Open in TheBrain

briggs, wm m

<font size="4" face="Times New Roman">=</font><div><div style="font-size: small; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><font face="Times New Roman" size="4"></font></div><div style="font-size: small; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">Soon off bs bibliography (even BS ones)</font></div><div style="font-size: small; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><font face="Times New Roman" size="4"><a href="https://lweb.cfa.harvard.edu/wsoon/" style="text-decoration-line: none; font-weight: bold; color: rgb(0, 51, 153); outline: none;">
</a></font></div><div style="font-size: small; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><font face="Times New Roman" size="4"><a href="https://lweb.cfa.harvard.edu/wsoon/" style="text-decoration-line: none; font-weight: bold; color: rgb(0, 51, 153); outline: none;">https://lweb.cfa.harvard.edu/wsoon/</a></font></div><div style="font-size: small; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">
</font></div><div style="font-size: small; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">eg</font></div><div style="font-size: small; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">
</font></div><div style="font-size: small;"><ol style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); box-sizing: inherit;"><li style="box-sizing: inherit;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">R. Connolly, M. Connolly, Willie Soon<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 102);">, D.R. Legates</span>, R.G. Cionco and V. M. Velasco Herrera. Northern hemisphere snow-cover trends (1967-2018): A comparison between climate models and observations. Geosciences, 9(3), 135 (2019).&nbsp;<a href="https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences9030135" style="text-decoration-line: none; font-weight: bold; color: rgb(0, 51, 153); outline: none; background-color: transparent; box-sizing: inherit;">Journal homepage</a></font></li></ol><div style=""><ol style="box-sizing: inherit;"><li style="box-sizing: inherit;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman" style=""><span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">C. Monckton of Brenchley, W. Soon, D. R. Legates</span><span style="background-color: rgb(255, 153, 0);">, W.M.<b style="">&nbsp;Briggs,</b>&nbsp;</span><span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">Keeping it simple: the value of an irreducibly simple climate model, Science Bulletin, 60, 1378-1390 (2015).&nbsp;</span><a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s11434-015-0856-2" style="background-color: transparent; text-decoration-line: none; font-weight: bold; color: rgb(0, 51, 153); outline: none; box-sizing: inherit;">Journal homepage</a></font></li></ol><div style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">&nbsp;Monckton of Brenchley, W. Soon, D. R. Legates,<b> W.M. Briggs</b>, Why models run hot: results from an irreducibly simple climate model, Science Bulletin, 60, 122-135 (2015).&nbsp;<a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s11434-014-0699-2" style="text-decoration-line: none; font-weight: bold; color: rgb(0, 51, 153); outline: none; box-sizing: inherit;">Journal homepage</a></font></div><div style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">
</font></div><div style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">d&nbsp;R. Legates, W. Soon, W.M. Briggs, and C.&nbsp;<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">Monckton</span>&nbsp;of Brenchley, Climate consensus and misinformation: A rejoinder to Agnotology, Scientific Consensus, and the Teaching and Learning of Climate Change, Science and Education, 24, 299-318 (2015).&nbsp;<a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s11191-013-9647-9" style="text-decoration-line: none; font-weight: bold; color: rgb(0, 51, 153); outline: none; box-sizing: inherit;">Journal homepage</a></font></div></div></div><div style="font-size: small; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><p style="margin-top: 8px; margin-bottom: 8px;"><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">=</font></p></div><div><p><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">&nbsp;=</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">no lnx gmail alarm no twt</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">
</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4"><a href="https://www.nationofchange.org/2021/01/09/climate-deniers-moved-rapidly-to-spread-misinformation-during-and-after-attack-on-us-capitol/">https://www.nationofchange.org/2021/01/09/climate-deniers-moved-rapidly-to-spread-misinformation-during-and-after-attack-on-us-capitol/</a></font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">
</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4"><b>Climate deniers moved rapidly to spread misinformation during and after attack on US Capitol</b></font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">The disinformation-fueled movement backing him is extremely unlikely to simply fade away...</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">
</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">By Sharon Kelly -January 9, 2021 147</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">SOURCE DeSmogBlog</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">
</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">Prominent climate science deniers moved rapidly to spread false and misleading conspiracy theories online during and after the attack on the U.S. Capitol by Trump supporters this week.</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">
</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">Some climate deniers, including some with ties to the Heartland Institute and other organizations that have historically helped to create the false impression that there is sizeable scientific disagreement on climate change, also directly expressed support for the attackers and called for more violence.</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">
</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4"><b>“Striking fear in politicians is not a bad thing,</b>” the @ClimateDepot Twitter account tweeted on the afternoon of January 6 in a message describing the Capitol as then-“under siege.”</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">
</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4" style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 102);">“Thomas Jefferson: ‘The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants,” @ClimateDepot tweeted seconds later.</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">
</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">“<b>What’s needed next is mass protests to<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 102);">&nbsp;storm state Capitols and the CDC to end Covid lockdowns once and for all</span></b><span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 102);">,</span>” the thread continued, referring to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">
</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4"><b>The @ClimateDepot Twitter account, created in April 2009, is held by Marc Morano, the communications director for the Committee for a Constructive Tomorrow (CFACT),</b>&nbsp;a Washington, D.C.-based think-tank with a history of receiving funding from ExxonMobil and the conservative dark money organization Donors Trust. Morano serves as the executive director of CFACT’s climatedepot.com website, which as DeSmog’s database profile puts it, “regularly publishes articles questioning man-made global warming.”</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">
</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">
</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">Screenshot of Twitter thread posted by @ClimateDepot on the afternoon of January 6, 2021.</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">Morano has for many years played a prominent role in the climate denial movement. The Heartland Institute currently maintains a biography of Morano under its “Who We Are” section, noting his prior role as a “climate researcher for U.S. Senator James Inhofe,” who has regularly made speeches rejecting mainstream climate science. Rolling Stone once called Morano “the Matt Drudge of climate denial.” He more recently authored a book titled, The Politically Incorrect Guide to Climate Change. CFACT’s most recent tax filings show Morano was its highest-compensated employee, bringing in over $209,000 in pay and benefits in 2018.</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">
</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4" style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 102);">On January 6, after the National Association of Manufacturers (NAM) — whose board of directors includes senior officials with ExxonMobil and numerous other fossil fuel companies — posted a statement condemning the violence at the Capitol Building, @ClimateDepot retweeted a reply to that statement reading: “NAM has always been a bootlicking organization groveling at the booted feet of their governmental masters.”</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">
</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">Many fossil fuel industry groups immediately condemned the insurgency in statements or social media posts, and some long-time climate deniers did as well. But Moranowas not the only prominent science denier to express support online for the mob attack in D.C.</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">
</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4"><span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 102);">William M. Briggs, described by the Heartland Institute as one of its policy advisors, published a post on January 7 headlined, “we fought the good fight and we lost — this battle.” In the piece, Briggs claims that “Congress had an unarmed Air Force veteran shot and killed” and misleadingly claims that “the crowd, by doing very little, by remaining inside the tourist ropes inside the building, even, forced the startled regime into hiding.</span>”</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">
</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">Can we go back in time and shoot one of them? https://t.co/7TQfPPuqLo</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">
</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">—&nbsp;<b>William M Briggs (@FamedCelebrity)</b>&nbsp;January 7, 2021</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">Briggs’ post goes on to describe Republican politicians’ later condemnation of Wednesday’s attack as “the most disgusting display of cowardice and abject surrender we’re likely to see in our lifetimes.”</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">
</font></p><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="4"><b>“Some of us will be in deep kimchi because of this, but there are no regrets,” Briggs’s post continued. “One thing is certain. They will be coming for us.”....</b></font></p></div><div><font face="Times New Roman" size="4">=
