The Climate Web
Preview
Open in TheBrain
The Climate Web 10/5/2026
Science TOC
E - Dangerous Change
E - Planetary Boundaries
Parents
E - Dangerous Change
Children
2009 A Planet in Ecological Debt
2009 The new "business as usual" of extreme events
200X We overshot planet's carrying capacity in mid-1980's
2010 There's a bunch of physical science we're worried about, but can't model well
2011 Potential non-linear tipping points
2011 The expansion of PAT since 1950 is astounding
2012 Global fisheries production 1950-2010
2013 Tipping point probabilities?
2014 Potential tipping points
2017 Climate tipping points potentially within the range of Paris Agreement outcomes
2017 Planet’s response is no longer linear
2017 Temperature vs. the likelihood of tipping points
2017 What if we meet the SDGs by 2030, and stay within planetary boundaries by 2050
2018 Biophysical boundaries crossed - by nation
2020 Impacts of human activities on natural systems over the last 10,000 years
As fossil fuels are phased out, pressures on the biosphere are likely to increase.
Based on IPCC analysis in 2001, 2oC seemed like the "guardrail" threshold between acceptable and dangerous
E - Anthropocene
E - Climate Change Tipping Points
E - Limits to Growth
Environmental resources
Extreme ideologies and polarization will accelerate global ecological decline
Global forcing has expanded rapidly with population
Great Acceleration in human activities began in the 1950's
Planetary Boundaries
The planetary boundaries should be organized as a wedding cake to reflect foundational importance
The problems facing the Earth will worsen in coming decades, causing centuries of negative impacts
Top 10 Hardest Hit States of 2011
We can't assume that the systems are linear
We can't assume uncertainty is modest and manageable
We have fundamentally shifted out of planetary boundaries
Jumps
I - PlanetaryBoundaries (Deep Dive)