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Am Rescue plan

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the $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan passed the House with a 220-211 vote. GOP lawmakers were unanimous in their opposition to the bill. However, one Democrat sided with Republicans to vote against the Bill, Jared Golden of Maine. Why did he defy his party and vote “nay” on the popular covid-19 relief package?

Representative Jared Golden represents Maine’s 2nd congressional district, the largest east of the Mississippi. The district encompasses nearly 80% of the total land area of Maine outside the urban centers of Augusta and Portland. The district usually votes for the incumbent but Golden defied history and became the first challenger to defeat a sitting representative for the district since 1916 when he was elected in 2018.

Who is Representative Jared Golden?

Rep. Jared Golden is a former Marine who served in Iraq and Afghanistan. Prior to becoming a US Representative, he served his state in the Maine House of Representatives from 2014 to 2018.

Golden was one of a group of politically moderate military and national security veterans elected to Congress in the 2018 midterms from districts Donald Trump carried in 2016. He flipped the seat in his district in the first general election that ranked-choice voting was used, coming from behind in the second round.

Despite President Trump’s popularity in his district, he won re-election in 2020 even though Trump won Maine’s 2nd by seven points. He won his seat for a second term with 53% of the vote in the first round.

Why did Jared Golden vote against the American Rescue Plan?

In a statement from Representative Golden said “While the Senate made modest changes to the legislation, some of those changes undermined parts of the bill I do support, and others were insufficient to address my concerns with the overall size and scope of the bill.”

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“Although I support the Senate’s effort to reduce the number of wealthier households that will receive stimulus checks, they did not go far enough,” the statement continued.

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The $15 minimum wage hike wasn’t included]

Golden also took issue with the lack of a minimum wage hike which has been $7.25 per hour since 2009. Raising the minimum wage is a stated priority for Biden and the Democrats. The measure was dropped from the House version of the bill when it went to the Senate due to a ruling by the Senate parliamentarian. She decided that it didn’t meet the rules governing budget reconciliation which the Democrats used to pass the bill with a simple majority.

Senator Bernie Sanders introduced an amendment to add the bill back into the American Rescue Plan but it failed. Golden in his statement said “I voted for a $15 minimum wage in the last Congress, and given the opportunity, I intend to do so again.”

Representative Jared Golden’s full statement can be read here.

The bill passed the House by a vote of 219–212 on February 27. All but two Democrats voted for the bill and all Republicans voted against the bill

 ...The day after, Vice President Kamala Harris cast her first tie-breaking vote 

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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_Rescue_Plan_Act_of_2021

the  American Rescue Plan Act of 2021, also called the COVID-19 Stimulus Package or American Rescue Plan, Pub.L. 117–2 (text) (PDF) (March 11, 2021), is a US$1.9 trillion economic stimulus bill passed by the 117th United States Congress and signed into law by President Joe Biden on March 11, 2021, to speed up the country's recovery from the economic and health effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and the ongoing recession.[1] First proposed on January 14, 2021, the package builds upon many of the measures in the CARES Act from March 2020 and in the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2021,from December.[2][3]

Beginning on February 2, 2021, Democrats in the United States Senate started to open debates on a budget resolution that would allow them to pass the stimulus package through the process of reconciliation which would not require support from Republicans. The House of Representatives voted 218–212 to approve its version of the budget resolution. A vote-a-rama session started two days later after the resolution was approved, and the Senate introduced amendments in the relief package. The day after, Vice President Kamala Harris cast her first tie-breaking vote as vice president in order to give the Senate's approval to start the reconciliation process, with the House following suit by voting 219–209 to agree to the Senate version of the resolution.