</font><div><div id="post-15356" class="post-15356 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-culture category-uncategorized" style="box-sizing: border-box; padding-bottom: 67.59375px; border-bottom-width: 4px; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-color: rgb(238, 238, 238); margin-bottom: 67.59375px; color: rgb(68, 68, 68); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><div class="post-header" style="box-sizing: border-box; margin-bottom: 40.546875px;"><h2 class="post-title" style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 15px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 54px; word-break: break-word; color: rgb(45, 45, 45);"><a href="http://wmbriggs.com/post/15356/" rel="bookmark" title="Goon Squad Fails To Distract Public From Fact That Climate Models Stink" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none; transition: all 0.2s ease-in-out; -webkit-transition: all 0.2s ease-in-out;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">Goon Squad Fails To Distract Public From Fact That Climate Models Stink</font></a></h2><div class="post-meta" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman"><span class="post-date" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><a href="http://wmbriggs.com/post/15356/" title="Goon Squad Fails To Distract Public From Fact That Climate Models Stink" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-decoration: none; transition: all 0.2s ease-in-out; -webkit-transition: all 0.2s ease-in-out;">FEBRUARY 22, 2015</a></span>&nbsp;<span class="date-sep" style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 5px; color: rgb(221, 221, 221);">/&nbsp;</span><span class="post-author" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><a href="http://wmbriggs.com/post/author/briggs/" title="Posts by Briggs" rel="author" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-decoration: none; transition: all 0.2s ease-in-out; -webkit-transition: all 0.2s ease-in-out;">BRIGGS</a></span>&nbsp;<span class="date-sep" style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 5px; color: rgb(221, 221, 221);">/&nbsp;</span><a href="http://wmbriggs.com/post/15356/#comments" title="Comment on Goon Squad Fails To Distract Public From Fact That Climate Models Stink" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(153, 153, 153); text-decoration: none; transition: all 0.2s ease-in-out; -webkit-transition: all 0.2s ease-in-out;">17 COMMENTS</a></font></div></div><div class="post-content" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><div id="attachment_15357" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 32.8950004577637px; margin: 0px auto 1.1em; text-align: center;"><a href="http://wmbriggs.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/ransom41.png" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(181, 181, 181); text-decoration: none; transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; -webkit-transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman"><img src="http://wmbriggs.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/ransom41.png" alt="The New York Times's Science Squad. Notice the superior rival paper, which is undoubtedly used as a crib." width="710" height="419" class="size-full wp-image-15357" style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 5px; border: 1px solid rgb(238, 238, 238); line-height: 1; text-align: left; max-width: 100%; height: auto;" /></font></a><p class="wp-caption-text" style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0.5em 0px 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 27.9607486724854px; color: rgb(136, 136, 136);"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">The New York Times’s Science Squad. Notice the superior rival paper, which is undoubtedly used as a crib.</font></p></div><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman"><em style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 1;">Our continuing walk through</em>&nbsp;<a href="http://wmbriggs.com/post/category/samt/" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(181, 181, 181); text-decoration: none; transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; -webkit-transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out;">Summa Contra Gentiles</a><em style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 1;">&nbsp;is postponed until next week. Feel free to pass this around, but only in its entirety and with a link back to the original.</em></font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">All my efforts&nbsp;<a href="http://wmbriggs.com/post/15337/" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(181, 181, 181); text-decoration: none; transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; -webkit-transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out;">to educate reporters</a>&nbsp;were in vain. It turns out they’d rather remain wallowing in their muck than learn about the subjects on which they write. The worst examples are&nbsp;<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2015/02/22/us/ties-to-corporate-cash-for-climate-change-researcher-Wei-Hock-Soon.html" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(181, 181, 181); text-decoration: none; transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; -webkit-transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; margin-bottom: 0px;">Justin Gillis and associate at the far left&nbsp;<em style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 1;">New York Times</em></a>.</font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">So I failed. I was a fool to try. I let myself forget that I was dealing with a class of people where the gap between actual and perceived ability is not only wide, but is a gaping chasm. To expect mainstream science reporters to understand science is like asking an environmentalist to be reasonable. I should have remembered most journalists suffer from&nbsp;<a href="http://wmbriggs.com/post/13417/" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(181, 181, 181); text-decoration: none; transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; -webkit-transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; margin-bottom: 0px;">reporteritis</a>, the degrading ailment whereby because reporters cover important people and events they come believe they are important, too. Sadly, there is no known cure.</font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">Here’s the story. Lord Christopher Monckton, Willie Soon, David Legates, and I wrote a paper called “<a href="http://wmbriggs.com/post/15095/" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(181, 181, 181); text-decoration: none; transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; -webkit-transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; margin-bottom: 0px;">Why models hot</a>” which offers an explanation on why climate models are so awful. Which they are: awful. We received no money for the work, nor was any offered. We did the work entirely on our own time. Unlike journalists who have to conform to their employers’ ideological and political convictions and scientists who accept government grants in hopes of receiving more in the future, we were beholden to no one.</font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">Listen: there has to be some reason for the repeated dismal embarrassing&nbsp;<a href="http://wmbriggs.com/post/15258/" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(181, 181, 181); text-decoration: none; transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; -webkit-transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; margin-bottom: 0px;">failure of climate models to conform to reality</a>. We might be wrong about why they stink, but then again we might be right. Wouldn’t it be marvelous if we are? No more having to fret and whine and worry about the sky falling! Something to celebrate, no?</font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">No. Not if your existence depends on selling doom and scaring the wits out of the gullible. The cult-like Greenpeace and other True Believers understood that our paper cast serious doubt on the silly hypothesis that man-made global warming will soon kill us all—unless government expands by leaps and bounds. They freaked.</font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">Greenpeace and like-minded zealots knew that there was no answer to “Why models run hot” except to admit climate models were a failure (<a href="http://wmbriggs.com/post/15346/" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(181, 181, 181); text-decoration: none; transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; -webkit-transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; margin-bottom: 0px;">but see this attempt at an answer by a real scientist</a>). So they did what came naturally to the morally decrepit: they tried to change the subject. And the best way to do that, they thought, was to discredit the authors of the paper. That this kind of unethical ignoble oafish behavior has no place in science is nothing. Rank degeneracy comes naturally to activists and their puppy journalistic followers.</font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">Now Lord Monckton has no regular position, and neither do I (not that I don’t want one). So True Believers had no traction with us (though&nbsp;<a href="http://wmbriggs.com/post/15084/" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(181, 181, 181); text-decoration: none; transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; -webkit-transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out;">I was hacked</a>). Legates and Soon have jobs.&nbsp;<a href="http://wmbriggs.com/post/15170/" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(181, 181, 181); text-decoration: none; transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; -webkit-transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; margin-bottom: 0px;">The coward Greg Laden</a>&nbsp;touted a petition to have Soon fired. The troubled David Appell tried FOIA-ing Legate’s employers, but it turned out that because none of us received any money for our work, there was nothing to see, and Legates’s employers turned him down.</font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">But Soon’s employers were more generous and shared with Greenpeace Soon’s correspondence. But poor Greenpeace came away disappointed. We claimed we got no money—no nothing—from nobody. We claimed it because it was true. I tried telling reporters this until my fingers were sore (<a href="http://wmbriggs.com/post/15337/" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(181, 181, 181); text-decoration: none; transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; -webkit-transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out;">here</a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href="http://wmbriggs.com/post/15084/" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(181, 181, 181); text-decoration: none; transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; -webkit-transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; margin-bottom: 0px;">here</a>), but none of them ever seemed to hear it. It’s as if they didn’t want to.</font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">Well, Soon, like&nbsp;<em style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 1;">most</em>&nbsp;other scientists in research positions, has at times accepted grants from sources other than our most beneficent Government. Greenpeace, for instance, often hands these kinds of things out (ask reporters why any scientist receiving Greenpeace money doesn’t forever after admit a conflict of interest). Since Greenpeace couldn’t discover what wasn’t there, they sent their ill-gotten goods to some folks in the press with no honor hoping merely by making an accusation they could cause a stink. A sort of variant of the “Hey Gillis, are you still sleeping with goats?” trick.</font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">Any honest man would have thrown the emails back in Greenpeace’s face, as it were. But we’re dealing with mainstream reporters, not men. Somehow they convinced themselves that they were involved in a higher calling, that to cast wrongful aspersions on an innocent man was okay as long as it was for a good cause. Besides, they were only doing their job. There were “allegations”. They were just following orders.