Open in TheBrain

cornucopian innovate mkt

<font size="4" face="Times New Roman">disambig</font><div><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">
</font></div><div><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">see American Exceptionalism and techno-utopian
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</font></div><div><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">see simon pow</font></div><div><h3 style="margin: 0.3em 0px 0px; overflow: hidden; padding-top: 0.5em; padding-bottom: 0px; border-bottom-style: none; line-height: 1.6; background: none rgb(255, 255, 255);"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman"><span class="mw-headline" id="Simon-Ehrlich_wager">Simon-Ehrlich wager</span><span class="mw-editsection" style="user-select: none; font-weight: normal; margin-left: 1em; vertical-align: baseline; line-height: 1em; display: inline-block; white-space: nowrap; unicode-bidi: -webkit-isolate;"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket" style="margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px;">[</span></span></font></h3><div class="hatnote relarticle mainarticle" style="padding-left: 1.6em; margin-bottom: 0.5em; line-height: 22.4px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">Main article:&nbsp;<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simon-Ehrlich_wager" title="Simon-Ehrlich wager" class="mw-redirect" style="text-decoration-line: none; background: none;">Simon-Ehrlich wager</a></font></div><p style="margin: 0.5em 0px; line-height: 22.4px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><font face="Times New Roman" size="4"><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Julian_Lincoln_Simon" title="Julian Lincoln Simon" class="mw-redirect" style="text-decoration-line: none; background: none;">Julian Lincoln Simon</a>, a&nbsp;<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cornucopian" title="Cornucopian" style="text-decoration-line: none; background: none;">Cornucopian</a>&nbsp;<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economist" title="Economist" style="text-decoration-line: none; background: none;">economist</a>&nbsp;has argued that overpopulation is not a problem in itself, and that humanity will adapt to changing conditions. Simon argued that in the long run, human creativity would constantly improve living standards, and that the Earth's resources were, in effect, infinite.<sup id="cite_ref-27" class="reference" style="line-height: 1; unicode-bidi: -webkit-isolate;"><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_R.Ehrlich#cite_note-27" style="text-decoration-line: none; white-space: nowrap; background: none;">[27]</a></sup>&nbsp;Ehrlich called Simon the leader of a "space-age cargo cult" of economists convinced that new resources would miraculously appear and re-asserted the idea that population growth was outstripping the earth's supplies of food, fresh water and minerals.<sup id="cite_ref-tierney1990_6-1" class="reference" style="line-height: 1; unicode-bidi: -webkit-isolate;"><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_R.Ehrlich#cite_note-tierney1990-6" style="text-decoration-line: none; white-space: nowrap; background: none;">[6]</a></sup>&nbsp;This exchange led to the&nbsp;<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simon-Ehrlich_wager" title="Simon-Ehrlich wager" class="mw-redirect" style="text-decoration-line: none; background: none;">Simon-Ehrlich wager</a>, a bet about the trend of prices for certain metals that he made in 1980 with, and lost to, Julian Simon.<sup id="cite_ref-tierney1990_6-2" class="reference" style="line-height: 1; unicode-bidi: -webkit-isolate;"><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_R.Ehrlich#cite_note-tierney1990-6" style="text-decoration-line: none; white-space: nowrap; background: none;">[6]</a></sup>&nbsp;Economists later showed that Ehrlich would have won in the majority of 10-year-periods over the last century.<sup id="cite_ref-Betting_on_the_Apocalypse_28-0" class="reference" style="line-height: 1; unicode-bidi: -webkit-isolate;"><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_R.Ehrlich#cite_note-Betting_on_the_Apocalypse-28" style="text-decoration-line: none; white-space: nowrap; background: none;">[28]</a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-Grantham_29-0" class="reference" style="line-height: 1; unicode-bidi: -webkit-isolate;"><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_R.Ehrlich#cite_note-Grantham-29" style="text-decoration-line: none; white-space: nowrap; background: none;">[29]</a></sup></font></p><p style="margin: 0.5em 0px; line-height: 22.4px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">=</font></p><p style="margin: 0.5em 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">Simon was&nbsp;<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Environmental_skepticism" title="Environmental skepticism" style="text-decoration-line: none; font-weight: bold; outline: none; background: none;">skeptical</a>, in 1994, of claims that human activity caused global environmental damage, notably in relation to&nbsp;<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CFCs" class="mw-redirect" title="CFCs" style="text-decoration-line: none; font-weight: bold; outline: none; background: none;">CFCs</a>,&nbsp;<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ozone_depletion" title="Ozone depletion" style="text-decoration-line: none; font-weight: bold; outline: none; background: none;">ozone depletion</a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_change" title="Climate change" style="text-decoration-line: none; font-weight: bold; outline: none; background: none;">climate change</a>, the latter primarily because of the perceived rapid switch from fears of&nbsp;<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_cooling" title="Global cooling" style="text-decoration-line: none; font-weight: bold; outline: none; background: none;">global cooling</a>&nbsp;and a new&nbsp;<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ice_age" title="Ice age" style="text-decoration-line: none; font-weight: bold; outline: none; background: none;">ice age</a>&nbsp;(in the mid-1970s) to the later fears of&nbsp;<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_warming" class="mw-redirect" title="Global warming" style="text-decoration-line: none; font-weight: bold; outline: none; background: none;">global warming</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-6" class="reference" style="line-height: 1; unicode-bidi: isolate; white-space: nowrap;"><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Julian_Simon#cite_note-6" style="text-decoration-line: none; font-weight: bold; outline: none; background: none;">[6]</a></sup></font></p><p style="margin: 0.5em 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><font