On February 8, 2021, the Financial Services and Education and Labor committees released a draft of $1.9 trillion stimulus legislation. A portion of the relief package was approved by the House Ways and Means on February 11, setting it up for a vote in the House. The legislation was also approved by the Transportation and Infrastructure, Small Business, and House Veterans Affairs committees. On February 22, the House Budget Committee voted 19–16 to advance the bill to the House for a floor vote.[4] The bill passed the House by a vote of 219–212 on February 27. All but two Democrats voted for the bill and all Republicans voted against the bill.[5] A modified version passed the Senate on March 6 by a vote of 50–49.[6] The final amended bill was passed by the House on March 10 by a vote of 220–211 with one Democrat voting against it with all Republicans.[7] The bill was signed into law by President Biden on March 11, 2021,[8] which was the first anniversary of COVID-19 being declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization.

Background

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic

Further information: Economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States and COVID-19 pandemic in the United States

The United States is currently undergoing an economic recession (we never had a recession), and over 500,000 Americans have died due to the public health crisis.[9][10] Additionally, over 29 million Americans have tested positive for COVID-19 since the start of the pandemic.[11] The United States has also faced an eviction, unemployment, and hunger crisis since the start of the pandemic.[12] Over 30 to 40 million Americans faced a risk of being evicted from their homes by January 2021.[13] Then-president Donald Trump also faced criticism for not having a federal strategy to combat the pandemic such as nationwide mask mandates on transportation, a testing strategy, health guidelines, providing medical-grade protective gear, and having an effective vaccine distribution strategy. On January 20, the day after Joe Biden was inaugurated, he warned that the death toll could exceed 500,000.[14] However, according to Snopes, Biden inherited a vaccine distribution strategy from Trump, and disease expert Anthony Fauci said that his administration would incorporate some aspects of that Trump-era strategy in its ongoing work.[15]

Previous COVID-19 pandemic legislation

Further information: U.S. federal government response to the COVID-19 pandemic and List of COVID-19 pandemic legislation

Prior to the passing of the American Rescue Plan, the**CARES Ac**t and Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2021 were signed into law by then-president Donald Trump in March and December 2020, respectively. Trump previously expressed support for direct payments of $2,000 along with Joe Biden and many Democrats. Even though Trump called for Congress to pass a bill increasing direct payments from $600 to $2,000, then-Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell blocked the effort.[16] Additionally, the House voted on the HEROES Act in May 2020, which would operate as a $3 trillion relief package. Despite approval in the lower chambers, the Republican-led Senate would not consider such a bill, citing it to be "dead on arrival".[17] Prior to the Georgia Senate runoffs, Biden said that the direct payments of $2,000 would be passed only if Democratic candidates Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnockwon;[18] the promise of comprehensive COVID-19 relief legislation was reported as a factor in their eventual victories.[19] On January 14, prior to being inaugurated as president, Biden announced the $1.9 trillion stimulus package.[20]

Legislative history

Negotiations

Letter from Senate GOP to President Biden detailing concerns of the American Rescue Plan

:{Ten Republican senators announced plans to unveil a roughly $600 billion COVID-19 relief package as a counterproposal to President Joe Biden's $1.9 trillion plan meant to force negotiations. The senators, including :(style="background-color:#ffff66;"):}:Susan Collins of Maine, Lisa Murkowski of Alaska, Mitt Romney of Utah and Rob Portman of Ohio, told Biden in a letter that they devised the plan "in the spirit of bipartisanship and unity" that the President has urged and said they planned to release a full proposal on February 1.[21] On the same day, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer introduced a budget resolution co-sponsored by Bernie Sanders as a step to pass the legislation without support from the Republican Party.[22] The next day, Biden met with Majority Leader Schumer and other Democrats regarding the relief package.[23]

On February 7, Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen expressed support for the stimulus package. Yellen said that the funding would help millions of Americans and rejected concerns the colossal spending could cause inflation.[24] Yellen also said that the stimulus package would restore full employment by 2022.[25] On February 9, Biden met with JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon and other CEOs to discuss the stimulus plan, with Yellen and Harris taking part in the meeting.[26][27] On February 11, Pelosi said that she expects lawmakers to complete the legislation by the end of February, and for the legislation to be signed into law by March 14.[28]

On February 16, Biden promoted his stimulus plan in a visit in Milwaukee, Wisconsin during his first official trip as president. He promoted it via a CNN townhall meeting with voters.[29] On February 18, Yellen called for major stimulus checks during an interview on CNBC, and said that stimulus checks would help the economy stage a full recovery.[30]

