casey mulligan

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OMFG RFK2 2026

chicago boys GMU MERCATUS STEVEN FUCKING MOORE

COVID BOGUS STUDY

TRUMP ADMIN AFPI

nber paid study bogus ?

~ACA

BBB IRA

BOOK W/ ASSHAT?

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OMFG

April 17, 2026

Contact: HHS Press Office

202-690-6343

Submit a Request for Comment

Secretary Kennedy Appoints Casey B. Mulligan as HHS Chief Economist and Regulatory Officer

WASHINGTON — April 17, 2026 — The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services today announced the appointment of Casey B. Mulligan, PhD, as Chief Economist and Chief Regulatory Officer. Mulligan is a renowned University of Chicago economist who served as Chief Economist on the Council of Economic Advisers during the first Trump Administration. He most recently served as the U.S. Small Business Administration’s Chief Counsel for Advocacy.

Mulligan will advise Health and Human Services Secretary Kennedy Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., and other agency leaders on policy development to continue to make health care more affordable for the American people. His portfolio will include cost-benefit analysis of regulation, econometric modeling, and program evaluation of major expenditures.

“Casey Mulligan exemplifies the kind of top-tier talent we are bringing into HHS,” said Secretary Kennedy. “He played a central role in delivering President Trump’s economic policy successes, and now he will apply that same expertise to health care—an industry that makes up nearly one-fifth of our economy.”

“I’m honored that President Trump and Secretary Kennedy have tasked me with applying economic fundamentals to maximize health care affordability,” said Mulligan. “I look forward to working with the outstanding HHS leadership team they’ve assembled to prevent chronic disease and further reduce costs throughout the system.”

:{Mulligan received his Bachelor of Arts from Harvard University before earning his doctorate from the University of Chicago, where he became a Professor of Economics and co-founded the University’s Initiative on Enabling Choice and Competition in Healthcare. He is the author of the books You’re Hired!, an account of the record economic growth and prosperity in President Trump’s first term, WITH KEVIN ASSHAT

and Side Effects and Complications: The Economic Consequences of Health-Care Reform*.}:

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ggl 6 26

AI Overview

Casey Mulligan is a prominent ⁠University of Chicago economist and outspoken free-market advocate who served as the Chief Economist for the ⁠Department of Health and Human Services and on the White House Council of Economic Advisers. [1, 2]

His philosophy and professional career intersect heavily with various conservative, libertarian, and free-market institutions. Key details include:

Academic Roots: Mulligan earned his Ph.D. at the ⁠University of Chicago and is known for his work in labor markets, capital/labor taxation, and health economics. [1]

The F.A. Hayek Prize: Mulligan was awarded the prestigious ⁠Manhattan Institute F.A. Hayek Prize in 2014 for his book The Redistribution Recession, which highlights the economic consequences of labor market distortions and welfare expansions. [1, 2]

IHS & Austrian Connections: While his training is strictly rooted in the Chicago Price Theory tradition, his laissez-faire approach and policy advocacy often overlap with the Austrian economic perspective championed by organizations like the Institute for Humane Studies.

Koch Network: He has long been an affiliated scholar, speaker, and policy fellow for various free-market foundations and think tanks often associated with the Koch network, such as the ⁠Independent Institute and the ⁠Paragon Health Institute. [1, 2]

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=szlkO7jb66A

a bit on the spectrum?

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bs study

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The focus of our work is state- and local-level government and economic reporting. A taxpayer sensibility distinguishes our work from other coverage of state and local issues. As a result of this approach, our readers are better informed about the focus of state and local government and its cost to the citizens whose tax dollars fund governmental decisions.

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https://www.alternet.org/2022/08/fox-news-mocked-jobs-report/

see fox desperate/silent gas prices down for a month, over a dollar? said biden missed his jobs # b/c it was twice as good as predicted?!

https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/top-trump-white-house-economist-slams-biden-administration-recession-spin

no lnx

RECESSION Published July 26

Top Trump White House economist slams Biden administration's 'recession' spin

The U.S. economy is going to see a productivity decline "like we haven't seen in a long time, maybe ever," one economist told FOX Business

By Thomas Catenacci FOXBusiness

FOX Business Flash top headlines for July 26

Check out what's clicking on FoxBusiness.com.

Casey Mulligan, former chief economist for the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), criticized the Biden administration for attempting to redefine what a recession constitutes.

Several underlying indicators suggest the U.S. is heading towards an economic downturn despite President Biden's insistence that the economy is strong, Mulligan — who served in the Trump administration between 2018 and 2019 — told FOX Business in an interview. In recent days, several top White House officials have downplayed the technical definition of a recession and argued that two consecutive quarters of negative gross domestic product (GDP) growth does not indicate a recession.

"It seems to me that the White House seems to be saying, 'yeah, you're working more and earning less, but at least you're working more,'" said Mulligan, who iscurrently a professor at the University of Chicago."I don't understand the silver lining of that. We work in order to earn. That earning part is not going well."

"That's really the GDP. GDP combines both the labor income and capital income, but they tend to move together," he continued "We've seen it in the earnings data as well. Real wages, real earnings have fallen quite a bit just in the last month as well as over the last year."

