CPTED Second Generation Affordance Mapping

Start a CPTED intervention by building an Affordance map

• It tells you where you are and what you can’t change
• It helps to understand the viability of change
  • if you want a metaphor, it is preparing the ground before you plant the crops
• This is the substrate of the complex adaptive system we can manage to reduce project risk and costs

• Emergence means we don’t create nor manage safety
  • What we can create and manage are the human-imposed systemic conditions such as legislative acts, regulations, policies, standards, work systems, processes, rules, procedures, practices

• The strength of the social interactions within a community ultimately enables a safe environment to emerge as well as a culture of well-being, positive sense of identity and pride

What a project could look like:

1. Engage the community
   • Use an anthro-complexity approach: distributed ethnography and the power of humans as storytellers
   • Introduce a sense-making platform like SenseMaker® to capture narrative data on crime experiences

2. Analyze patterns that emerge from sharing desirable and undesirable stories

• • From storyteller significations identify systemic conditions that
    • Encourage crime (strange attractors,,) catalysts)
    • Influence how people use and experience a space and participate in activities together
    • Impact threshold capacity

3. Pay attention to weak signal information

• • Might be detecting pending danger and nearing failure
    • Taking preventative action iis moving the operating point away from the Cynefin Clear/Chaotic domains boundary)
  • Or a serendipitous opportunity that has unexpectedly emerged
    

4, Respond to issues residing in the Cynefin Complicated, Clear, Chaotic domains

• • Use Action forms
  • Appreciate value of storyteller signification on Energy Cost to change and Time to Implement change

5. Design and launch safe-to-fail experiments to explore issues in Complex domain

• • Assemble learning teams at the lowest level of coherent granularity (e.g., community, neighbourhood)
    • Give leaders, residents and visitors a sense of responsibility and decision-making
    • Use entangled trios to keep teams small in size

6. Some complex issues will require more effort

• • Better to remove rather than resolve conflict
  • Get things to the level where actions are much more manageable and less controversial
  • Deploy Third Alternative synergy plan
    • Issues --> Interests --> Needs

7. Support informal networks to create novel CPTED ideas

• • Apply Abductive reasoning to connect unrelated elements
  • Example: CAS phenomena / CPTED Second Generation principles
  • Example: CAS phenomena / CPTED First Generation principles

8. Sustain the momentum

• • Report consequences from action plans and safe-to-fail experiments as new entries in the SenseMaker® narrative database
  • New narratives leads to updating the Affordance map to co-evolve the Present
    • Narrative data refreshing is a key differentiator from the typical consultant one-off case study
    • Faster, better, cheaper than traditional survey and biased interviewing
  • A socially-cohesive community is a Human Sensor Network