Budget resolution passage

The United States Senate voted 50–49 to open debate on the resolution, which would allow Democrats to pass the relief package without support from Republicans through the process of reconciliation.[31][32] The House voted 218–212 to approve the budget resolution.[33] On February 4, a vote-a-rama session began, and the Senate introduced amendments to the relief package, including an amendment in a 90–10 vote that would provide direct relief to the restaurant industry.[34][35] Vice President Kamala Harris cast a tie-breaking vote as President of the Senate for final Senate passage of the reconciliation bill, sending it to the House approval of the changes, and allowing drafting of the relief bill to begin in the committees.[36] The House approved the resolution 219–209, with Jared Golden being the sole Democrat to join all Republicans in opposition to the bill due to a preference for a separate vaccine bill instead of the longer reconciliation process.[37]

One of the many non-binding budget amendments in the vote-a-rama session was meant to prohibit people who are in the country illegally from receiving pandemic relief checks. The non-binding amendments are not likely to have any effect on the final relief bill. The minority party uses the hundreds of non-binding votes in the hours-long vote-a-rama session to send messages. Under current law, people in the country unlawfully are already prohibited from receiving checks. The amendment passed with eight Democrats joining all Republicans.[38] The amendment received criticism from progressive immigration activist Greisa Martínez Rosas and Senator Mazie Hirono (D-HI).[39] The White House later stated that it would continue to support legislation that would give all otherwise eligible individuals with social security numbers stimulus checks.[40]

Budget reconciliation passage

On February 8, a draft of the $1.9 trillion stimulus legislation was released by the Financial Services and Education and Labor committees.[41] On February 11, the House Ways and Means Committee advanced a portion of the $1.9 trillion relief package.[42] The legislation was also approved by several other House committees such as the Transportation and Infrastructure, Small Business, and House Veterans Affairs.[43]

On February 19, the full text of the bill was released. It included an increase in the federal minimum wage, direct checks for Americans making $75,000 or less a year, an extension of $400 federal unemployment benefits and more money for small businesses.[44][45] On February 22, the House Budget Committee voted 19–16 to advance the bill.[46] The following day, House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer announced that the House vote would occur that Friday.[47] On February 26, the House passed the trillion dollar relief package by a vote of 219–212; two Democrats, Kurt Schrader (OR) and Jared Golden (ME) joined all Republicans in opposition.[48][49]

Senate majority Leader Chuck Schumer predicted that the Senate would pass the bill before March 14.[50] On March 4, Schumer introduced the Senate version of the bill on the floor, which had a few changes to the House bill. The Senate voted 51–50 to advance the relief bill and allow debates to begin, with Harris casting the tie-breaking vote.[51][52] Ron Johnson objected to Schumer's request to skip the reading of the bill, forcing the Senate clerks to read aloud the entire 628-page Senate bill, delaying the Senate amendment process for up to 15 hours.[52] On March 5, the Senate reconvened and had 3 hours of debate, and thereafter moved to the "vote-a-rama" session, where senators would have the opportunity to introduce, debate, and vote on amendments.[53]

There were multiple amendments brought onto the Senate floor. Bernie Sanders introduced the first amendment to raise the federal minimum wage to $15 per hour. All Republicans and eight Democrats voted against the amendment. After the vote, Sanders stated he was not surprised by the outcome and vowed that progressives would keep fighting on other fronts to raise the minimum wage.[53] Senator Tom Carper introduced an amendment which would extend the unemployment benefits through the end of September but would cut the benefits from $400 to $300. The amendment also did not tax the first $10,200 of unemployment benefits. Senator Joe Manchin, a key vote in the Senate, disagreed with Carper's amendment, stalling the Senate amendment process for hours while his Democratic colleagues and the White House pressured him to support Carper's amendment.[54][55] Manchin had initially signalled he would support a GOP-backed amendment by Portman to cut off the unemployment benefits at July. After hours of negotiations between top Senate Democrats and the White House, Manchin stated he would back a revised version of Carper's amendment which would cut off the unemployment benefits at September 6.[56] The final vote was 50 to 49 on party lines, and the bill was sent back to the House for final passage.