</font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">Soon is an honest man and my friend. Not only has he done nothing wrong, he has done everything right. Like what, for instance?</font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">Like co-authoring the paper “Why models run hot.” Were you aware, dear reader, that climate models have been promising gold but have been delivering low-grade manure&nbsp;<em style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 1;">for decades</em>? Repeated extended horrifying terrible shockingly awful predictions have been passed off as sound immaculate don’t-you-dare-doubt-it SCIENCE for years and years and years and even more years&nbsp;<em style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 1;">despite</em>their awful stench. How did this happen?</font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">One theory is that the human race is insane. Another is that politicians, reporters, activists, and scientists anxious to improve their circumstance glommed on to what they saw as a good thing merely to enhance their own personal status, riches, and power. This is why actual performance doesn’t matter. This is why actual science is meaningless. This is a left-wing propaganda sheet sent a walking sausage to disparage a good man.</font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">Nobody wants to see the end of the gravy train. Reality cannot be borne, not where there are offices to be secured, awards to be won, grants to be had. Those in power will do&nbsp;<em style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 1;">anything</em>&nbsp;to hold off the inevitable.</font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">Friends, don’t buy into their nonsense.&nbsp;<em style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 1;">Refuse</em>&nbsp;to discuss their preposterous “allegations”—such a serious word! If you do, you grant victory to these malevolent beasts. Their intent was to distract and to have you talk about anything&nbsp;<em style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 1;">except</em>&nbsp;the truth that climate models cannot be trusted. Don’t fall for it!</font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">Let’s only talk about real science. Not one word about “conflicts of interest” except to ask journalists how they dare report on subjects in which they are so manifestly ignorant.</font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">Use this anemic yet opprobrious goon squad attack to good purpose. Every time some citizen says, “Didn’t that scientist fill out a form incorrectly?” remind them that it didn’t matter if that scientist was as dishonest and reprehensible as Al Gore himself, what counts is whether his charge that climate models have been over-promising more insistently than a used car salesman who has fallen behind in his gambling debts is true or not. And it’s true.</font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">Remind everybody that true theories make good forecasts and that false theories make bad ones. And since climate models make bad forecasts, they must be based on false theories.</font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">Update</strong>&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/mattstat/status/569266820927987712" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(181, 181, 181); text-decoration: none; transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; -webkit-transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out;">On Twitter</a>&nbsp;I put the question to Gillis whether he had received money from Greenpeace or other like entity. I followed up&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/mattstat/status/569267765489479680" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(181, 181, 181); text-decoration: none; transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; -webkit-transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; margin-bottom: 0px;">here</a>&nbsp;and by email (below), but Gillis never answered, though he bravely blocked me on Twitter.</font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">Gillis’s refusal to answer may raise suspicions in some minds.</font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">Here is my email to Gillis:</font></p><blockquote style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 1.1em; border: 0px; line-height: 29.0249996185303px; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); background: rgb(238, 238, 238);"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">Gillis,</font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">I’m following up on this story. Have you ever received consideration of any kind (money, food, tickets, anything) from Greenpeace or any like organization concerned primarily with the environment? Same question but about contacts with progressive or “left wing” groups? Have you ever met with any individuals with ties to any environmental organization? Were all of these meetings in conjunction with your job, or were any on personal time?</font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">I’ve tried reaching you by email and Twitter but have yet received no response.</font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">My deadline is 8 am Sunday. I’d appreciate an answer by then.</font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">Briggs</font></p></blockquote><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin-bottom: 0px;">Update</strong>&nbsp;Turns out that several progressive sheets all released the nonsense about Soon at the same time. Isn’t that a curious coincidence. Almost like these “news” organizations were more interested in advocacy than in reporting.</font></p></div><font size="4" face="Times New Roman"><br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />
</font><div class="clear" style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both;"><div id="post-15346" class="post-15346 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-uncategorized" style="box-sizing: border-box; padding-bottom: 67.59375px; border-bottom-width: 4px; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-color: rgb(238, 238, 238); margin-bottom: 67.59375px; color: rgb(68, 68, 68); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><div class="post-header" style="box-sizing: border-box; margin-bottom: 40.546875px;"><h2 class="post-title" style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 15px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; border-image-source: initial; border-image-slice: initial; border-image-width: initial; border-image-outset: initial; border-image-repeat: initial; line-height: 54px; word-break: break-word; color: rgb(45, 45, 45);"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><a href="http://wmbriggs.com/post/15346/" rel="bookmark" title="Response To Trenberth Over “Why Models Run Hot”" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;">Response To Trenberth Over “Why Models Run Hot”</a>&nbsp;omitted</font></h2><div><font size="4" face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;">---</font></div><div><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;" /><div id="post-15337" class="post-15337 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-culture category-uncategorized" style="font-size: 18px; box-sizing: border-box; padding-bottom: 67.59375px; border-bottom-width: 4px; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-color: rgb(238, 238, 238); margin-bottom: 67.59375px; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;" /></font></font></font></font></font></font><div class="post-content" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 1.075em;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;" /></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">Update</strong>&nbsp;<em style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 1;">Be sure to come back on Sunday and&nbsp;<a href="http://wmbriggs.com/post/15356/" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(181, 181, 181); text-decoration: none; transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; -webkit-transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; margin-bottom: 0px;">see my wrap-up column</a>.</em></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">The first section of this article contains background on the subject which should be read, the second records correspondence with several “science” reporters which can be skimmed, and the third has an analysis on the state of science. Feel free to pass this article around (but in its entirety and with a link back here).</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin-bottom: 0px;">Fallacies galore</strong></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">This concerns the paper Lord Christopher Monckton, Willie Soon, David Legates and I wrote entitled “<a href="http://wmbriggs.com/post/15095/" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(181, 181, 181); text-decoration: none; transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; -webkit-transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out;">Why models run hot</a>“, which carries the good news that we have a potential and likely explanation&nbsp;<a href="http://wmbriggs.com/post/15258/" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(181, 181, 181); text-decoration: none; transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; -webkit-transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; margin-bottom: 0px;">why climate models perform so badly that they should not be trusted</a>.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Yet instead of celebrating this or at least asking relevant or pertinent questions related to the physics, those of a certain political persuasion panicked. What matters to these sad people is not truth but belief. Only evidence which is consonant with their belief is countenanced. Evidence which questions or refutes their belief isn’t challenged or engaged, instead it is anathematized, and the bearers of the bad tidings are damned and hounded.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Now it is utterly, completely, starkly irrelevant, and obvious to any but a bug-eyed zealot,&nbsp;<em style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 1;">how</em>&nbsp;the four of us came to our result. It does not matter if Greenpeace itself, as that cult-like organization often does, paid for the writing of the paper. It doesn’t matter if the government, awash as it is in billions, asked us to do the work. It even doesn’t matter if we discovered the results printed small on a Chinese fortune cookie. The result is what and is all that is important.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">As it is, none of us, as I have repeatedly said, received consideration in any form from anybody for the work we did. This means that even if you embraced the childish fallacy that the origin of ideas mattered to the truth of them, here the result is as pure as pure can be.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">The easily frenzied did not believe this, and were convinced a conspiracy was afoot. Some, whose grasp on sanity is faintest,&nbsp;<a href="http://wmbriggs.com/post/15170/" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(181, 181, 181); text-decoration: none; transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; -webkit-transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; margin-bottom: 0px;">organized a petition to have one of us (Soon) fired</a>, because why? Because they falsely accused Soon of failing to fill out a journal form properly. I do not joke nor jest. As it is, Soon and the rest of us honestly, openly, and properly filled out all forms. Not that any of that matters to our result.