Test - Mark trexler
Roadmap Pages at a Glance
INTRODUCTION TO CLIMATE CHANGE
A RISjk 2.0.0 PROBLEM
- HOW MUCH WARMING?
- TRACKING CLIMATE CHANGE
- CAN WE SOLVE CLIMATE CHANGE?
GETTING ORIENTED
DIGGING INTO THE PROBLEM OF CLIMATE CHANGE
The INTRODUCTION TO CLIMATE CHANGE page explores the history of the climate conversation, the fact that progress has been so slow, the uncertainties surrounding climate futures, and the very substantial risks posed by climate change (regardless of the uncertainties). A RISK 2.0 PROBLEM explores climate change as a “wicked problem,” profiling many of the actors and solutions in play, and emphasizing the need for a “systems-thinking” approach to tackling the problem. HOW MUCH WARMING? applies a systems-thinking approach to that question, and explores the key variables that will determine the answer to that question.
For example, Carbon Pricing is potentially critical to climate outcomes. As is the question of whether climate advocates will overcome the challenges of Communicating Climate Change. Or whether Climate Economics or Worsening Climate Extremes will turn Public Opinion into a powerful driver of climate action, and where Voluntary Measures will fit into the picture. And whether Climate Risk Disclosures will drive companies and investors to change behaviors in ways that accelerate climate progress.
For climate outcomes purposes it’s critical to stay current on our Understanding of Climate Science and Risks, as well as the Observed Impacts of Climate Change we’re already starting to see. Directly related, and also critical to future climate outcomes, is evidence of Technology Innovation and Decarbonization Breakthroughs as well as evidence of Other Decarbonization Barriers.
Other important variables include the role Climate Litigation could play, as well as the role Climate Activism could end up playing. Or the evolution of Market Mechanisms, which are being heavily relied upon, including through Carbon Dioxide Removal. Or, as climate change worsens, what Climate Engineering options will exist, and how will they play out?
Finally, CAN WE SOLVE CLIMATE CHANGE? suggests how systems thinking can be used to accelerate climate progress. It introduces and explores the metaphor of Climate Chess, representing the game between Team Climate Urgency and Team Climate No-Urgency, a game Team Climate No-Urgency has been winning for decades, But what if Team Urgency started Playing Climate Chess to Win?
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REAL-TIME CLIMATE TRACKING AND FORECASTING
The TRACKING CLIMATE CHANGE section of Your Climate Toolbox organizes the best resources we’ve found to help you stay up to date with real-time data, longer-term climate forecasts, and global energy infrastructure. The REAL TIME CLIMATE MONITORING page points you to the best ways to quickly scan key climate indicators from average global temperature to Arctic and Antarctic sea ice extent. It’s a page you might want to visit at least weekly to track what’s going on, and it’s entirely open access. The VISUALIZING CLIMATE CHANGE IN 2024 pulls together the best graphics for exploring the record climate change year that 2024 turned out to be. The WHAT WILL THE TEMPERATURE BE IN 2100? page explains the range of estimates of end-of-century average global temperature.
The TRACKING GLOBAL TEMPERATURE AND GHGs page (subscribers only) pulls together excellent resources for monitoring GHG emissions and concentrations, and the planetary energy imbalance driving global warming. It also points you to some of the best infographics for understanding complex climate data at a glance. The FORECASTING CLIMATE CHANGE page (subscribers only) helps you explore climate scenarios in the United States, Canada, and globally. Compare historical climate data with future projections, and visualize the implications of average global temperature change in 0.5°C increments. It even includes a Do It Yourself Climate Forecasting mini-course, allowing you to follow along as we explore the sophisticated Copernicus climate model.
The TRANSFORMING ENERGY SYSTEMS page (open access) helps explore the complexities of today’s energy infrastructure, from coal-fired power plants to geothermal energy installations (and much more). This is particularly relevant in the context of understanding just how challenging it will be to replace today’s energy system with a low-carbon energy system. The INTERPRETING CLIMATE DATA page (subscribers only) gives users quick access to a very wide variety of tools and websites for making sense of climate data. It pulls together resources like the Actuaries’ Climate Index, NASA’s Global Earth Observatory tools, NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information, and EPA’s Climate Change Indicators. The resources on this page are a go-to for anyone needing authoritative sources to interpret trends and make informed decisions about climate risks and impacts.