Minimum wage provision

See also: Minimum wage in the United States

President Biden doubted that his desire to increase the federal minimum wage to $15 an hour would be included in the final coronavirus relief package.[57][58] Biden predicted that Senate rules for budget reconciliation would prevent the increase from going forward. While recent polling indicates that support for increasing the minimum wage to $15 an hour ranges from 53 to 60%,[59] Democratic Senators Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema opposed this provision and threatened to derail the bill over this issue.[58]

On February 25, the day before the full House vote, the Senate Parliamentarian Elizabeth MacDonough ruled that the proposal to add the minimum wage provision to the stimulus bill was not compatible with the Senate's budget reconciliation process. Pelosi stated later that day that the House will still approve the bill with the minimum wage raise, although it will have to be amended out in the final Senate bill to comply with the parliamentarian's ruling.[60] Progressive Democrats and liberal groups urged Harris to overrule MacDonough (which she has the constitutional power to do as president of the Senate) or for Senate Democratic leadership to replace her (which the Republicans did once before, firing Robert Dove in 2001 after he made a series of rulings blocking tax cuts from being considered under the 51-vote budget reconciliation process); however, neither course was taken.[61][62][63] On March 5, eight members of the Senate Democratic caucus joined all 50 Republican Senators to reject an amendment raised by Senator Sanders to increase the minimum wage to $15 in the bill.[64]

In a budget analysis released in February 2021, the Congressional Budget Office found that increasing the minimum wage to $15 would lift 900,000 people out of poverty and cumulatively raise the wage of all affected people by $333 billion, but also could increase the cumulative budget deficit, over the next decade, to $54 billion (and add $16 billion in interest costs) and reduce employment by 0.9% (1.4 million jobs) over four years.[65][66]

Republican Senators Mitt Romney and Tom Cotton introduced their own bill, which would raise the minimum wage to $10, phasing in gradually to 2025. The minimum wage would biennially rise with inflation, indexed to the chained consumer price index. Businesses would also be required to use the E-Verify system so to ensure that workers paid the higher wages are legal immigrants and eligible to work. Adult workers would have to provide a photo ID, states would be incentivized to share driver's-license data with the system, and the federal government would make more of an effort to block or suspend misused Social Security numbers.[67]

Other excluded provisions

The House-passed bill included $1.5 million to cover operating shortfalls on the New York-Ontario Seaway International Bridge (caused by border closures), and $140 million for the Silicon Valley BART extension. Both provisions were removed from the Senate bill due to Republican opposition.[68][69][70]

Final passage

House SpeakerNancy Pelosi (left) and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (right) at a ceremony to celebrate passage of the bill

On March 10, 2021, the House passed the Senate bill on a near party-line (Jared Golden voted against) vote of 220–211 (concurring in the Senate amendments), sending the bill to President Biden for his signature.[71] Biden signed the bill the following day, on March 11, 2021.[72] On March 15, 2021, the White House announced that Gene Sperling will oversee the implementation of the bill.[73] Following the signing, Biden and his top messengers kicked off a "Help is Here" tour across the country to promote the legislation, with Harris visiting a COVID-19 vaccination site in Las Vegas and First Lady Jill Biden visiting an elementary school in New Jersey.[74] On March 16, Biden promoted the bill in Chester, Pennsylvania.[75]

Key elements

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A video from the Biden Administration promoting the American Rescue Plan.

