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Whereas instrumental knowledge, properly understood, is ‘difference-making’ knowledge that supports causal intervention [5–9], the capacity to guess what comes next, no matter how robust, is no such ability. - Noë, Thompson

Despite these considerations, Yildirim

and Paul [1] entertain the hypothesis

that LLMs could build ‘worldly knowledge’

out of what they call ‘instrumental

knowledge’, analyzed as success in the

next token generation, in particular ‘task

domains’. This is a misleading characterization

of ‘instrumental knowledge’. The

term is typically used to refer precisely

not to statistical or associative learning,

but rather, by contrast, to knowledge

achieved by humans and other animals

on the basis of appreciating contingencies

between their actions and outcomes

(e.g., operant conditioning) [4]. Whereas

instrumental knowledge, properly understood,

is ‘difference-making’ knowledge

that supports causal intervention [5–9],

the capacity to guess what comes next,

no matter how robust, is no such ability.

No amount of prediction, from a set of

observations no matter how large, can

support the grasp of the notion of ‘making’,

‘generating’, or ‘doing’ that is the basis of

our world knowledge.

References

  1. Yildirim, I. and Paul, L.A. (2024) From task structures to

world models: what do LLMs know? Trends Cogn. Sci.

28, 404–415

  1. Noë, A. (2023) The Entanglement: How Art and Philosophy

Make Us Who We Are, Princeton University Press

  1. Frank, A. et al. (2024) The Blind Spot: Why Science Cannot

Ignore Human Experience, MIT Press

  1. Dickinson, A. (1994) Instrumental conditioning. In Animal

Learning and Cognition (Mackintosh, N.J., ed.), pp. 45–79,

Academic Press

  1. Goddu, M. and Gopnik, A. (2024) The development of

human causal learning and reasoning. Nat. Rev. Psychol.

3, 319–339

  1. Pearl, J. and Mackenzie, D. (2018) The Book of Why: The

New Science of Cause and Effect, Basic Books

  1. Pearl, J. (2009) Causality, Cambridge University Press
  2. Woodward, J. (2007) Interventionist theories of causation

in psychological perspective. In Causal Learning:

Psychology, Philosophy, and Computation (Gopnik, A.

and Schulz, L., eds), pp. 19–36, Oxford University Press

  1. Woodward, J. (2021) Causation with a Human Face:

Normative Theory and Descriptive Psychology, Oxford

University Press