WHITE HOUSE SAYS A SECOND CONSECUTIVE QUARTER OF NEGATIVE GDP 'UNLIKELY' TO BE INDICATIVE OF RECESSION

Janet Yellen speaking inflation

U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen downplayed recession fears on Sunday, insisting that the U.S. economy is "not an economy that's in recession" and said that the country is in a period of "transition." (Justin Tallis/Pool via REUTERS / Reuters Photos)

Biden's top White House economic advisers Brian Deese and Jared Bernstein, CEA Chair Cecilia Rouse and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen have all thrown cold water on projections that the U.S. economy is entering a recession over the last few days. They have pointed to the strong job growth experienced over the last several months and the National Bureau of Economic Research's definition of a recession.

"Considerable evidence suggests that the economy is not currently in a recession, including persistent strength in the labor market, expanding industrial production, and alternative estimates of economic growth that suggest rapid expansion," two Treasury Department officials wrote in a blog post published Monday evening.

AMERICANS' INFLATION EXPECTATIONS HIT A FRESH 11-YEAR HIGH IN JUNE, NEW YORK FED SAYS

The U.S. has added between 370,000 to 400,000 jobs every month since March after adding 714,000 jobs in February, according to Department of Labor data. However, high inflation has cut into workers' wages and caused decreased consumption.

The debate over the definition of a recession comes ahead of the Bureau Economic Analysis' advanced estimate of second quarter GDP growth, scheduled to be released later this week. The GDPNow model projected that GDP declined 1.6% in the second quarter, matching the decline of the first quarter and marking the second straight quarter of negative growth, the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta noted in a report last week.

"It looks like, following on Q1, it's going to be a very sharp reduction in productivity like we haven't seen in a long time, maybe ever," Mulligan told FOX Business. "We already know that in the real wages. But people's earning power, who work, has really been shrinking."

"I think they're a little premature calling victory on the job growth," he added. "Generally, when we see a reduction in productivity, we do see a loss of jobs. Those job losses could be coming in the next two to three months."

SEVERE RECESSION NEEDED TO COOL INFLATION, BANK OF AMERICA ANALYSTS SAY

In addition, Michael Strain, the director of economic policy studies at the American Enterprise Institute (AEI), noted in a tweet Monday that a recession was officially declared every time the economy experienced two straight quarters of negative GDP growth since the 1950s.

Mickey Levy — the chief economist for Americas and Asia at Berenberg Capital Markets and a member of theManhattan Institute's Shadow Open Market Committee — said the economy was likely entering a type of recession, but it was not yet clear the extent of the downturn.

"Things are clearly weakening, weakening in fact toward a recession-type environment," Levy told FOX Business in an interview. "That's where I think we are now."

GET FOX BUSINESS ON THE GO BY CLICKING HERE

"I think we're headed into a shallow recession," he continued. "But the difficulty right now is it's just unfolding, and we don't have enough monthly data to support the anecdotal evidence."

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Professor in Economics and the College (at Chicago since 1993). [Leave of Absence 2022-2023]

Ph.D., University of Chicago, 1993.

RECENT RESEARCH

Non-pecuniary incentives to save and work; how economy affects policy. Recent books: The Redistribution Recession: How Labor Market Distortions Contracted the Economy; Side Effects:The Economic Consequences of the Health Reform.

Fox’s Special Report covered this rigged “study” as if it were straight news

The study was touted on Monday’s edition of Fox’s flagship “straight” news program, Special Report with Bret Baier. A chyron on screen claimed, “Red states fare better on economic and health outcomes.” But as a close examination of the study reveals — briefly alluded to by Fox News correspondent Jonathan Serrie — this conclusion exists only after the authors made some creative adjustments “for age, obesity, and diabetes.”

Video Citation From the April 11, 2022, edition of Fox News’ Special Report with Bret Baier

Thestudy was also promoted in stories on Fox’s website, as well as in the editorial pages of the network’s corporate cousins: the New York Post and The Wall Street Journal. FoxNews.com and the New York Post both mentioned the metric of “age-adjusted death rates,” while the Journal was a bit more forthcoming in noting that the study also made adjustments for “the prevalence of obesity and diabetes (leading co-morbidities for Covid deaths).”

The reports in these three Murdoch publications all pointed to the report’s praise of Florida as supposedly one of the best-performing states — a possible sign of Bhattacharya’s influence on both Florida’s policies and this report’s verdict. By contrast, Washington Post columnist Dana Milbank has run through numbers from health care analyst Charles Gaba, which found that Florida is actually one of the worst-performing states in COVID-19 death statistics, even accounting for the state’s older population.

Moore also appeared on Monday morning’s edition of Fox Business’ *Varney & Co.*, during which he claimed, “The big takeaway is that the lockdown strategy was pretty much a total failure. … States that remained open did not have higher death rates from the virus than states that completely shut down.” Serrie later mentioned Moore’s study again, on Tuesday morning’s edition of America’s Newsroom.

Moore has built a career as possibly the worst economist in the media, making serially wrong pronouncements and false calculations in service of his political agendas.In March 2019, then-President Donald Trump announced his nomination of Moore to the Federal Reserve Board, only for Moore to eventually withdraw from consideration due to multiple controversies over his past political comments.

Committee to Unleash Prosperity rewrites death numbers in red states with a fake statistic: “Metabolic-health adjustment”

In order to arrive at the favored conclusion, the Committee to Unleash Prosperity report actually looked at more than just health outcomes. The group’s press release explains that it used three metrics for its findings — COVID-19 deaths, economic performance, and school openings — and declared they were “equally weighted” in the analysis. The result is that the question of saving lives accounts for only one-third of the calculation. The study also essentially just rehashes in pseudo-scientific form Moore’s long-standing contention that saving lives in the pandemic might not be “worth trillions of dollars of losses” and that simply allowing the virus to spread was “a better strategy” than enduring the economic costs of lockdowns.