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">It was at this point real dread set in. It looked like the four of us were telling the truth. We were. And to the deluded who cherish the genetic fallacy this appeared that our result might be true, too. So the mentally feeble David Appell (sometime scourge of the comment box) put a FOIA request to the employer of Legates, but the poor soul was rebuffed because no state monies were involved in the writing of the paper. As we claimed. Then Greenpeace contacted the employer of Soon with the same intent, and Greenpeace discovered that Soon was in the same state as those who receive Greenpeace money. Which is to say, Soon in his career received money from sources other than our beneficent government. But he didn’t get anything for the paper the four of us wrote. How disappointed Greenpeace must have been to have discovered that.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin-bottom: 0px;">Science mistaken for politics</strong></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Greenpeace was stymied again. But they have friends in low places, who they contacted because Soon soon (a joke!) was inundated with “science” reporters asking for interviews.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">One of these was Jeff Tollefson, US Correspondent for&nbsp;<em style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 1;">Nature</em>, who pestered Soon. I wrote to Tollefson (complete with my typos):</p><blockquote style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 1.1em; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 29.0249996185303px; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); background: rgb(238, 238, 238);"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Tollefson,</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">A little birdies told me you’re writing an article which won’t discuss Lord Monckton et alia’s “Why models run hot” paper, but which will instead try to discredit the paper by talking about anything but what’s in it.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">When I heard that I said to myself, “No reporter at Nature can be that pig ignorant or wantonly scurrilous.” Am I right? “No,” I said, “the reporter must be writing about two common fallacies used by those who deny science. The genetic fallacy and the non sequitur.”</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">When confronted by an unpleasant result, non-scientists in the media love to encourage the genetic fallacy, which is when they try and get their audiences to believe that the origin of a truth is false because of that truth’s origin. I know you’ll have difficulty believing this, Tollefson, but this strategy actually works! People are so gleeful at the possibility that they don’t have to confront the truth that they leap at the chance to turn the discussion to money or politics. Shameful and more than a little sad, no?</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">And then there’s the non sequitur that falsely accusing a man of not checking off a box on a paper submission form therefore invalidates the results of that paper. Embarrassing that anybody would believe such a thing. But it happens!</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">I know you know these things, Tollefson, but I had to say them because I wanted to share my misery over the shoddy state of science these days.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Incidentally, isn’t it wonderfully cheering news that our results in the “Why models run hot” paper show that multitude of the-end-is-nigh forecasts are very likely exaggerated?</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Briggs</p></blockquote><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">He replied:</p><blockquote style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 1.1em; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 29.0249996185303px; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); background: rgb(238, 238, 238);"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Hello Mr. Briggs,<br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin-bottom: 0px;" />I’m writing a story about the broader issue of industry funding as illustrated by these documents that are about to come out. The study in Science Bulletin will likely come up, but this is not a story about that discussion. That said, I just submitted a request to our librarian to get me that paper (we don’t have free access), and I would greatly appreciate it if you could pass it along (with any supplemental materials).</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Many thanks,<br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin-bottom: 0px;" />Jeff</p></blockquote><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">To which I said:</p><blockquote style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 1.1em; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 29.0249996185303px; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); background: rgb(238, 238, 238);"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Tollefson,</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Broader issue, eh. So you do prefer politics to science? Well, I’ll look for you to point out the fallacies I mentioned to your readers.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">But since politics and not science is your beat, then what effect do you think the billions of government money flooding into the system has? Why is it government money is seen as “pure” and industry money “tainted”, especially when the government far outspends industry. The government is, after all, an interested source. Just think of EPA grants. What will you say of the common practice whereby scientists review grants and also receive them from the same agencies (not simultaneously of course)? Tremendous conflict of interest! Do you recall Eisenhower’s speech where he not only cautioned against the military-industrial complex but also about the corrupting influence of government money?</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Incidentally, the paper is open source. But I’ll attach it for you.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Briggs</p></blockquote><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">That was one reporter. Another was Sylvan Lane, Congressional Correspondent at The Boston Globe, Washington Bureau,&nbsp;<a href="http://wmbriggs.com/post/15084/" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(181, 181, 181); text-decoration: none; transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; -webkit-transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; margin-bottom: 0px;">who we met before</a>&nbsp;and whom I offered to instruct in physics. He wrote:</p><blockquote style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 1.1em; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 29.0249996185303px; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); background: rgb(238, 238, 238);"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Hello Dr. Briggs and Lord Monckton,</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">I hope all is well. I’m writing to ask you a couple of questions about your and Dr. Soon’s work on “Why models run hot.”</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">We received documents today that Greenpeace obtained through FOIA indicating that the Dr. Soon received several $100,000 during the time you all were working on “Why models run hot.”</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Were you two aware that Dr. Soon was receiving this money at the time? Do you believe that this should have been disclosed as a conflict of interest, given the proximity of the receipt of funding to the work on the paper?</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Thank you very much,</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">—<br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin-bottom: 0px;" />Sylvan Lane</p></blockquote><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">I replied:</p><blockquote style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 1.1em; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 29.0249996185303px; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); background: rgb(238, 238, 238);"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Lane,</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Still no questions on the physics? Have you even tried to learn any in the interim?</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Plus I notice you didn’t answer any of the questions I asked before. Why is that? Are the answers too embarrassing for you? Are you compromised in some way? You can tell me.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">If you’d like me to suggest a course of reading on physical modeling, let me know. After you have that under your belt, perhaps we can then have a relevant, intelligent discussion.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Briggs</p></blockquote><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Surprisingly, Lane never wrote back.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">A third reporter, Dave Hasemyer at InsideClimate News, starting harassing Soon at home. This cheeseball in part wrote (it’s only “in part” because I am affording Hasemyer of stripping off his email and phone number):</p><blockquote style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 1.1em; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 29.0249996185303px; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); background: rgb(238, 238, 238);"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">I am doing a story that tracks some of your recent published studies — reporting in which questions are being raised about whether you violated any conflicts of interest guidelines by not disclosing your funding sources.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">I’m also need to talk with you about the ethics of what you have said about trying to sway public opinion and influence public policy though the results of your studies that address climate change and global warming.</p></blockquote><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">I didn’t write Hasemyer because it’s almost certain he’s beyond helping. That last sentence of his is a doozy and is all the proof you need of the one-sided nature of this public debate.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Another reporter, a Justin Gillis, Environmental Science Writer for the left wing<em style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 1;">New York Times</em>, wrote something similar. His email also admitted his relationship with Greenpeace.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">About two weeks back, another reporter, Chris Mooney of the&nbsp;<em style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 1;">Washington Post</em>wrote this:</p><blockquote style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 1.1em; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 29.0249996185303px; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); background: rgb(238, 238, 238);"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Yes, can you address two points — and anything else you’d like to address?</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">1) The article suggests there should have been some type of disclosure. Does Dr Soon have a response to this? Or you, the authors?</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">2) There’s a citation of “more than $1 million Soon has received from companies and interests supporting studies critical of climate change.” Is that accurate?