Key elements and provisions of the Act include:

Impact

The bill's economic-relief provisions are overwhelmingly geared toward low-income and middle-class Americans, who will benefit from (among other provisions) the direct payments, the bill's expansion of low-income tax credits, child-care subsidies, expanded health-insurance access, extension of expanded unemployment benefits, food stamps, and rental assistance programs.[107] The bill contains little direct aid to high income-earners, who largely retained their jobs during the COVID-19 economic shock and bolstered their savings.[107] Biden's administration crafted the plan in part because economic aid to lower-income and middle-income Americans (who are more likely to immediately spend funds on bills, groceries, and housing costs to avoid eviction or foreclosure) is more likely to stimulate the U.S. economy than aid to higher-earners (who are more likely to save the money).[107] The Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy found that the stimulus bill's direct payments, child tax credit expansion, and earned income tax credit expansion would boost the income of the poorest one-fifth of Americans by nearly $3,590.[108] The Congressional Budget Office estimated that the bill's increase in health insurance subsidies would lead to 1.3 million previously uninsured Americans gaining health insurance coverage.[109]

An analysis by Columbia University's Center on Poverty and Social Policy estimated that the original stimulus proposal would reduce overall U.S. poverty by a third, reduce child poverty by 57.8% and reduce the adult poverty rate by more than 25%. However these estimates relied in part upon a minimum wage increase that was not included in the final bill, meaning effects on poverty may be notably different from those anticipated in that study.[107][110][111]

The Tax Policy Center wrote that, for households making under $25,000, the bill would cut their taxes by an average of $2,800, which would boost their after-tax income by 20%. Additionally, low-income households with children would see an average tax cut of about $7,700, and this would boost their after-tax income by 35%. Middle-income households will also see an average tax cut of about $3,350, and this would increase their after-tax income by 5.5%. Overall, about 70% of the bill's tax benefits will go to households making under $91,000.[112]

Inflationary impact

Numerous commentators[113][114] have noted that the American Rescue Plan Act of 2021 has likely contributed[115] to the inflation—felt in the form of higher prices—experienced across the United States in 2022.[114] President Obama's Director of the National Economic Council, Lawrence Summers, claimed credit for accurately predicting the law would cause the highest inflation in several decades.[116] While some economists still alternately claim[113] that inflation is predominantly caused by an increase in the money supply, stimulus spending of the sort introduced by this act, increases the rate at which the inflation is 'felt' by consumers of across a myriad of goods and services.[114]

A March 2022 study released by the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco estimated that fiscal support measures designed to counteract the severity of the pandemic's economic effect (i.e. the American Rescue Plan) may have raised inflation about 3 percentage points by the end of 2021.[117][118]

Response

Congress

In a deeply polarized Congress, the relief package received universal support from Democrats and universal opposition from Republicans, passing on party-line votes.[119][120] Some House Democratic progressives expressed disappointment with some changes to the relief package made in the Senate (such as the disinclusion of the $15 minimum wage) to win over moderate Democratic support, but continued to support the package.[121]

Republicans in Congress opposed the bill, claiming it to be unaffordable,[71] and that the bill only benefitted Democratic-led states.[122] Though it does not only benefit Democratic-led states, 61% of aid would go to states that voted for Biden in November 2020.[123] Clinton Administration Treasury Secretary and Harvard University President Lawrence Summers called the bill “the least responsible macroeconomic policy we’ve had in the last 40 years,” and argued that there was a one-third chance that inflation would accelerate and that the Federal Reserve would "hit the brakes", destabilizing the markets and sinking the economy close to a recession.[124] Summers saw the 5.4% CPI surge as evidence that his criticisms had some merit.[125] By the following year news outlets realized Summers was correct on the inflation generated by Biden's bill, which rose to the highest levels in exactly 40 years as cited,[126] but they were hoping Summers would still be proven wrong on his speculation that Fed moves to counter inflation would result in a recession.[127] 

While debates and negotiations over the stimulus package were on-going, Republicans focused instead on culture war issues unrelated to government actions, such as the decision by the Dr. Seuss estate to stop publishing a racially incendiary Dr. Seuss book and the re-branding of the Mr. Potato Head toy.[128] Many of the provisions in the bill were also included in stimulus legislation passed with Republican support under the Trump administration, making it difficult for Republicans to argue against them.[71] After Congress passed the bill, Senator Roger Wicker (R-MS) highlighted on social media that the bill awarded $28.6 billion of "targeted relief" for "independent restaurant operators" to "survive the pandemic".In that social media post, Wicker neglected to mention that he had in fact voted against the bill.[129] Representative Nicole Malliotakis (R-NY) voted against the bill, but after its passage she touted aspects of the legislation as one of her "achievements".[130]