The concept of age-adjusted deaths across populations is a tricky issue. While it is a legitimate line of inquiry, Fox News has exploited it ever since the start of the pandemic to create a nonchalant response to COVID-19 deaths among the elderly. Looking at this metric from a neutral source does show some interesting effects, but the ranks of worst-performing states would still be Republican-led ones such as Mississippi, Oklahoma, and Texas.

Moore and his compatriots at the Committee to Unleash Prosperity have gone even further, however,by setting up a new metric in the fine print of their supposed study. They call it an adjustment for “metabolic health” in different populations — “the pre-pandemic prevalence of obesity and diabetes.” But what it really amounts to is a manipulation of the statistics to declare that higher death tolls should be discounted in populations that were less healthy to begin with, and toact as if public health responses can be separated from the overall health of the public.

Much of the discourse around the role of obesity in COVID-19 deaths has framed it as “another ongoing pandemic,” and the role of diabetes has been addressed in media as a “public health train wreck” and evidence of “America’s diabetes crisis.” But the Committee to Unleash Prosperity instead treats these deaths as somehow a mitigating factor in the public health responses of the states most affected. It’s almost as if, by the standards of Moore and his co-authors, the deaths of unhealthy people are not a problem at all.

As a result of this statistical chicanery, death rates in the South and some other Republican-led states were magically revised downward, while deaths were “adjusted” drastically higher in many Democratic states — skewing the data to make blue states look like the worst offenders.

“NV, NY, NJ, and DC were the four states with the highest metabolic-adjusted mortality, even though none is in the top four without the adjustment,” the report says — as if that were a good thing for the authors’ credibility — because those four places all have obesity and diabetes rates that are below the national average. By contrast, in the real-world statistics they began with, the worst contenders were all red states.

Fox News has waged a two-year propaganda campaign against public health, in which it has lied about COVID-19 vaccines, promoted fake cures, encouraged the spread of the virus, and turned people defying public health measures into culture war heroes even as their actions have gotten them killed. Fox also clearly does not believe any of what it preaches — see its own corporate vaccination and testing policies — but the network nevertheless pursues this framing because it is “great for ratings.”

Who knows, perhaps the network will be able to come up with a study showing that watching Fox News is good for surviving the COVID-19 pandemic, once the analysts can adjust for the comorbidities associated with watching Fox News.

---

wiki 8 22

casey B. Mulligan is an American economist and author. He is a Professor in Economics at the University of Chicago.^[1] He served as chief economist for the Council of Economic Advisers in the Trump Administration from September 6, 2018 to August 2019.^[2][3][4]

Education

After earning a Bachelor of Arts from Harvard University, Mulligan earned a PhD in economics from the University of Chicago in 1993.^[1][5] After completing his PhD, he became a Postdoctoral Fellow at the University of Chicago before starting a tenure-track in 1994.^[1]

Career

Mulligan has worked as a visiting professor at Harvard University, Clemson University, and the Harris School of Public Policy Studies.^[6] He has written articles for RealClearPolitics, Newsweek, The Washington Times, and National Review.^[7] Mulligan also wrote for Economix, a New York Times blog.^[8]

In 2012, Mulligan published The Redistribution Recession which argued that social welfare programs such as food stamps and unemployment benefits during the Great Recession disincentivized work and thus prolonged the recession.^[9][10] Mulligan has argued that the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act ("Obamacare") disincentivizes work.^[11][12] Mulligan opposes paid sick days, arguing that they lead workers to take sick days even when they are not sick.^[13][14]

In 2020, he published You’re Hired!: Untold Successes and Failures of a Populist President, which praises President Trump's skills and his administration's policies. With Trump economic advisor Kevin Hassett, he co-authored an analysis of Biden's economic program during the 2020 presidential election.^[15][16]

References

^ ^Jump up to:^a^ ^b^ ^c^ "CV" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on 2020-06-30.
Tankersley, Jim; Haberman, Maggie; Rabin, Roni Caryn (2020-03-23). "Trump Considers Reopening Economy, Over Health Experts' Objections". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2020-06-27.
"Casey Mulligan Named Chief Economist for the Council of Economic Advisers | The University of Chicago Division of the Social Sciences". socialsciences.uchicago.edu. Retrieved 2020-06-27.
"Trump's Vast Deregulatory Landscape Goes Unnoticed by the Experts". Economics21. 2020-01-13. Retrieved 2020-06-27.
"Casey Mulligan". news.uchicago.edu. Retrieved 2020-06-27.
"Casey B. Mulligan". archive.nytimes.com. Retrieved 2020-06-27.
"Casey B. Mulligan | The New York Times, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal Journalist | Muck Rack". muckrack.com. Retrieved 2020-06-27.
"Casey B. Mulligan - Economix Blog - The New York Times". economix.blogs.nytimes.com. Retrieved 2020-06-27.
Kleinbard, Edward D. (May 2016). We are better than this: how government should spend our money. Oxford University Press. ISBN 978-0-19-049668-5. OCLC 951910289.
Mulligan, Casey B. (2012-11-02). The Redistribution Recession. Oxford University Press. doi:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199942213.001.0001. ISBN 978-0-19-994221-3.
"Column: Working parents have two jobs — and both are important to the economy". PBS NewsHour. 2016-06-28. Retrieved 2020-06-27.
"Gruber Responds To Economix Critique Of Health Reform". www.wbur.org. Retrieved 2020-06-27.
"What's so bad about paid sick days?". Salon. 2009-10-29. Retrieved 2020-06-27.
Mulligan, Casey B. (2009-10-28). "Home Sick: Another Case Where Work Incentives Matter". Economix Blog. Retrieved 2020-06-27.
https://www.hoover.org/sites/default/files/research/docs/president_bidens_economic_agenda_hassett.pdf[bare ^URL ^PDF]
Tankersley, Jim; Kaplan, Thomas (2020-10-18). "Would Biden's Tax Plan Help or Hurt a Weak Economy?". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2021-01-09.