</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Also: You’re acting as a spokesperson for Dr. Soon? How do I identify you?</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">thanks</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Chris Mooney</p></blockquote><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">I answered:</p><blockquote style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 1.1em; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 29.0249996185303px; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); background: rgb(238, 238, 238);"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Mooney,</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">A) Let me ask you this. Are you getting paid to write this upcoming piece? Do you feel that this money biases you? Do you feel under pressure to, say, bend the truth, leave out pertinent details, or otherwise misreport the story based on your funder’s desires?</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">B) I notice you didn’t ask questions about the physics. Why was this?<br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin-bottom: 0px;" />Our argument is that the physics used in climate models is sorely lacking at specific points. Are you familiar with the Genetic Fallacy? This is when somebody says an argument fails because of its source. It is a fallacy because it does not address the argument itself. How about the non sequitur? In this case, the fallacy is the crude and foolish attempt to distract from the argument, presumably because there is no answer for the argument. Will you be addressing the central argument of the paper or ignoring it? Will you make the same points I made in this paragraph?</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">1) There was a disclosure, all in full accordance with the journal’s policies. None of us were offered nor did any of us take any form of consideration for writing the paper. Suppose instead the counterfactual, that we, for instance, accepted a grant from Greenpeace or Government. Would that make our central finding—that climate models are poor—true or false? Do you often write stories asking whether authors filled out intra-journal paperwork correctly? How many have you written?</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">2) I have no idea about that “citation.” But at what level of funding from non-governmental sources makes an author’s finding doubtful? Is there an accepted figure? Does money from places like Greenpeace and the Sierra Club and, say, Apple Corporation count toward it, or is there an official list of tainted firms? If so, may I see it? And why is it that government funding is seen as pure and disinterested? The government spends vastly more on grants than do private sources. Interestingly, the same people who sit on grant awarding committees also themselves apply for and receive grants from those same committees (albeit not simultaneously). Isn’t that a huge conflict of interest? If so, why doesn’t anybody ever declare this? Talk about an unreported scandal.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Let me know if you have more questions.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Briggs</p></blockquote><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Mooney actually replied saying (ellipsis original), “Just one other question — you are speaking for Soon, for the group of authors, or….?” I thought this question silly and didn’t answer.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">And there are more, including those schooled by Lord Monckton, but that’s enough. You get the idea.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin-bottom: 0px;">The End is nigh</strong></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Listens up, lovers of truth. Do not play their game. Refuse to honor their dishonorable requests. This is an attempt by malcontents to change the subject from WHY MODELS RUN HOT to some putrid political point.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">The very second you start on their diseased path, they win. Everybody will forget that climate models stink, that they have no skill, that they should not be trusted, that something is very deeply wrong with the science behind these models, that the IPCC forecasts are awful, that the science is far from settled. Instead, we’ll have some nonsensical “debate” about paperwork.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">They are hoping you are as dumb as they; they are hoping that if, as is false, some box on a form was improperly checked, the results in the paper are therefore wrong. Can you imagine the level of mind that is convinced by an argument like that? I can. We are swimming in a sea of such people. This is why the science is now yet another branch of politics.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Never did I once get through to any of these “science” reporters. Why? Their minds are too clouded, they are incapable of understanding the subjects on which they are reporting, or they are on a mission to discredit a good man simply because we questioned a cherished belief.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">What a sad story. What vast ignorance. What despicable people. What a farce.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Oh, by the way. Climate models have no skill. They should not be trusted. The science behind climate models is woefully incomplete. The forecasts from these models have been a bust for decades now. If you’d like to learn why, you can’t go too far wrong than by starting with the paper “Why model run hot”, available at the link above.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin-bottom: 0px;">Update</strong></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Lane finally emailed me back. Here’s what he said:</p><blockquote style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 1.1em; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 29.0249996185303px; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); background: rgb(238, 238, 238);"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Dr. Briggs,</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">I assume you’re not willing to answer my questions then? We’ll be running a story this weekend that I’m finishing up today.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Thanks,</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Sylvan</p></blockquote><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">To which I replied:</p><blockquote style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 1.1em; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 29.0249996185303px; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); background: rgb(238, 238, 238);"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">I assume you’re not willing to answer my questions then? I’ll be posting your responses.</p></blockquote><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Why is it reporters think they’re immune from questioning their motives?</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Tollefson also emailed:</p><blockquote style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 1.1em; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 29.0249996185303px; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); background: rgb(238, 238, 238);"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Hello again Mr. Briggs, and hello for the first time Lord Monckton,<br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin-bottom: 0px;" />So I wanted to verify your position regarding the alleged conflict of interest, given Willie Soon’s funding, and then provide some comments that I received regarding your paper in Science Bulletin.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">First regarding the alleged conflict, I saw that you were quoted, Lord Monckton, in the Boston Globe saying that there was no such conflict because all of the work for this paper was done in your own time. Is that correct? But regardless, shouldn’t Willie Soon’s funding be acknowledged just as a matter of due diligence so as to avoid questions like this?</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Second, I’m pasting in a quick critique of the Science Bulletin paper from Kevin Trenberth below, who summed things up with the following question: How did this get published? Your responses are welcome, although to be clear the story I’m writing is not about this paper but about the question of science funding and conflicts of interest.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Many thanks for your time.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Jeff</p></blockquote><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">I’ll post Trenberth’s critique and my response to it in a separate post. But notice that Tollefson still can’t be brought to discuss the point at hand. I replied to Tollefson:</p><blockquote style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 1.1em; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 29.0249996185303px; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); background: rgb(238, 238, 238);"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Well, you’re finally getting to the real point. Instead of trying to distract and mislead your audience with irrelevant and already asked-and-answered questions, you have actual science to discuss. What a wonderful change!</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">What I’ll do is to put up for all to see Trenberth’s critique and my response. I’ll let you know when this is done. Lord Monckton may wish to do his own, of course.</p></blockquote><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin-bottom: 0px;">Update</strong>&nbsp;Note the New & Improved title!</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin-bottom: 0px;">Update</strong></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Gillis of the far-left&nbsp;<em style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 1;">New York Times</em>&nbsp;is a pathetic creature who without talking to Soon jumped to pre-judged conclusions. Without evidence or corroboration the foolish Gillis accused Soon of an “ethical breach”.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">So I emailed this foolish ethically breached man:</p><blockquote style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 1.1em; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 29.0249996185303px; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); background: rgb(238, 238, 238);"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Gillis,</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">I understand you’re attempting to distract your readers with persiflage about whether Dr Soon incorrectly filled out a journal’s paper submission form. I am one of the authors of that paper.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Why are you doing this? I understand you are funded by progressive corporate interests that have a stake in the politics of climate change. I’d like to ask you whether your acceptance of this corporate funding has influenced the conclusions of your reporting. I’m guessing it has. Can you explain yourself?</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">I’d also like to know why you feel falsely accusing people of trivial paperwork mishandling contributes or detracts to science. Do you feel you’re on a mission to “change the world”? Don’t you agree that scientific truth is more important in this case? If not, why not? Do you yourself feel important in some way by making these false charges?