A forward-looking approach that aims to predict future events, trends, or outcomes based on historical data and statistical models
Typically uses quantitative methods and historical data to make projections and anticipate what is likely to happen in the future
Resides in the Cynefin Complicated domain where the environment is stable, certain, predictable
Backcasting
A planning and scenario-building approach that starts with a desired future outcome or goal and works backward to identify the steps, strategies, and actions required to achieve that goal
Focuses on defining a desirable future state and then determining the pathways and interventions needed to reach that state
Resides in the Cynefin Complicated domain dealing with Known knowns and Known Unknowns
Sidecasting
A divergent thinking approach that explores unconventional or alternative solutions to a problem by looking at it from different perspectives or angles
Take action in the real Present rather than the non-existent Future
Involves examining a problem or challenge from various "sides" or viewpoints to create anticipatory awareness
Resides in the Cynefin Complex and Chaotic domains where the environment is uncertain, unpredictable due to unknown unknowns, unknowables, unimaginables