Categories:

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Insider Tells What It's Like In The Trump White House: Cordial, Efficient

Helen Raleigh, CFA, is an American entrepreneur, writer, and speaker. She's a senior contributor at The Federalist.

no lnx

Insider Tells What It’s Really Like In The Trump White House: Cordial And Efficient

BY: HELEN RALEIGH

NOVEMBER 20, 2020

There are numerous books about President Trump and the supposed inner workings of the Trump White House. Whether they were written by famed journalists or those who claimed to have worked closely with the president, majority of these books seem to only confirm what the president’s detractors already believed — that the president doesn’t know what he’s doing; he’s unpredictable; he spends all his time on tweeting false or exaggerated statements. Essentially, they argue the White House has been in a constant state of chaos.

Amidst the array of these indistinguishable narratives, it is refreshing to find a book such as You’re Hired: Untold Successes and Failures of a Populist President, which casts both Trump and his White House in a very different light. The author of the book, Casey Mulligan, is an economics professor at the University of Chicago.

Mulligan gained national notice after he penned a series for the Wall Street Journal, such as How Obamacare Wrecks the Work Ethic and The Myth of Obamacare’s Affordability, that exposed the fallacies of Obamacare in its early days, when few economists bothered to produce conventional economic analyses on Obamacare’s effects on our economy and consumer behaviors. It was Mulligan’s analysis that eventually convinced the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) to admit that Obamacare will harm growth and jobs, despite the admission arriving four years after Obamacare became law.

Between July 2018 and June 2019, Mulligan served as chief economist of the White House Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), a position which gave him the front-row seat to witness how President Trump, the White House staff, and the president’s cabinet worked together on fulfilling the president’s campaign promises and formulating policy solutions. According to Mulligan, what he saw and experienced at the White House “differed significantly” from his expectations and conventional wisdom. Therefore, he felt that it was necessary to document his observations and experiences in a book to supply American people with “information and economic interpretation that nobody has yet provided,” given how biased and partisan our mainstream media has become.

Given Mulligan’s position, his book is less about the populist president and more about economic policies Mulligan worked on, such as analyzing the economic costs of socialism, lowering prescription drug prices, and comparing President Reagan and Trump’s policies regarding international trade. Still, Trump looms large throughout the book.

Myth vs. Reality in the Trump Administration

Based on his observations and analysis, Mulligan disputed several popular claims against both the president and the White House. For example, 72 percent of voters believe that the president spends too much vanity time on Twitter.

According to Mulligan, Twitter is an effective tool for President Trump for multiple purposes – sometimes the president uses Twitter to test policy ideas with the American public. Depending on the public reaction and media coverage, Trump may then decide to either turn the idea into an actual policy or make adjustments before rolling it out or shelving the idea completely.

Trump also uses Twitter to broadcast his accomplishments and amplify his messages, bypassing hostile mainstream media, which is more interested in blaming him for everything wrong than to give him any credit where credit is due. According to Mulligan, Trump often intentionally exaggerates statements in his tweets, especially when talking about his administration’s accomplishments, so “the press might enjoy correcting him and unwittingly disseminate the intended finding” of the president’s success.

There is no doubt that Twitter has given Trump the kind of reach he would never get from corporate media. Mulligan cited a study by Gallup that found three-quarters of U.S. adults or 190 million Americans “see, hear or read about @realdonaldtrump’s tweets ‘a lot’ or a ‘fair amount.” Therefore, it is extremely important for Trump to maintain a constant presence on Twitter, but “the image of POTUS alone tapping tweets from scratch on a cell phone is inaccurate.”

The president also has a social media team, which consists of himself and Dan Scavino. According to Mulligan, Trump and Scavino often work together to compose tweets and “tweets sourced from advisers would typically be vetted among dozens of them.” Still, one can’t help but wonder whether the president’s tweets name-calling and disparaging his opponents were ever vetted. On a practical level, fewer of those might do good for the president’s reputation and image.

The American people also have been told again and again that the Trump White House is chaotic and inefficient, that staff morale is low and they are more interested in backstabbing than getting anything done. Mulligan devoted an entire chapter to evidence that, on the contrary, the Trump White House he experienced is full of “collegiality, predictability, and productivity.” Mulligan writes almost everyone he worked with was friendly and courteous, including the president, who “was often polite and kind (not to mention interesting) in personal relations, in contrast with many of his Twitter performances.”

Mulligan noted that the CEA is often “months ahead on requests from POTUS and his staff” and has “published roughly three million words (the equivalent of fourteen 500-page textbooks) during its first two years,” including “seventeen supply and demand analyses in its first three Economic Reports of the President, as compared to one by the Obama Administration and only eight for all other Presidents combined.”

To counter the complaint that Trump must have been a horrible boss because there is a seemingly high turnover rate of White House staff, Mulligan explained that theTrump White House is a well-oiled machineand people leave as soon as they accomplish what they were set out to do or what their skill set allows them to do. Mulligan shared several examples, including his own.