</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">I’m most concerned that you did not ask any relevant science questions. Do you know much about the physics of climate change? Can you, for instance, tell me what cloud parameterization scheme you like best? Can you expound for me on the scientific principle that bad forecasts imply false theories and its relation to global climate predictions?</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Again, I’m pretty concerned that because your employer, a well known far-left publication, is involved that you no amount of argument can talk you out of your pre-conceived and false notions. Do you think this is an apt charge? How do you defend yourself?</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">I’m going to press with this story pretty quickly, so I’d appreciate a quick response.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">WM Briggs</p></blockquote><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">Update</strong>&nbsp;Want more proof that climatology is no longer a science? Somebody slipped their restraints and started emailing me, Willie Soon, and a bunch of others attempting to taunt us. Though “taunt” is too strong a word. This person calls itself “Willie A Soon” with email willieasoon@yandex.com. The latest email was this poem from&nbsp;<em style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 1;">The Hobbit</em>:</p><blockquote style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 1.1em; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 29.0249996185303px; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); background: rgb(238, 238, 238);"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">I cannot be seen, cannot be felt,<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />Cannot be heard, cannot be smelt.<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />I lies behind stars and under hills,<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />And empty holes I fills.<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />I comes out first and follows after,<br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin-bottom: 0px;" />Ends life, kills laughter.</p></blockquote><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">So it self-identifies as Dark. Sheesh. Is there a place I can apply to government for victim status? I really ought to be compensated.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box;">Update</strong>&nbsp;The naughty Sylvan Lane has a&nbsp;<em style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 1;">Boston Globe</em>&nbsp;article on some politician trying to boost his take by frightening people about global warming, or whatever, in which he fibs, “Co-author Dr. William Briggs declined to comment.” Which, as you can see above, is not so. And don’t forget&nbsp;<a href="http://wmbriggs.com/post/15084/" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(181, 181, 181); text-decoration: none; transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; -webkit-transition: all 0.1s ease-in-out; margin-bottom: 0px;">my earlier back-and-forth with Lane here</a>. Tons of correspondence. What a pest this earnest but ignorant young man is. I just wrote to him this:</p><blockquote style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 1.1em; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 29.0249996185303px; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); background: rgb(238, 238, 238);"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">Naughty naughty, Lane.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 1.1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">I have all the correspondence between us posted, which proves your fib that I refused to comment.</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 19.3500003814697px; line-height: 32.8950004577637px;">I hope you at least blushed when writing that.</p></blockquote></div><div class="clear" style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both;"><div id="post-15327" class="post-15327 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-culture category-philosophy" style="box-sizing: border-box; padding-bottom: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"><div class="post-header" style="box-sizing: border-box; margin-bottom: 40.546875px;"><h2 class="post-title" style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 15px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; border-image-source: initial; border-image-slice: initial; border-image-width: initial; border-image-outset: initial; border-image-repeat: initial; line-height: 54px; word-break: break-word; color: rgb(45, 45, 45);"><a href="http://wmbriggs.com/post/15327/" rel="bookmark" title="Pascal’s Pensées, A Tour: VI" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;"><font size="3">Pascal’s Pensées, A Tour: VI</font></a></h2></div></div></div><div><font size="4" face="Times New Roman" style="box-sizing: border-box; outline: none; color: rgb(45, 45, 45); text-decoration: none;">--</font></div></div></div></div><div><font face="Times New Roman">
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</font></div><div><div class="med" id="res" role="main" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px 8px; border: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><div data-jibp="h" data-jiis="uc" id="search"><div data-ved="0CBoQGg"><div data-async-context="query:william%20m%20briggs%20statistician" id="ires" style="padding-top: 6px;"><ol eid="XyHqVIaLM4GGNuqlgLAC" id="rso" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px;"><div class="srg"><li class="g" style="line-height: 1.2; margin: 0px 0px 23px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; list-style: none; font-size: small;"><div class="rc" data-hveid="29" style="position: relative;"><h3 class="r" style="font-size: 18px; font-weight: normal; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; overflow: hidden; text-overflow: ellipsis; white-space: nowrap;"><a href="http://wmbriggs.com/" style="color: rgb(102, 0, 153); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman">William M. 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Have you ever received consideration of any kind (<wbr />money, food, tickets, anything) from Greenpeace or any like organization&nbsp;...</font></span></a></div></div></div></li><li class="g" style="line-height: 1.2; margin: 0px 0px 23px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; list-style: none; font-size: small;"><div class="rc" data-hveid="35" style="position: relative;"><h3 class="r" style="font-size: 18px; font-weight: normal; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; overflow: hidden; text-overflow: ellipsis; white-space: nowrap;"><a href="http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/2012/02/01/william-m-briggs-has-misunders/" style="color: rgb(102, 0, 153); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman">William M. Briggs has misunderstood a high-school level ...</font></a></h3><div class="s" style="max-width: 42em; color: rgb(84, 84, 84); line-height: 18px;"><div class="f kv _SWb" style="color: rgb(128, 128, 128); height: 17px; line-height: 16px; white-space: nowrap;"><font face="Times New Roman"><cite class="Rm" style="color: rgb(0, 102, 33); font-style: normal; font-size: 14px;">scienceblogs.com/.../02/.../<b>william</b>-<b>m</b>-<b>briggs</b>-has-misunders/</cite></font><div class="action-menu ab_ctl" style="display: inline; position: relative; margin: 0px 3px; vertical-align: middle; -webkit-user-select: none;"><font face="Times New Roman"><a class="Fmb ab_button" href="https://www.google.com/webhp?sourceid=chrome-instant&ion=1&espv=2&ie=UTF-8#" id="am-b1" aria-label="Result details" aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="true" role="button" jsaction="ab.tdd;keydown:ab.hbke;keypress:ab.mskpe" data-ved="0CCUQ7B0wAQ" style="border-radius: 0px; cursor: default; font-size: 11px; font-weight: bold; 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color: rgb(51, 51, 51); cursor: pointer; display: block; padding: 7px 18px; outline: 0px; font-size: 14px;"><span class="st" style="line-height: 1.4; word-wrap: break-word;"><font face="Times New Roman"><span class="f" style="color: rgb(128, 128, 128);">Feb 1, 2012 -&nbsp;</span><span class="ft">And I suspect he's done so willingly. Well, you know what they say about<span style="font-weight: bold;">statistics</span>&nbsp;and liars. Here's the story. The Wall Street Journal and the</span>&nbsp;&nbsp;...</font></span></a></div></div></div></li><li class="g" style="line-height: 1.2; margin: 0px 0px 23px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; list-style: none; font-size: small;"><div class="rc" data-hveid="43" style="position: relative;"><h3 class="r" style="font-size: 18px; font-weight: normal; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; overflow: hidden; text-overflow: ellipsis; white-space: nowrap;"><a href="http://www.strangenotions.com/author/dr-william-m-briggs/" style="color: rgb(102, 0, 153); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman">Dr. William M. Briggs : Strange Notions</font></a></h3><div class="s" style="max-width: 42em; color: rgb(84, 84, 84); line-height: 18px;"><div class="f kv SWb" style="color: rgb(128, 128, 128); height: 17px; line-height: 16px; white-space: nowrap;"><font face="Times New Roman"><cite class="Rm" style="color: rgb(0, 102, 33); font-style: normal; font-size: 14px;">www.strangenotions.com/author/dr-<b>william</b>-<b>m</b>-<b>briggs</b>/</cite></font><div class="action-menu ab_ctl" style="display: inline; position: relative; margin: 0px 3px; vertical-align: middle; -webkit-user-select: none;"><font face="Times New Roman"><a class="Fmb ab_button" href="https://www.google.com/webhp?sourceid=chrome-instant&ion=1&espv=2&ie=UTF-8#" id="am-b2" aria-label="Result details" aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="true" role="button" jsaction="ab.tdd;keydown:ab.hbke;keypress:ab.mskpe" data-ved="0CC0Q7B0wAg" style="border-radius: 0px; cursor: default; font-size: 11px; font-weight: bold; height: 12px; line-height: 27px; 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color: rgb(51, 51, 51); cursor: pointer; display: block; padding: 7px 18px; outline: 0px; font-size: 14px;"><span class="st" style="line-height: 1.4; word-wrap: break-word;"><font face="Times New Roman">Dr.&nbsp;<span style="font-weight: bold;">William M</span>.&nbsp;<span style="font-weight: bold;">Briggs</span>&nbsp;is an Adjunct Professor of&nbsp;<span style="font-weight: bold;">Statistics</span>&nbsp;at Cornell University, where he acquired both an M.S. in Atmospheric Science and a Ph.D. in&nbsp;<span style="font-weight: bold;">Statistics</span>.</font></span></a></div></div></div></li><li class="g" style="line-height: 1.2; margin: 0px 0px 23px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; list-style: none; font-size: small;"><div class="rc" data-hveid="49" style="position: relative;"><h3 class="r" style="font-size: 18px; font-weight: normal; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; overflow: hidden; text-overflow: ellipsis; white-space: nowrap;"><a href="http://blog.hotwhopper.com/2014/08/william-m-briggs-is-no-futurist-about.html" style="color: rgb(102, 0, 153); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman">HotWhopper: William M Briggs is no futurist. About forecasts ...</font></a></h3><div class="s" style="max-width: 42em; color: rgb(84, 84, 84); line-height: 18px;"><div class="f kv _SWb" style="color: rgb(128, 128, 128); height: 17px; line-height: 16px; white-space: nowrap;"><font face="Times New Roman"><cite class="Rm" style="color: rgb(0, 102, 33); font-style: normal; font-size: 14px;">blog.hotwhopper.com/2014/.../<b>william</b>-<b>m</b>-<b>briggs</b>-is-no-futurist-about.ht...