face="Times New Roman" style="background-color: rgb(255, 204, 102);" size="4">Simon also listed numerous claims about alleged environmental damage and health dangers from pollution as "definitely disproved". These included claims about&nbsp;<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lead_poisoning" title="Lead poisoning" style="text-decoration-line: none; font-weight: bold; outline: none; background-image: none; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;">lead pollution</a>&nbsp;& IQ,&nbsp;<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DDT" title="DDT" style="text-decoration-line: none; font-weight: bold; outline: none; background-image: none; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;">DDT</a>,&nbsp;<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polychlorinated_biphenyl" title="Polychlorinated biphenyl" style="text-decoration-line: none; font-weight: bold; outline: none; background-image: none; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;">PCBs</a>,&nbsp;<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Malathion" title="Malathion" style="text-decoration-line: none; font-weight: bold; outline: none; background-image: none; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;">malathion</a>,&nbsp;<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Agent_Orange" title="Agent Orange" style="text-decoration-line: none; font-weight: bold; outline: none; background-image: none; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;">Agent Orange</a>,&nbsp;<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asbestos" title="Asbestos" style="text-decoration-line: none; font-weight: bold; outline: none; background-image: none; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;">asbestos</a>, and the chemical contamination at&nbsp;<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Love_Canal" title="Love Canal" style="text-decoration-line: none; font-weight: bold; outline: none; background-image: none; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;">Love Canal</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-7" class="reference" style="line-height: 1; unicode-bidi: isolate; white-space: nowrap;"><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Julian_Simon#cite_note-7" style="text-decoration-line: none; font-weight: bold; outline: none; background-image: none; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;">[7]</a></sup><b>&nbsp;He dismissed such concerns as a mere "value judgement."</b></font></p><blockquote class="templatequote" style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); overflow: hidden; margin: 1em 0px; padding: 0px 40px;"><p style="margin: 0.5em 0px;"><font face="Times New Roman" size="4"><b>But also, to a startling degree, the decision about whether the overall effect of a child or migrant is positive or negative depends on the values of whoever is making the judgment – your preference to spend a dollar now rather than to wait for a dollar-plus-something in twenty or thirty years, your preferences for having more or fewer wild animals alive as opposed to more or fewer human beings alive, and so o</b>n.<sup id="cite_ref-8" class="reference" style="line-height: 1; unicode-bidi: isolate; white-space: nowrap;"><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Julian_Simon#cite_note-8" style="text-decoration-line: none; font-weight: bold; outline: none; background: none;">[8]</a></sup></font></p></blockquote><h3 style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); margin: 0.3em 0px 0px; padding-top: 0.5em; padding-bottom: 0px; overflow: hidden; line-height: 1.6;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman"><span class="mw-headline" id="Influence">Influence</span><span class="mw-editsection" style="user-select: none; font-weight: normal; margin-left: 1em; vertical-align: baseline; line-height: 1em; unicode-bidi: isolate;"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket" style="margin-right: 0.25em;">[</span><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Julian_Simon&action=edit&section=2" title="Edit section: Influence" style="text-decoration-line: none; font-weight: bold; outline: none; background: none; white-space: nowrap;">edit</a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket" style="margin-left: 0.25em;">]</span></span></font></h3><p style="margin: 0.5em 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><font face="Times New Roman" style="background-color: rgb(255, 204, 102);" size="4">Simon was one of the founders of&nbsp;<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Free-market_environmentalism" title="Free-market environmentalism" style="text-decoration-line: none; font-weight: bold; outline: none; background-image: none; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;">free-market environmentalism</a>. An article entitled "The Doomslayer"<sup id="cite_ref-doomslayer_9-0" class="reference" style="line-height: 1; unicode-bidi: isolate; white-space: nowrap;"><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Julian_Simon#cite_note-doomslayer-9" style="text-decoration-line: none; font-weight: bold; outline: none; background-image: none; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;">[9]</a></sup>&nbsp;profiling Julian Simon in&nbsp;<i><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wired(magazine)" title="Wired (magazine)" style="text-decoration-line: none; font-weight: bold; outline: none; background-image: none; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;">Wired</a></i>&nbsp;magazine inspired Danish&nbsp;<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bj%C3%B8rn_Lomborg" title="Bjørn Lomborg" style="text-decoration-line: none; font-weight: bold; outline: none; background-image: none; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;">Bjørn Lomborg</a>&nbsp;to write the book&nbsp;<i><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Skeptical_Environmentalist" title="The Skeptical Environmentalist" style="text-decoration-line: none; font-weight: bold; outline: none; background-image: none; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;">The Skeptical Environmentalist</a></i>.</font></p><p style="margin: 0.5em 0px; line-height: 22.4px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman"></font></p><p style="margin: 0.5em 0px; line-height: 22.4px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><a href="https://www.cato.org/publications/economic-development-bulletin/julian-simon-was-right-half-century-population-growth"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman" color="#000000">https://www.cato.org/publications/economic-development-bulletin/julian-simon-was-right-half-century-population-growth</font></a></p><p style="margin: 0.5em 0px; line-height: 22.4px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">==</font></p></div></div>