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2026 A newly-created Polymarket account netted over $400,000 in January 2026 from positions held on Nicolás Maduro being ousted from office and U.S. military action against Venezuela before January 31. These bets came under scrutiny on social media for potential insider trading due to them being placed before the 2026 United States intervention in Venezuela was publicly announced.[37][38][39] A US special forces soldier was later arrested and charged. He is alleged to have had access to classified information and been involved in the planning and execution of the raid.[40] Polymarket stated it had cooperated with the investigation.[41]
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