</cite></font><div class="action-menu ab_ctl" style="display: inline; position: relative; margin: 0px 3px; vertical-align: middle; -webkit-user-select: none;"><font face="Times New Roman"><a class="Fmb ab_button" href="https://www.google.com/webhp?sourceid=chrome-instant&ion=1&espv=2&ie=UTF-8#" id="am-b3" aria-label="Result details" aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="true" role="button" jsaction="ab.tdd;keydown:ab.hbke;keypress:ab.mskpe" data-ved="0CDMQ7B0wAw" style="border-radius: 0px; cursor: default; font-size: 11px; font-weight: bold; height: 12px; line-height: 27px; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: center; -webkit-transition: none; transition: none; -webkit-user-select: none; border: 0px; color: rgb(128, 128, 128); box-shadow: 0px 0px 0px 0px; filter: none; width: 13px; text-decoration: none; display: inline-block; background-image: none;"><span class="mn-dwn-arw" style="border-color: rgb(0, 102, 33) transparent; border-style: solid; border-width: 4px 4px 0px; width: 0px; height: 0px; margin-left: 3px; top: 8.5px; margin-top: -4px; position: absolute; left: 0px;" /></a></font><div class="action-menu-panel ab_dropdown" role="menu" tabindex="-1" jsaction="keydown:ab.hdke;mouseover:ab.hdhne;mouseout:ab.hdhue" data-ved="0CDQQqR8wAw" style="border: 1px solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.2); font-size: 13px; padding: 0px; position: absolute; right: auto; top: 12px; z-index: 3; -webkit-transition: opacity 0.218s; transition: opacity 0.218s; -webkit-box-shadow: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.2) 0px 2px 4px; box-shadow: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.2) 0px 2px 4px; left: 0px; visibility: hidden; background-image: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-size: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial;"><font face="Times New Roman" /><ul style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px;"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman" /></font></font></font></font></font></font><li class="action-menu-item ab_dropdownitem" role="menuitem" style="line-height: 1.2; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; list-style: none; -webkit-user-select: none; cursor: pointer;"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><a class="fl" href="http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:NPVNqxXTV04J:blog.hotwhopper.com/2014/08/william-m-briggs-is-no-futurist-about.html+&cd=4&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); cursor: pointer; display: block; padding: 7px 18px; outline: 0px; font-size: 14px;" /></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></li></ul></div></div></div><div class="f slp" style="color: rgb(128, 128, 128);"><a class="fl" href="http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:NPVNqxXTV04J:blog.hotwhopper.com/2014/08/william-m-briggs-is-no-futurist-about.html+&cd=4&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); cursor: pointer; display: block; padding: 7px 18px; outline: 0px; font-size: 14px;"><span class="st" style="line-height: 1.4; word-wrap: break-word;"><font face="Times New Roman"><span class="f" style="color: rgb(128, 128, 128);">Aug 11, 2014 -&nbsp;</span><span class="ft">It was an article by denier&nbsp;<span style="font-weight: bold;">statistician</span>&nbsp;to the stars,&nbsp;<span style="font-weight: bold;">William M</span>.&nbsp;<span style="font-weight: bold;">Briggs</span>. Yes, he's the bloke who coauthored a dumb article with Christopher</span>&nbsp;&nbsp;...</font></span></a></div></div></div></li><li class="g" style="line-height: 1.2; margin: 0px 0px 23px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; list-style: none; font-size: small;"><div class="rc" data-hveid="55" style="position: relative;"><h3 class="r" style="font-size: 18px; font-weight: normal; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; overflow: hidden; text-overflow: ellipsis; white-space: nowrap;"><a href="https://twitter.com/mattstat" style="color: rgb(102, 0, 153); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman">William M. Briggs (@mattstat) | Twitter</font></a></h3><div class="s" style="max-width: 42em; color: rgb(84, 84, 84); line-height: 18px;"><div class="f kv _SWb" style="color: rgb(128, 128, 128); height: 17px; line-height: 16px; white-space: nowrap;"><font face="Times New Roman"><cite class="Rm" style="color: rgb(0, 102, 33); font-style: normal; font-size: 14px;">https://twitter.com/mattstat</cite></font><div class="action-menu ab_ctl" style="display: inline; position: relative; margin: 0px 3px; vertical-align: middle; -webkit-user-select: none;"><font face="Times New Roman"><a class="Fmb ab_button" href="https://www.google.com/webhp?sourceid=chrome-instant&ion=1&espv=2&ie=UTF-8#" id="am-b4" aria-label="Result details" aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="true" role="button" jsaction="ab.tdd;keydown:ab.hbke;keypress:ab.mskpe" data-ved="0CDkQ7B0wBA" style="border-radius: 0px; cursor: default; font-size: 11px; font-weight: bold; height: 12px; line-height: 27px; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: center; -webkit-transition: none; transition: none; -webkit-user-select: none; border: 0px; color: rgb(128, 128, 128); box-shadow: 0px 0px 0px 0px; filter: none; width: 13px; text-decoration: none; display: inline-block; background-image: none;"><span class="mn-dwn-arw" style="border-color: rgb(0, 102, 33) transparent; border-style: solid; border-width: 4px 4px 0px; width: 0px; height: 0px; margin-left: 3px; top: 8.5px; margin-top: -4px; position: absolute; left: 0px;" /></a></font><div class="action-menu-panel ab_dropdown" role="menu" tabindex="-1" jsaction="keydown:ab.hdke;mouseover:ab.hdhne;mouseout:ab.hdhue" data-ved="0CDoQqR8wBA" style="border: 1px solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.2); font-size: 13px; padding: 0px; position: absolute; right: auto; top: 12px; z-index: 3; -webkit-transition: opacity 0.218s; transition: opacity 0.218s; -webkit-box-shadow: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.2) 0px 2px 4px; box-shadow: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.2) 0px 2px 4px; left: 0px; visibility: hidden; background-image: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-size: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial;"><font face="Times New Roman" /><ul style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px;"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman" /></font></font></font></font></font></font><li class="action-menu-item ab_dropdownitem" role="menuitem" style="line-height: 1.2; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; list-style: none; -webkit-user-select: none; cursor: pointer;"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><a class="fl" href="http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:XQdZJJzYpbUJ:https://twitter.com/mattstat+&cd=5&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); cursor: pointer; display: block; padding: 7px 18px; outline: 0px; font-size: 14px;" /></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></li><li class="action-menu-item ab_dropdownitem" role="menuitem" style="line-height: 1.2; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; list-style: none; -webkit-user-select: none; cursor: pointer;"><a class="fl" href="https://www.google.com/search?espv=2&biw=1600&bih=775&q=related:https://twitter.com/mattstat+william+m+briggs+statistician&tbo=1&sa=X&ei=XyHqVIaLM4GGNuqlgLAC&ved=0CDwQHzAE" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); cursor: pointer; display: block; padding: 7px 18px; outline: 0px; font-size: 14px;" /></li></ul></div></div></div><div class="f slp" style="color: rgb(128, 128, 128);"><a class="fl" href="https://www.google.com/search?espv=2&biw=1600&bih=775&q=related:https://twitter.com/mattstat+william+m+briggs+statistician&tbo=1&sa=X&ei=XyHqVIaLM4GGNuqlgLAC&ved=0CDwQHzAE" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); cursor: pointer; display: block; padding: 7px 18px; outline: 0px; font-size: 14px;"><span class="st" style="line-height: 1.4; word-wrap: break-word;"><font face="Times New Roman"><span class="ft"><span style="font-weight: bold;">Statistician</span>&nbsp;to the Stars! New York City. wmbriggs.</span>&nbsp;... Don't miss any updates from<span style="font-weight: bold;">William M</span>.&nbsp;<span style="font-weight: bold;">Briggs</span>&nbsp;...&nbsp;<span style="font-weight: bold;">William M</span>.&nbsp;<span style="font-weight: bold;">Briggs</span>&nbsp;@mattstat · 7h 7 hours ago. I fought the &nbsp;...</font></span></a></div></div></div></li><li class="g" style="line-height: 1.2; margin: 0px 0px 23px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; list-style: none; font-size: small;"><div class="rc" data-hveid="61" style="position: relative;"><h3 class="r" style="font-size: 18px; font-weight: normal; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; overflow: hidden; text-overflow: ellipsis; white-space: nowrap;"><a href="https://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/02/01/william-m-briggs-numerologist-to-the-stars/" style="color: rgb(102, 0, 153); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman">William M. Briggs: Numerologist to the Stars | Open Mind</font></a></h3><div class="s" style="max-width: 42em; color: rgb(84, 84, 84); line-height: 18px;"><div class="f kv _SWb" style="color: rgb(128, 128, 128); height: 17px; line-height: 16px; white-space: nowrap;"><font face="Times New Roman"><cite class="Rm" style="color: rgb(0, 102, 33); font-style: normal; font-size: 14px;">https://tamino.wordpress.com/.../<b>william</b>-<b>m</b>-<b>briggs</b>-numerolog...</cite></font><div class="action-menu ab_ctl" style="display: inline; position: relative; margin: 0px 3px; vertical-align: middle; -webkit-user-select: none;"><font face="Times New Roman"><a class="Fmb ab_button" href="https://www.google.com/webhp?sourceid=chrome-instant&ion=1&espv=2&ie=UTF-8#" id="am-b5" aria-label="Result details" aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="true" role="button" jsaction="ab.tdd;keydown:ab.hbke;keypress:ab.mskpe" data-ved="0CD8Q7B0wBQ" style="border-radius: 0px; cursor: default; font-size: 11px; font-weight: bold; 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position: absolute; margin-left: 6px; margin-top: -3px; border-color: rgb(170, 170, 170) transparent !important;" /></a></div></div></div><div class="f slp" style="color: rgb(128, 128, 128);"><a class="fl" href="http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:YoIU4LQ3TUwJ:https://tamino.wordpress.com/2012/02/01/william-m-briggs-numerologist-to-the-stars/+&cd=6&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); cursor: pointer; display: block; padding: 7px 18px; outline: 0px; font-size: 14px;"><span class="st" style="line-height: 1.4; word-wrap: break-word;"><font face="Times New Roman"><span class="f" style="color: rgb(128, 128, 128);">Feb 1, 2012 -&nbsp;</span><span style="font-weight: bold;">William M</span>.&nbsp;<span style="font-weight: bold;">Briggs</span>, numerologist to the stars, has posted the claim that we don't know ...&nbsp;<span class="ft">According to his credentials, he is an actual&nbsp;<span style="font-weight: bold;">statistician</span>.</span></font></span></a></div></div></div></li><li class="g" style="line-height: 1.2; 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outline: 0px; font-size: 14px;"><span class="st" style="line-height: 1.4; word-wrap: break-word;"><font face="Times New Roman"><span class="ft"><span style="font-weight: bold;">William M</span>.&nbsp;<span style="font-weight: bold;">Briggs</span>&nbsp;is a statistical consultant whose research interests include</span>&nbsp;...<span class="ft">graphical data display; climate variability; and the philosophy of&nbsp;<span style="font-weight: bold;">statistics</span>&nbsp;and</span>&nbsp;&nbsp;...