He wrote, “in my own case, 12 months was just enough to complete the 8 or 10 projects for which my skills were especially applicable. Those same projects could easily have been dragged out over three or four years, but that would have been wasteful and prevented other economists from benefiting from the historical opportunities to serve in President Trump’s CEA.”

The majority of the book focuses on economic policies, especially how an idea was debated, formulated and eventually became policy. Mulligan does a sufficient job of explaining various complex issues free of economic jargon, so even readers without an economics background can easily grasp the core issues and solutions.

One alarming takeaway the book delivers is that when a proposed legislation becomes incredibly lengthy, even very intelligent people may fail to grasp its most fundamental flaws. A telling example is when Mulligan proposed to add a talking point in the POTUS’s State of the Union speech, about the fact that Medicare for All would end private health insurance.

Plenty of smart people within the White House questioned this line, as it seemed too radical to be true, although nobody bothered to read the entire bill. So, Mulligan began to carry Section 107 of the Medicare for All bill, which specifically outlaws private health insurance, in his pocket, and had to pull it out more than once to convince skeptics. This descriptive scenario is reminiscent of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s famous saying about Obamacare: “We have to pass the bill so that you can find out what is in it.”

It is terrifying to think about how often a bill as consequential as Obamacare became law solely because lawmakers and those working in the executive branch give their support without reading or understanding what’s in it. The American people, then, are left to bear the law’s terrible consequences.

Trump’s Legacy

Mulligan is clearly a fan of President Trump, and his You’re Hired gives a flattering description of the current administration. Still, the book isn’t all praises of the Trump administration. It also encompasses a few policy failures. But in these scenarios, Mulligan holds certain cabinet officials accountable rather than blaming the president.

The title of the book, according to Mulligan, alludes to President Trump’s former television series, The Apprentice and the famous phrase, “You’re fired.” The American people hired Trump, a Washington outsider, in 2016, to “try something new” in Washington.

From historically low unemployment rates, especially for minorities (until the pandemic hit this spring), the first criminal justice reform bill, the appointments of Supreme Court Justices, to the groundbreaking Middle East peace deals, Trump has accomplished a great deal in just one term. At the same time, the country is more divided than ever, and our economy took a big hit as a result of lockdowns.

Today, eleven million Americans, including the president, have been infected with COVID-19 and the virus has claimed the lives of nearly 220,000 Americans.America is still a long way from going back to normal, and it is difficult to re-imagine what normality may be.

Despite Trump’s personal flaws and failures as president, November’s elections might have looked a lot different if more Americans understood and appreciated Mulligan’s perspective from inside his administration. Trump may not have been rehired, but that doesn’t mean he didn’t do a good job.

Helen Raleigh, CFA, is an American entrepreneur, writer, and speaker. She's a senior contributor at The Federalist.Her writings appear in other national media, including The Wall Street Journal and Fox News. Helen is the author of several books, including "Confucius Never Said" and “Backlash: How Communist China's Aggression Has Backfired." Follow her on Parler and Twitter: @HRaleighspeaks.

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ggl 822

Casey Mulligan - Kenneth C. Griffin Department of Economicshttps://economics.uchicago.edu › directory › casey-mul...

Professor in Economics and the College (at Chicago since 1993). [Leave of Absence 2022-2023]. Ph.D., University of Chicago, 1993.

Casey Mulligan | BFI - Becker Friedman Institutehttps://bfi.uchicago.edu › scholar › casey-mulligan

Casey Mulligan is a Professor of Economics and of the College at the University of Chicago. He is the author of The Redistribution Recession: How Labor ...

Casey B. Mulligan - Wikipediahttps://en.wikipedia.org › wiki › Casey_B._Mulligan

Casey B. Mulligan is an American economist and author. He is a Professor in Economics at the University of Chicago. He served as chief economist for the ...

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Casey B. Mulligan, Ph.D., is Professor in Economics and the College at the University of Chicago and he served as Chief Economist of the White House Council ...

Articles

National Review

Businesses Need a Tax Cut

This year has ushered in two significant tax increases that are pushing the economy toward recession. President Biden's “Build Back Better”...

.3 weeks ago

National Bureau of Economic Research

Non-Covid Excess Deaths, 2020-21: Collateral Damage of Policy Choices?

From April 2020 through at least the end of 2021, Americans died from non-Covid causes at an average annual rate 97,000 in excess of...

.Jun 2, 2022

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Government Ineffective Salesman for Beneficial Goods

When we have a good or service whose wide distribution is in the public interest, let's leave the advertising and marketing to private...

.Jun 2, 2022

National Review

Hawaii Coronavirus Reponse: High Price for Partial Victory

By Casey B. Mulligan

By conventional economic metrics, Hawaii paid a high price for its partial victory over the coronavirus.

.May 5, 2022

National Bureau of Economic Research

A Final Report Card on the States' Response to COVID-19

Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating...

.Apr 13, 2022

The American Action Forum

The Value of Employer-Sponsored Health Insurance: A Summary - AAF

Executive Summary. Contrary to common criticisms, employer-sponsored insurance (ESI) provides significant value to beneficiaries and...

.Apr 12, 2022

National Review

Prescription Drug Prices Will Rise under Biden Policies

By Casey B. Mulligan

The federal government increases drug prices in two ways: by preventing manufacturers from entering the market and by requiring extant...

.Mar 23, 2022

National Review

Coronavirus Relief Payments Fueled Drug Abuse

By Casey B. Mulligan

The pandemic produced an abnormal number of deaths among people who did not have the virus. Through the first 15 months of the pandemic,...