President Biden

Others

President Joe Biden advocated for fast-tracking the stimulus package with optimally bipartisan support. In early February 2021, Biden criticized Republicans for not seeking a bipartisan compromise on a final aid bill, and said the Republicans were wilfully obstructing his proposal.[131] At the time, Biden signaled openness to passing the legislation without any support from congressional Republicans.[132] Biden stated that he could not, "in good conscience," make concessions to Republicans who he said propose to either "do nothing or not enough" as Republicans complain Biden is forsaking his promises on bipartisanship and unity.[131] Furthermore, Biden noted that "[a]ll of a sudden, many of them have rediscovered fiscal restraint and the concern for the deficits" whereas in the Trump administration Republicans had passed trillions in dollars in tax cuts and mostly corporate aid for the coronavirus crisis, adding trillions of dollars to the national debt without much reservation.[131]

Republican mayors such as Jerry Dyer of Fresno, Francis X. Suarez of Miami, David Holt of Oklahoma City, and Betsy Price of Fort Worth, Texas expressed their support for the plan. Dyer told the *Washington Post* that "It's not a Republican issue or a Democrat issue. It's a public health issue. It's an economic issue. And it's a public safety issue."[133]

Over 150 CEOs of major companies expressed support for the Biden stimulus plan in a letter and urged Congress to pass it.[134]

A broad range of advocacy and interest groups praised the bill, including local government groups (National Association of Counties and U.S. Conference of Mayors); business associations (National Farmers Union, Airlines for America, National Association of Realtors, National Restaurant Association, Small Business Majority); education organizations (the American Council on Education, American Federation of Teachers, National Education Association, National School Boards Association), organized labor (the AFL–CIO and AFSCME); healthcare organizations (American Academy of Pediatrics, Association of State and Territorial Health Officials, National Nurses United), the American Public Transportation Association, and the civil rights group UnidosUS.[135] Feeding America, the American Hotel & Lodging Association, the Main Street Alliance, the U.S. Travel Association, the American Hospital Association, the Association of American Medical Colleges, and the National Council of Nonprofits praised the bill, but said that additional relief would be necessary.[135] The Business Roundtable, U.S. Chamber of Commerce, and Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget called for a smaller and more targeted package.[135]

Several observers have noted that the stimulus greatly increases the role of the government in fighting poverty in the United States, to an extent not seen since Lyndon Johnson's Great Society in the 1960s; accordingly some have seen it as evidence that the United States is moving towards social democracy and away from the "government is the problem" consensus in place since the 1980s.[136][137]

Dave Yost, the Republican Ohio Attorney General, sued the Biden administration over the provision of the Act that creates a $350 billion fund to help state and local governments pay first responders and other COVID-19-related expenses. The Act provides that a state cannot use federal aid money to offset net revenues lost if a state chooses to implement new state tax cuts. Yost's suit claims that this limitation coerces states and infringes on their "sovereign authority to set state tax policy."[138][139][140]

Public opinion

The stimulus plan had broad public support.[141] A February 11 Newsweek/Harris X poll showed that60% of Republican voters expressed support for the stimulus plan and a poll fromQuinnipiac University found that 68% of Americans support it.[142][143] A Morning Consult/Politico poll showed that 76% of voters, including 60% of Republicans and 89% of Democrats, supported the bill.[144] A Monmouth University poll found that 62% of Americans approve of the stimulus package,[141] with 92% of Democrats, 56% of independents, and 33% of Republicans supporting the legislation.[145] CBS News released a poll on March 12, which showed that 75% of Americans approved the stimulus bill, including 77% of independents, 46% of Republicans, and 94% of Democrats.[146] In a poll conducted by Data for Progress and Vox, around 31% of Republican voters believed that their party backs the legislation, with 53% believing that it does not.[147]

See also

References

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