Information
2021 Peng_Climate policy models need to get real about people - heres how
2021 Shepherd_Bringing Physical Reasoning into Statistical Practice in Climate Change Science
2021 Sognnaes_A multi-model analysis of long-term emissions and warming implications of current mitigation efforts
2021 Zhou_Greater committed warming after accounting for the pattern effect $$
2022 Carlino_Self‐Adaptive Multi‐Objective Climate Policies Align Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies
2022 Ferrari_From optimal to robust climate strategies: Expanding integrated assessment model ensembles to manage economic, social, and environmental objectives
2022 Haensel_Climate Policy Curves: Linking policy choices to climate outcomes
2022 Hausfather_Climate simulations: recognize the ‘hot model’ problem
2022 Saravanan_Past, Present, and Future of Climate Prediction
2022 Zittis_Climate Change and Weather Extremes in the Eastern Mediterranean and Middle East
2023 Blanusa_Internal variability plays a dominant role in global climate projections of temperature and precipitation extremes
2023 Wiles_Simply Modelling Global Warming
2024 Jebeile_From Regional Climate Models to Usable Information
2024 Malm_Overshoot: How the World Surrendered to Climate Breakdown
2024 Schmidt_Climate models can’t explain 2023’s huge heat anomaly - we could be in uncharted territory
2024 Wing_A 30 m Global Flood Inundation Model for Any Climate Scenario
2025 Barnes_Combining Climate Models and Observations to Predict the Time Remaining Until Regional Warming Thresholds Are Reached
S - IAMs Integrated Assessment Models
S - Impact Modeling
S - Modeling Extreme Events
S - SocioEconomic Pathways
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I - ClimateModeling