.Feb 8, 2022

National Bureau of Economic Research

Lethal Unemployment Bonuses? Substitution and Income Effects on Substance Abuse, 2020-21

By Casey B. Mulligan

Marginal prices fell, and disposable incomes increased, for drug and alcohol consumers during the pandemic. Most of the amount, timing,...

.Feb 3, 2022

Wall Street Journal

The Spending Bill Is an Attack on Work and Marriage

By Casey B. Mulligan

A single mom could end up paying thousands more for daycare if she marries. Children will suffer.

.Oct 31, 2021

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Casey B. Mulligan | NBERhttps://www.nber.org › people › casey_mulligan

Results 1 - 50 of 91 — Casey B. Mulligan. Research Associate. University of Chicago. Programs. Public Economics · Economic Fluctuations and Growth ...

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Jan 7, 2009 ... LAST year, Economix (the New York Times' newest economics blog) brought on Chicago economist Casey Mulligan as a contributor.

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Apr 12, 2022 — Casey B. Mulligan, Professor of Economics at the University of Chicago, received his Ph.D. in economics from the University of Chicago in 1993.

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Casey B. Mulligan is an economics professor at the University of Chicago. He is the author of "Parental Priorities and Economic Inequality,” which studied ...

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Casey B. Mulligan & Robert D. Arnott, 2022. "Non-Covid Excess Deaths,2020-21: Collateral Damage of Policy Choices?," NBER Working Papers 30104, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2022. "The Value of Pharmacy Benefit Management," NBER Working Papers 30231, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2022. "Lethal Unemployment Bonuses? Substitution and Income Effects on Substance Abuse,2020-21," NBER Working Papers 29719, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Phil Kerpen & Stephen Moore & Casey B. Mulligan, 2022. "A Final Report Card on the States’ Response to COVID-19," NBER Working Papers 29928, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2022. "Personal Increasing Returns: Analytics and Applications," NBER Working Papers 29832, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2021. "The Backward Art of Slowing the Spread? Congregation Efficiencies during COVID-19," NBER Working Papers 28737, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2021. "Peltzman Revisited: Quantifying 21st Century Opportunity Costs of FDA Regulation," NBER Working Papers 29574, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2021. "The Incidence and Magnitude of the Health Costs of In-person Schooling during the COVID-19 Pandemic," NBER Working Papers 28619, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2021. "The Value of Employer-Sponsored Health Insurance," NBER Working Papers 28590, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2020. "Economic Activity and the Value of Medical Innovation during a Pandemic," NBER Working Papers 27060, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2020. "Deaths of Despair and the Incidence of Excess Mortality in 2020," NBER Working Papers 28303, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Patrick A. McLaughlin & Casey B. Mulligan, 2020. "Three Myths about Federal Regulation," NBER Working Papers 27233, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2020. "Prices and Federal Policies in Opioid Markets," NBER Working Papers 26812, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan & Russell Bradford & James H. Davenport & Matthew England & Zak Tonks, 2018. "Non-linear Real Arithmetic Benchmarks derived from Automated Reasoning in Economics," NBER Working Papers 24602, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2018. "Quantifier Elimination for Deduction in Econometrics," NBER Working Papers 24601, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2017. "The Employer Penalty, Voluntary Compliance, and the Size Distribution of Firms: Evidence from a Survey of Small Businesses," NBER Working Papers 24037, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

Casey B. Mulligan, 2019. "The Employer Penalty, Voluntary Compliance, and the Size Distribution of Firms: Evidence from a Survey of Small Businesses," NBER Chapters, in: Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 34, pages 139-171, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

Casey B. Mulligan, 2016. "Automated Economic Reasoning with Quantifier Elimination," NBER Working Papers 22922, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan & Kevin K. Tsui, 2016. "The Upside-down Economics of Regulated and Otherwise Rigid Prices," NBER Working Papers 22305, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2015. "In-Kind Taxes, Behavior, and Comparative Advantage," NBER Working Papers 21586, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2015. "Fiscal Policies and the Prices of Labor: A Comparison of the U.K. and U.S," NBER Working Papers 21358, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

Casey Mulligan, 2015. "Fiscal policies and the prices of labor: a comparison of the U.K. and U.S," IZA Journal of Labor Policy, Springer;Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), vol. 4(1), pages 1-27, December.

Casey B. Mulligan, 2014. "The Economics of Work Schedules under the New Hours and Employment Taxes," NBER Working Papers 19936, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2014. "The New Full-time Employment Taxes," NBER Working Papers 20580, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

Casey B. Mulligan, 2014. "The New Full-Time Employment Taxes," NBER Chapters, in: Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 29, pages 89-132, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Casey B. Mulligan, 2015. "The New Full-Time Employment Taxes," Tax Policy and the Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 29(1), pages 89-132.

Casey B. Mulligan, 2013. "Is the Affordable Care Act Different from Romneycare? A Labor Economics Perspective," NBER Working Papers 19366, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Mark L. Egan & Casey B. Mulligan & Tomas J. Philipson, 2013. "Adjusting National Accounting for Health: Is the Business Cycle Countercyclical?," NBER Working Papers 19058, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Trevor S. Gallen & Casey B. Mulligan, 2013. "Wedges, Labor Market Behavior, and Health Insurance Coverage under the Affordable Care Act," NBER Working Papers 19770, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

Trevor S. Gallen & Casey B. Mulligan, 2018. "Wedges, Labor Market Behavior, and Health Insurance Coverage under the Affordable Care Act," National Tax Journal, National Tax Association;National Tax Journal, vol. 71(1), pages 75-120, March.

