Goetzel Reply Dec 26 2014
<p>responding to Ben's article in KAI tonite (Dec 26).</p>
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Dec 27, 2014 04:27 PM</p>
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I like Ben's can-do attitude, but cracking the Singularity in ten years is not going to happen regardless of how much is spent. To quote John McCarthy, "it will take 3 Einsteins and 5 Newtons and will happen in any where from 5 to 500 years." This is akin to curing cancer in ten years: highly unlikely.</p>
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Basically, it will require a lot of fundamental research and new insights. But, as 2015 beckons, I'm heartened by the vastly increased spending for neuroscience research (European HBP and Obama Brain Initiative) and also in AI (eg, Google robotics, IBM Watson, and Allen Institute for AI.) The new R & D will be autocatalytic and will bring exciting breakthroughs.</p>