</font></span></a></div></div></div></li><li class="g" style="line-height: 1.2; margin: 0px 0px 23px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; list-style: none; font-size: small;"><div class="rc" data-hveid="75" style="position: relative;"><h3 class="r" style="font-size: 18px; font-weight: normal; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; overflow: hidden; text-overflow: ellipsis; white-space: nowrap;"><a class="fl" href="https://www.google.com/search?espv=2&biw=1600&bih=775&q=related:heartland.org/william-briggs+william+m+briggs+statistician&tbo=1&sa=X&ei=XyHqVIaLM4GGNuqlgLAC&ved=0CEkQHzAG" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); cursor: pointer; display: block; padding: 7px 18px; outline: 0px; font-size: 14px;"><span class="ogd b w xsm" style="color: rgb(26, 13, 171); font-weight: bold; font-size: x-small; cursor: auto; margin: 0px 3px 0px 0px; float: left;"><font face="Times New Roman">[PDF]</font></span></a><a href="http://www.rac.es/ficheros/doc/00418.pdf" style="color: rgb(102, 0, 153); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman">William M. Briggs, PhD; Statistical Consultant New York, NY ...</font></a></h3><div class="s" style="max-width: 42em; color: rgb(84, 84, 84); line-height: 18px;"><div class="f kv _SWb" style="color: rgb(128, 128, 128); height: 17px; line-height: 16px; white-space: nowrap;"><font face="Times New Roman"><cite class="Rm" style="color: rgb(0, 102, 33); font-style: normal; font-size: 14px;">www.rac.es/ficheros/doc/00418.pdf</cite></font><div class="action-menu ab_ctl" style="display: inline; position: relative; margin: 0px 3px; vertical-align: middle; -webkit-user-select: none;"><font face="Times New Roman"><a class="Fmb ab_button" href="https://www.google.com/webhp?sourceid=chrome-instant&ion=1&espv=2&ie=UTF-8#" id="am-b7" aria-label="Result details" aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="true" role="button" jsaction="ab.tdd;keydown:ab.hbke;keypress:ab.mskpe" data-ved="0CE0Q7B0wBw" style="border-radius: 0px; cursor: default; font-size: 11px; font-weight: bold; height: 12px; line-height: 27px; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: center; -webkit-transition: none; transition: none; -webkit-user-select: none; border: 0px; color: rgb(128, 128, 128); box-shadow: 0px 0px 0px 0px; filter: none; width: 13px; text-decoration: none; display: inline-block; background-image: none;"><span class="mn-dwn-arw" style="border-color: rgb(0, 102, 33) transparent; border-style: solid; border-width: 4px 4px 0px; width: 0px; height: 0px; margin-left: 3px; top: 8.5px; margin-top: -4px; position: absolute; left: 0px;" /></a></font><div class="action-menu-panel ab_dropdown" role="menu" tabindex="-1" jsaction="keydown:ab.hdke;mouseover:ab.hdhne;mouseout:ab.hdhue" data-ved="0CE4QqR8wBw" style="border: 1px solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.2); font-size: 13px; padding: 0px; position: absolute; right: auto; top: 12px; z-index: 3; -webkit-transition: opacity 0.218s; transition: opacity 0.218s; -webkit-box-shadow: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.2) 0px 2px 4px; box-shadow: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.2) 0px 2px 4px; left: 0px; visibility: hidden; background-image: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-size: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial;"><font face="Times New Roman" /><ul style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px;"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman" /></font></font></font></font></font></font><li class="action-menu-item ab_dropdownitem" role="menuitem" style="line-height: 1.2; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; list-style: none; -webkit-user-select: none; cursor: pointer;"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman"><a class="fl" href="http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:cIm07yiyd0gJ:www.rac.es/ficheros/doc/00418.pdf+&cd=8&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); cursor: pointer; display: block; padding: 7px 18px; outline: 0px; font-size: 14px;" /></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></li><li class="action-menu-item ab_dropdownitem" role="menuitem" style="line-height: 1.2; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; list-style: none; -webkit-user-select: none; cursor: pointer;"><a class="fl" href="https://www.google.com/search?espv=2&biw=1600&bih=775&q=related:www.rac.es/ficheros/doc/00418.pdf+william+m+briggs+statistician&tbo=1&sa=X&ei=XyHqVIaLM4GGNuqlgLAC&ved=0CFAQHzAH" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); cursor: pointer; display: block; padding: 7px 18px; outline: 0px; font-size: 14px;" /></li></ul></div></div></div><div class="f slp" style="color: rgb(128, 128, 128);"><a class="fl" href="https://www.google.com/search?espv=2&biw=1600&bih=775&q=related:www.rac.es/ficheros/doc/00418.pdf+william+m+briggs+statistician&tbo=1&sa=X&ei=XyHqVIaLM4GGNuqlgLAC&ved=0CFAQHzAH" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); cursor: pointer; display: block; padding: 7px 18px; outline: 0px; font-size: 14px;"><span class="st" style="line-height: 1.4; word-wrap: break-word;"><font face="Times New Roman"><span class="ft"><span style="font-weight: bold;">William M</span>.&nbsp;<span style="font-weight: bold;">Briggs</span>, PhD; Statistical Consultant New York, NY; matt@wmbriggs.<wbr />com. 1. Experience. (1) 2003-present.&nbsp;<span style="font-weight: bold;">Statistician</span>, New York Methodist Hospital,<wbr /></span>&nbsp;&nbsp;...</font></span></a></div></div></div></li><li class="g" style="line-height: 1.2; margin: 0px 0px 23px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; list-style: none; font-size: small;"><div class="rc" data-hveid="81" style="position: relative;"><h3 class="r" style="font-size: 18px; font-weight: normal; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; overflow: hidden; text-overflow: ellipsis; white-space: nowrap;"><a class="fl" href="https://www.google.com/search?espv=2&biw=1600&bih=775&q=related:www.rac.es/ficheros/doc/00418.pdf+william+m+briggs+statistician&tbo=1&sa=X&ei=XyHqVIaLM4GGNuqlgLAC&ved=0CFAQHzAH" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); cursor: pointer; display: block; padding: 7px 18px; outline: 0px; font-size: 14px;"><span class="ogd b w xsm" style="color: rgb(26, 13, 171); font-weight: bold; font-size: x-small; cursor: auto; margin: 0px 3px 0px 0px; float: left;"><font face="Times New Roman">[PDF]</font></span></a><a href="http://arxiv.org/pdf/1201.2590" style="color: rgb(102, 0, 153); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman">It is Time to Stop Teaching Frequentism to Non-statisticians</font></a></h3><div class="s" style="max-width: 42em; color: rgb(84, 84, 84); line-height: 18px;"><div class="f kv SWb" style="color: rgb(128, 128, 128); height: 17px; line-height: 16px; white-space: nowrap;"><font face="Times New Roman"><cite class="Rm" style="color: rgb(0, 102, 33); font-style: normal; font-size: 14px;">arxiv.org/pdf/1201.2590</cite></font><div class="action-menu ab_ctl" style="display: inline; position: relative; margin: 0px 3px; vertical-align: middle; -webkit-user-select: none;"><font face="Times New Roman"><a class="Fmb ab_button" href="https://www.google.com/webhp?sourceid=chrome-instant&ion=1&espv=2&ie=UTF-8#" id="am-b8" aria-label="Result details" aria-expanded="false" aria-haspopup="true" role="button" jsaction="ab.tdd;keydown:ab.hbke;keypress:ab.mskpe" data-ved="0CFMQ7B0wCA" style="border-radius: 0px; cursor: default; font-size: 11px; 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color: rgb(51, 51, 51); cursor: pointer; display: block; padding: 7px 18px; outline: 0px; font-size: 14px;" /></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></font></li><li class="action-menu-item ab_dropdownitem" role="menuitem" style="line-height: 1.2; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; list-style: none; -webkit-user-select: none; cursor: pointer;"><a class="fl" href="https://www.google.com/search?espv=2&biw=1600&bih=775&q=related:arxiv.org/pdf/1201.2590+william+m+briggs+statistician&tbo=1&sa=X&ei=XyHqVIaLM4GGNuqlgLAC&ved=0CFYQHzAI" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); cursor: pointer; display: block; padding: 7px 18px; outline: 0px; font-size: 14px;" /></li></ul></div></div><div class="crc" style="display: inline-block; position: relative; margin-left: 4px;"><div class="crl" data-async-context="res:8;ri:;site:arxiv.org" data-async-trigger="cra-8-filled" jsaction="crd.tglpop" data-ved="0CFcQ5CswCA" style="color: rgb(119, 119, 119); cursor: pointer; display: inline-block; font-size: 14px;"><a class="fl" href="https://www.google.com/search?espv=2&biw=1600&bih=775&q=related:arxiv.org/pdf/1201.2590+william+m+briggs+statistician&tbo=1&sa=X&ei=XyHqVIaLM4GGNuqlgLAC&ved=0CFYQHzAI" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); cursor: pointer; display: block; padding: 7px 18px; outline: 0px; font-size: 14px;">arXiv<span class="Bs" style="border-style: solid; border-width: 4px 4px 0px; width: 0px; height: 0px; top: 8.5px; position: absolute; margin-left: 6px; margin-top: -3px; border-color: rgb(170, 170, 170) transparent !important;" /></a></div></div></div><div class="f slp" style="color: rgb(128, 128, 128);"><a class="fl" href="https://www.google.com/search?espv=2&biw=1600&bih=775&q=related:arxiv.org/pdf/1201.2590+william+m+briggs+statistician&tbo=1&sa=X&ei=XyHqVIaLM4GGNuqlgLAC&ved=0CFYQHzAI" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); cursor: pointer; display: block; padding: 7px 18px; outline: 0px; font-size: 14px;"><font face="Times New Roman">by WM Briggs - ‎2012</font></a></div><a class="fl" href="https://www.google.com/search?espv=2&biw=1600&bih=775&q=related:arxiv.org/pdf/1201.2590+william+m+briggs+statistician&tbo=1&sa=X&ei=XyHqVIaLM4GGNuqlgLAC&ved=0CFYQHzAI" style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); cursor: pointer; display: block; padding: 7px 18px; outline: 0px; font-size: 14px;"><span class="st" style="line-height: 1.4; word-wrap: break-word;"><font face="Times New Roman"><span class="ft">Non-<span style="font-weight: bold;">statisticians</span>.&nbsp;<span style="font-weight: bold;">William M</span>.&nbsp;<span style="font-weight: bold;">Briggs</span>. 300 E. 71st Apt. 3R, New York, NY 10021 matt@wmbriggs.com. January 13, 2012.&nbsp;<span style="font-weight: bold;">William M</span>.&nbsp;<span style="font-weight: bold;">Briggs</span>. 300 E. 71st Apt. 3R,</span>&nbsp;&nbsp;...</font></span></a></div></div></li><li class="g" style="line-height: 1.2; margin: 0px 0px 16px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; list-style: none; font-size: small;"><div class="rc" data-hveid="89" style="position: relative;"><h3 class="r" style="font-size: 18px; font-weight: normal; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; overflow: hidden; text-overflow: ellipsis; white-space: nowrap;"><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C42AwvaZ-04" style="color: rgb(102, 0, 153); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman">Statistical Follies and Epidemiology. William Matthew ("Matt ...</font></a></h3><div class="s" style="max-width: 42em; color: rgb(84, 84, 84); line-height: 18px;"><div><div class="th lyb _YQd" style="border: 1px solid rgb(235, 235, 235); float: left; overflow: hidden; margin-top: 4px; position: relative; height: 65px; width: 116px; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C42AwvaZ-04" style="color: rgb(102, 0, 153); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none;"><font face="Times New Roman"><span class="ygd" style="position: absolute; top: -11px;"><img alt="Video for william m briggs statistician" height="87" id="vidthumb10" 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