Casey B. Mulligan & Trevor S. Gallen, 2013. "Wedges, Wages, and Productivity under the Affordable Care Act," NBER Working Papers 19771, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2013. "Average Marginal Labor Income Tax Rates under the Affordable Care Act," NBER Working Papers 19365, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2013. "Uncertainty, Redistribution, and the Labor Market," NBER Working Papers 19553, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2012. "The ARRA: Some Unpleasant Welfare Arithmetic," NBER Working Papers 18591, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

Casey B. Mulligan, 2014. "The ACA: Some Unpleasant Welfare Arithmetic," NBER Working Papers 20020, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

Casey B. Mulligan, 2012. "Do Welfare Policies Matter for Labor Market Aggregates? Quantifying Safety Net Work Incentives since 2007," NBER Working Papers 18088, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2012. "Recent Marginal Labor Income Tax Rate Changes by Skill and Marital Status," NBER Working Papers 18426, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

Casey B. Mulligan, 2012. "Recent Marginal Labor Income Tax Rate Changes by Skill and Marital Status," NBER Chapters, in: Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 27, pages 69-100, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Casey B. Mulligan, 2013. "Recent Marginal Labor Income Tax Rate Changes by Skill and Marital Status," Tax Policy and the Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 27(1), pages 69-100.

Casey B. Mulligan, 2011. "Rising Labor Productivity during the 2008-9 Recession," NBER Working Papers 17584, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2011. "Means-Tested Subsidies and Economic Performance Since 2007," NBER Working Papers 17445, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2011. "The Expanding Social Safety Net," NBER Working Papers 17654, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2010. "Foreclosures, Enforcement, and Collections under the Federal Mortgage Modification Guidelines," NBER Working Papers 15777, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2010. "Simple Analytics and Empirics of the Government Spending Multiplier and Other "Keynesian" Paradoxes," NBER Working Papers 15800, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

Mulligan Casey B, 2011. "Simple Analytics and Empirics of the Government Spending Multiplier and Other "Keynesian" Paradoxes," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 11(1), pages 1-47, June.

Casey B. Mulligan, 2010. "Aggregate Implications of Labor Market Distortions: The Recession of 2008-9 and Beyond," NBER Working Papers 15681, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2010. "The Housing Cycle and Prospects for Technical Progress," NBER Working Papers 15971, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2010. "Does Labor Supply Matter During a Recession? Evidence from the Seasonal Cycle," NBER Working Papers 16357, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan & Luke Threinen, 2010. "The Marginal Products of Residential and Non-Residential Capital Through 2009," NBER Working Papers 15897, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2009. "Means-Tested Mortgage Modification: Homes Saved or Income Destroyed?," NBER Working Papers 15281, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey Mulligan, 2009. "What Caused the Recession of 2008? Hints from Labor Productivity," NBER Working Papers 14729, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2008. "A Depressing Scenario: Mortgage Debt Becomes Unemployment Insurance," NBER Working Papers 14514, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan & Kevin K. Tsui, 2008. "Political Entry, Public Policies, and the Economy," NBER Working Papers 13830, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

Mulligan, Casey B. & Tsui, Kevin K., 2015. "Political entry, public policies, and the economy," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(3), pages 377-397.

Anupam Jena & Casey Mulligan & Tomas J. Philipson & Eric Sun, 2008. "The Value of Life in General Equilibrium," NBER Working Papers 14157, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey Mulligan & Luke Threinen, 2008. "Market Responses to the Panic of 2008," NBER Working Papers 14446, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan & Kevin K. Tsui, 2006. "Political Competitiveness," NBER Working Papers 12653, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan & Yona Rubinstein, 2005. "Selection, Investment, and Women's Relative Wages Since 1975," NBER Working Papers 11159, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2004. "What do Aggregate Consumption Euler Equations Say about the Capital Income Tax Burden?," NBER Working Papers 10262, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

Casey Mulligan, 2004. "What Do Aggregate Consumption Euler Equations Say About the Capital-Income Tax Burden?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 94(2), pages 166-170, May.

Casey B. Mulligan & Yona Rubinstein, 2004. "Household vs. Personal Accounts of the U.S. Labor Market, 1965-2000," NBER Working Papers 10320, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan & Andrei Shleifer, 2004. "Population and Regulation," NBER Working Papers 10234, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2004. "Robust Aggregate Implications of Stochastic Discount Factor Volatility," NBER Working Papers 10210, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan & Yona Rubinstein, 2004. "The Closing of the Gender Gap as a Roy Model Illusion," NBER Working Papers 10892, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey Mulligan & Andrei Shleifer, 2004. "Conscription as Regulation," NBER Working Papers 10558, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

Casey B. Mulligan, 2005. "Conscription as Regulation," American Law and Economics Review, Oxford University Press, vol. 7(1), pages 85-111.

Casey Mulligan & Andrei Shleifer, "undated". "Conscription as Regulation," Working Paper 19486, Harvard University OpenScholar.
- Mulligan, C. B. & Shleifer, Andrei, 2005. "Conscription as Regulation," Scholarly Articles 27867136, Harvard University Department of Economics.

Bhattacharya, Joydeep & Mulligan, Casey & Reed, Robert, 2003. "Labor Market Search and Optimal Retirement Policy," Staff General Research Papers Archive 10251, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.

Joydeep Bhattacharya & Casey B. Mulligan & Robert R. Reed, 2004. "Labor Market Search and Optimal Retirement Policy," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 42(4), pages 560-571, October.

