Emergence
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Emergent phenomena arise as a consequence of the interactions between the constituent
units of a system. For example, a traffic jam is the emergent result of the interactions
between many drivers. On an individual level, each driver is trying to get somewhere and
is following (or breaking) certain rules, some legal (the speed limit) and others societal
(slow down to let another driver change into your lane); but a traffic jam is a separate
and distinct entity that emerges from those individual behaviors. Emergent phenomena are
unpredictable and often counterintuitive because they are properties of the whole that
cannot be reduced to the behavior of the parts. Gridlock on a highway, for example, can
travel backward for no apparent reason, even as cars move forward.
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Examples of emergent phenomena in the business world include organizational behavior that
is shaped (or misshaped) through employee bonuses and incentives, markets in which prices
are set through the myriad interactions of buyers and sellers, or consumer buzz that
propels sleeper products into runaway successes. Icosystem captures emergent phenomena
through the use of agent-based simulation, a simulation modeling technique that models
each person ‧such as drivers on a highway or shoppers in a supermarket- as a distinct
individual. Agent-based simulation is the only way to analyze and understand emergent
phenomena because they model their formation from the bottom up, taking into account
interactions between agents that will generate emergent phenomena. See
<u>The Game <game.htm></u>
for an illustration of an emergent phenomenon and how agent-based simulation can help
make sense of it.
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