Michael Mace: "Map the Future", Talks at Google
<p>Jul 05, 2013 06:56 PM  at Google HQ;  July 1 2013;  recom by Peter Rothman.
 
quite good:  Michael Mace
 
9 predictions from 1994:  bring knowledge to world: only major win.
bioremediation: yes... but no change from then
 
Iridium:  Edsels in the sky.
 
Roton rotary rocket. Delorian.
 
visionary vs analytical companies;
 
huge failure rate with visionary companies;
 
Agile teams:  "be ready to pivot"  No.
 
charismatic leaders in visionary companies:
 
Jeff Bezos with Amazon;
 
Hx of the smartphone;
 
WAP wireless applic late 1990s.
huge subsidies, but it cratered;
 
RIM carry email with you (Outlook);
the future is RIM;
 
iPhone:  Steve Jobs: touchscreen; no keybd; no biz appeal;
Balmer "we're selling millions, and Apple zero phones"  big error.
 
can't control the future; can't predict future;
but can influence it;
 
like planning a trip to the Grand Canyon:  poses certain constraints;
 
understanding tech futures;
 
satellite phone:  battery life  to drive signal up to a satellite, makes phone heavy;
 
intravascular nanobots:  absurd!  total sci fi...
 
 
 
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