Bhattacharya, Joydeep & Muligan, Casey & Reed, Robert R., 2004. "Labor Market Search and Optimal Retirement Policy," ISU General Staff Papers 200410010700001191, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
- Joydeep Bhattacharya & Casey B. Mulligan & Robert R. Reed III, 2001. "Labor Market Search and Optimal Retirement Policy," NBER Working Papers 8591, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Bhattacharya, Joydeep & Mulligan, Casey & Reed, Robert R., 2001. "Labor market search and optimal retirement policy," ISU General Staff Papers 200109010700001191, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.

Casey B. Mulligan, 2003. "Capital Tax Incidence: Fisherian Impressions from the Time Series," NBER Working Papers 9916, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan & Xavier Sala-i-Martin & Ricard Gil, 2003. "Do Democracies Have Different Public Policies than Nondemocracies?," NBER Working Papers 10040, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

Casey B. Mulligan & Ricard Gil & Xavier Sala-i-Martin, 2004. "Do Democracies Have Different Public Policies than Nondemocracies?," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 18(1), pages 51-74, Winter.

Casey B. Mulligan & Xavier Sala-i-Martin, 2003. "Social Security, Retirement, and the Single-Mindedness of the Electorate," NBER Working Papers 9691, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

Casey B. Mulligan & Xavier Sala-i-Martín, 2003. "Social security, retirement, and the single-mindedness of the electorate," Economics Working Papers 686, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.

Casey B. Mulligan, 2002. "Capital, Interest, and Aggregate Intertemporal Substitution," NBER Working Papers 9373, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Nathan D. Grawe & Casey B. Mulligan, 2002. "Economic Interpretations of Intergenerational Correlations," NBER Working Papers 8948, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

Nathan D. Grawe & Casey B. Mulligan, 2002. "Economic Interpretations of Intergenerational Correlations," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 16(3), pages 45-58, Summer.

Casey B. Mulligan & Ricard Gil & Xavier Sala-i-Martin, 2002. "Social Security and Democracy," NBER Working Papers 8958, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

Mulligan Casey B & Gil Ricard & Sala-i-Martin Xavier X, 2010. "Social Security and Democracy," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-46, March.

Xavier Sala-i-Martin, 2002. "Social security and democracy," Economics Working Papers 621, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.

Casey B. Mulligan, 2002. "Capital Tax Incidence: First Impressions from the Time Series," NBER Working Papers 9374, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2002. "A Century of Labor-Leisure Distortions," NBER Working Papers 8774, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2002. "A Dual Method of Empirically Evaluating Dynamic Competitive Equilibrium Models with Market Distortions, Applied to the Great Depression & World War II," NBER Working Papers 8775, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Song Han & Casey B. Mulligan, 2002. "Inflation and the size of government," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2002-1, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

Song Han & Casey B. Mulligan, 2008. "Inflation and the size of government," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 90(May), pages 245-267.

Song Han & Casey B. Mulligan, 2001. "Inflation and the Size of Government," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2002-01, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

Casey B. Mulligan & Justin G. Marion, 2001. "Average Marginal Tax Rates Revisited: A Comment," Working Papers 0104, Harris School of Public Policy Studies, University of Chicago.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2001. "Aggregate Implications of Indivisible Labor," NBER Working Papers 8159, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

Mulligan Casey B, 2001. "Aggregate Implications of Indivisible Labor," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 1(1), pages 1-35, April.

Casey B. Mulligan & Charles G. Hunter, 2001. "The Empirical Frequency of a Pivotal Vote," NBER Working Papers 8590, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

Mulligan, Casey B & Hunter, Charles G, 2003. "The Empirical Frequency of a Pivotal Vote," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 116(1-2), pages 31-54, July.

Casey B. Mulligan & Charles G. Hunter, 2000. "The Empirical Frequency of a Pivotal Vote," Working Papers 0025, Harris School of Public Policy Studies, University of Chicago.

Casey B. Mulligan, 2001. "Economic Limits on "Rational" Democratic Redistribution," Working Papers 0107, Harris School of Public Policy Studies, University of Chicago.
Song Han & Casey B. Mulligan, 2000. "Human Capital, Heterogeneity, and Estimated Degrees of Intergenerational Mobility," NBER Working Papers 7678, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

Han, Song & Mulligan, Casey B, 2001. "Human Capital, Heterogeneity and Estimated Degrees of Intergenerational Mobility," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 111(470), pages 207-243, April.

Casey B Mulligan, 2000. "Can Monopoly Unionism Explain Publically Induced Retirement?," University of Chicago - George G. Stigler Center for Study of Economy and State 157, Chicago - Center for Study of Economy and State.

Casey B. Mulligan, 2000. "Can Monopoly UnionismExplain Publicly Induced Retirement?," NBER Working Papers 7680, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

C. B. Mulligan & T. J. Phlipson, 2000. "Merit Motives & Government Intervention: Public Finance in Reverse," University of Chicago - George G. Stigler Center for Study of Economy and State 159, Chicago - Center for Study of Economy and State.
Casey B. Mulligan & Barbara Schneider & Rurtin Wolfe, 2000. "Time Use and Population Representation in the Sloan Study of Adolescents," NBER Technical Working Papers 0265, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan, 2000. "Induced Retirement, Social Security, and the Pyramid Mirage," NBER Working Papers 7679, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Casey B. Mulligan & Xavier Sala-i-Martin, 1999. "Gerontocracy, retirement, and social security," Economics Working Papers 383, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.

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