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10/23/ Chat Q&A
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branch rules already fixed in advance and applied consistently to every ETF
Can you categorize what falls under macro, industry, volatility, in correlation clusters
Can you give me a simple number for each of the eight commodity groupings in other words don't tell me the name of each one just give me how many fall within the categories you've defined in the very beginning of this particular thread. In other words is there 40 ETF is there 100 ETFs and what is the actual number in each grouping without giving me the exact ETF symbol
Can you list 10 commodity ETFs that seldom trade on the same day, meaning the least correlated commodity ETFs?
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exclude the broad commodity ETFs and send me the Total Count both by the 8 segments you played out and the grand total
final validation check, for now, but I'm open to suggestions if you think there's a better way of doing it
For the moment, let's assume the five part structure. Tell me how many ETFs are each of the five categories
I am developing a number of mean-reversion systems in various ETF sectors. Currently I’m working on commodities and have divided them into four non-correlated groupings recommended by ChatGPT 5.5. Once I break them into these four clusters and apply my branch logic, there are only 10 to 12 branches that trade aggregately approximately two trades a month per segment. Therefore, the CAGR is relatively low. Can I use an equity chart that measures time-in-market-adjusted return? Do you have any other questions or comments to help clarify whether or not I am developing a good overall four-part commodity system? I will trade the four segments as one complete system.
I don't understand question three please simplify
I judge comparability case by case
I use your two bulleted examples
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Is there a next step that you would suggest?
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Move onto the next refinement as suggested
My overall game plan will be to start with the entire equity universe and run them through a few of our core filters, including the start date has to be before 2016, the ticker will have to have been in the market at least 5% of the time and have at least 30 trades in sample. (In sample means from whenever the ETF started until the end of 2019 out of sample is 2020 to date. The last core filter is volume. We have set a minimum of the last three trading days have to have been at least 100,000 dollars. Once we have eliminated all the ticker that fall outside those realms. Rather than tackling one large system, we will tackle many ETF systems that have anywhere from 2 to 20 branches each look at correlation factors such as how often trades overlap and then build two or more combination bots that include ETFs from many categories.
Now let's go back to equity ETFs. What would be your categories of breakdowns for equity ETFs and how many ETF are in each category?
Or No Fixed Limit as Long as Overlap and Drawdown Remain Acceptable?
Our international stocks organized also with the exact same macro groups
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Please tell me the distinct categories of commodity ETFs
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So let's go through a step-by-step process by which you would recommend we tackle building multi ETF equity bots. But before that, ask me questions that you need to know before you can go through the step-by-step process. Also, after you've asked me questions only give me the first recommendation and let me ask questions around that and then we'll move to the second and so on
So Now Give Me the Exact Symbol for Each Etf within Each Category
So please total these and give me one number that combines all of them
The answer is your first bullet
There are certain ETFs that I think are classified as momentum such as VTWV , VIOV etc . How should those be classified within your systems of description above?
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We primarily use 2 separate metric systems that we then look to the best of both of those systems the first system we use two metrics the first we call timar 1 which is similar to your highest return to drawdown ratio and lowest drawdown. The second set of metrics are low drawdowns in combination with time and market adjusted returns. Then we isolate the two separate categories further by looking at the next level of metric filters. Starting from the first group of two metrics, These two metrics have been designed into our back testing engine where we run combinations of the lowest drawdown. Let's say 10% to the highest return to drawdown which let's say is 50% and then we do 20-40 20-30 and so on with a total of about eight metrics and we look for the best sample returns and then see if the out of sample results are comparable. If any of that feels contradictory or unclear, please ask one question at a time to clarify before moving on
What is return to draw down ratio and how important is it on a scale of one to 10 and if you had to pick the top 10 metrics for determining the value of a system what would those 10 be in order priority?
When I look at what you say about correlation clusters, are you saying that I should have a mean reversion system that takes into account each of these correlation clusters as one system? Or I should have a system for each of these clusters.
Yes, continue with the newer industry and sub industry, ETF groups